Palin Likely to Announce Her Presidential Candidacy on September 3rd in Iowa

Bookmark and Share   Mixed signals continue to pour out regarding the still developing Republican presidential field and Sarah Palin, Paul Ryan, and Chris Christie remain the main names uttered to be ready to run for President.
In New Jersey, state political insiders as well as national political sources are responsible for murmurs about Governor Chris Christie being ready to soon announce his presidential candidacy, Taegan Goddard of Political Wire reported that House Budget Committee Chairman, Congressman Paul Ryan, spoke about the presidential race with Governor Christie for nearly an hour. Goddard further reports that the “two men shared a central concern: The Republican field is not addressing the debt crisis with anything beyond platitudes.” This report tends to indicate that maybe Chrsitie is not actually considering a run but it does tend to confirm recent claims by The Weekly Standard that Congressman Ryan is about ready to announce his candidacy. Some close allies of Ryan also make that claim.

Then there is Sarah Palin.

Palin has baffled me when it concerns her decision to run for President, but that is not the case with others who believe that the former Alaska Governor and G.O.P. vice presidential nominee will indeed run for President in 2012. On Fox News Saturday, Karl Rove made it clear that he is certain Palin will announce her candidacy around Labor Day. The same goes for Iowa’s Organize4Palin representative Steve Singleton who statesWe’re confident she’ll run, and we’ve worked to build that really strong grassroots base that you have to build for a candidate to be successful just in case she does,”

And a recent video put out by Palin called Iowa Passion [see video below] would seem to verify these analyses. As seen in the video, there is little else that this promo could pertain to other than a presidential candidacy. If nothing else, it is a sign that Palin is truly still keeping the possibility of running open.

I for one believe there is still a 50/50 chance that Palin will run and while I am not going to guess which way she ultimately leans, I will add that I believe if she does run, she will make that announcement on September 3rd when she headlines a major “Restoring America” TEA Party event in Iowa, just as the unofficial end of summer  allows for a focus on the Republican presidential nomination contests.

The only one of these three names that I am confident will soon announce their candidacy is Congressman Paul Ryan. I doubt Chris Christie will and while I am unsure about Palin, her “Iowa Passion” has me beginning to think she just might run. Then of course, if Palin runs, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has threatened to also throw his hat in to the ring.

If Palin does go for it, I will be in a very uncomfortable position.

Even before it is known for sure whether Paul Ryan will run or not, I have endorsed his potential candidacy. I have done so for a number of reasons. One of them is that I am confident in Paul’s ability to articulate a superior vision for the United States, can articulate an effective and inspirational Republican vision for the country while also offering clear blueprints and roadmaps to how he intends to apply that vision to government, particularly in the area of our economy and our growing debt crisis. I also believe he has the ability to campaign in a way that will attract enough conservatives, moderates, and Independents to build a winning coalition in November of 2012.  Given a fair chance, it will be hard for Ryan to win the nomination and the general election, but he is a fighter and has the potential to do it.  My support for him at this time is based more on my faith in him than his immediate cjances of getting elected.

But the awkward position I am in is based on the fact that  in 2006, I became a fan of Sarah Palin and by early 2007 I was participating in a draft Sarah Palin for Vice President effort. Few had ever heard of her and no one was more surprised by the fact that John McCain’s only correct decision in his entire campaign was the one to actually nominate Palin for the VP slot. Since then, although Palin has not disappointed me in any way, she has been taking too long to transition from being a conservative cheerleader, to being a national statesman. While I am sure Palin can do this, her tardiness in doing so has frustrated me and allowed me to find inspirations in others such as Congressman Paul Ryan.

I still think Sarah Palin is deserving of her iconic status, and I believe in her abilities, her thinking, and her policies but she has lost me to Paul Ryan. If Ryan does not run, Sarah will easily have me back behind her. For now though, I would really just like to know already who is or isn’t running.

Next time around I propose that the G.O.P. set a date for which all candidates must declare their candidacies. That will help to at least ratchet down the stress of all the uncertainty we are seeing now and anxiety I am feeling.  Anyone know of any good over-the-counter sedatives?…….And I don’t mean the type that Ron Paul wants us to sell.

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7 Responses

  1. The more, the merrier

    • I agree, but I am beginning to get fearful of too many really good candidates fighting it out. I mean in truth, there is a limited pool of really good candidates and I wouldn’t want to see all of them blown out of the water at the same time.

      Thanks for checking out the site.

  2. in a fickle world, it’s still early

    • Surprisingly it is still too early, and I am afraid that with all the information out there it is becoming increasingly difficult to ascertain which info is accurate or even totally reliable. So as you can probably tell by the proliferation of posts regarding who is likely to join the race, I can’t be sure about any of them running. Sometimes I believe I should just not write about anything which I am not certain of. But instead, in those cases, I do try to stipulate my doubts. The only thing I really know is that I have been wrong before and I will be wrong again. But if you take enough positions, eventually you are bound to be right about at least one. In 2008, some considered me a prophet because of my early support for the Vice Presidential nomination of a candidate most had not ever heard of before. And when John McCain picked her to be his running mate, I was more surprised than anyone, and I do mean anyone. I doubt that lightning will strike the same place twice though.

  3. Well, you’ve been busy over the last few days, so many candidates, potential and realized, and so little time. I’ve been busy (hence the midnight oil) so sorry about the length but may I revisit a few?

    First, Paul Ryan-So glad you clarified your first article by your specificity in your second -Heavy Hitters Urge Paul Ryan to Run for President. There you list more tangible reasons you would support a Ryan bid. An intellectual cool guy is not enough although, to my shame, I half expected it from you. To tell of his courage, his focus to heightened the urgency of the hour and ability to articulate, well, I’m listening now. Some candidates I know well, Ryan I do not.

    Second, Presidents and their vacations. Thank you very much. It makes us look small, and I cringe each time radio talk show hosts (who have available much more pressing material) wax on about Obama’s vacations or Michelle’s clothing or private whispers with Prince Williams. It makes us look silly. There are serious, urgent matters that will determine our future fiscal stability and may change forever America as we know her now.

    And finally, this piece about Sarah! Just when I though I was getting to know you, you throw this opinion out there. Really? She is a force of nature and a vote for her is a vote against the poor excuse we have for reporters and the ad naseum TV propaganda , but I never would have guessed your support.

    You’re most complex than I realized. Alrighty then.

    • I am sorry if I disappoint you but it is true, I am a Palin supporter. I don’t think she can walk on water and I do not believe she is perfect but I have much more trust in Palin than I do for any of the many run of the mill politicians out there. Sarah Palin may not be a Harvard or Yale intellectual but she is not stupid. Furthermore, she has a distaste for politics that I believe would be a welcome change in Washington and her lack of an overpriced education behind the cloistered walls of an Ivy League institution allow her to realize that she is not so superior to others that her proverbial “crap” doesn’t stink. Another words, I believe Sarah Palin is a KISS candidate….she is a Keep It Simple, Stupid candidate who knows that for all the brains in politics there is very little common sense in it. Palin has common sense and she is the type of leader who would bring it with her to the White House. This does not mean she doesn’t have the capacity to deal with complex issues, but it does mean that she has the ability to bring some street smarts to the game and we lack that in both domestic and foreign policy. The other reason I support her is because she has not taken a legislative position or carried out a legislative action that I disagree with. Even on matters where I may have a difference of personal opinion with Palin, she has provided legislative solutions that I agree with. One example was her veto of a bill in Alaska which would have had the state deny benefits to the legal partners of gay state employees. While Palin personally opposes gay marriage, she saw no place where the Constitution allowed her personal view to legally deny those benefits to gay couples. So she, a Republican Governor, vetoed her Republican state legislature. For all these reasons and more, I have faith in Sarah Palin and can support her.

      And while there are several declared candidates whom I can enthusiastically support, I have a preference for Paul Ryan and do hope he runs, but there is considerable doubt about that.

      Not every post allows me to go in to great detail, as it is, there is a sizeable segment of people who believe my posts are already too long. But I do go in to details in accordance with the main theme of each post. The initial post regarding Paul Ryan was mainly discussing the facts surrounding his possibly entry in to the race. My endorsement of him which was revealed in that post was essentially a side not to the main story.

      When and if Paul Ryan makes it official, I will certainly devote a post specifically addressing why I am endorsing him.

      For now, I will tell you that my reasons are for a combination of factors which include his record in Congress, his leadership, his temperament, the solemn approach he takes with each and every issue, his passionate yet rational handling of the issues, his courage to stand up for his beliefs, and as in the case with Palin, I find myself rarely if ever disagreeing with the positions he takes.

      For now, I hope this provides you with a little more insight regarding my thinking.

  4. Au contraire, I am encouraged that you do support her. Please forgive me, but I am in the process of getting to know you and your writings. Clearly, you are not swayed by media creations yet not simply rebellious. If you can appreciate both Ryan and Palin you look to substance-thanks

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