Michele Bachmann’s Ready To Announce Her Candidacy for President

Bookmark and Share White House 2012 had previously made clear that the month of May, would begin to set the Republican race for President in stone. Most potential candidates had indicated at the latest, a June deadline for their decisions. As such, any of them who were leaning towards announcing their candidacy, would more than likely have to make some preparation that would not go unnoticed by either the media, political insiders, or both. That is now the case with Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann.

The recent decisions by Donald Trump and most especially Mike Huckabee, seem to have taken her from giving a run some serious consideration, to being sure that she will run.

According to political reporter and analysts Chris Stirewalt, on Monday, on the heels of both Huckabees and Trumps decisions not to run for President, advisors to Congresswoman Bachmann let it be know that she is likely to jump in to the race and that she has begun searching for pollsters, consultants and all the other necessary staff components for a presidential campaign. According to Stirewalt, one D.C. based consultant close to Bachmanns camp said This is now beyond speculation. They are doing this.

I have been leery of Michele Bachmanns intentions to run for President in 2012. This is not based on any disapproval of the Congresswoman. To the contrary, it was based on a hope of for the longevity of her ability to be a maverick political forceon the inside of the system.

Beyond two of the first three nominating contests, I fear that the Congresswomans chances of winning enough primaries and caucuses were out of her reach. Bachmann can and probably will do quite well in the early contests of Iowa and South Carolina. These two states are uniquely ripe for her character and politics. And as is Bachmann, these two states are strongly influenced by evangelical principles and activism. In fact they are dominated by evangelical forces, especially in the case of Republican politics. But once the campaign moves beyond Iowa, and South Carolina, that influence which is a strong suit for the Congresswoman, will become more and more diluted. This is especially true in contests outside of the Southern Bible Belt.

Even New Hampshires primary, which falls in between the Iowa Caucus and the South Carolina Primary election, Bachmann is not likely to do very well. But a loss there would certainly derail her candidacy. New Hampshire id a state closely connected to Mitt Romney and he expected to be the winner there. Besides, if Bachmann could bookend a loss in New Hampshire with wins in Iowa and South Carolina, New Hampshire will be nothing more than a bump in the road.

After South Carolina, Bachmann will still have a fair shot at Florida, another state that has a highly active evangelical Republican structure. But here Bachmann will begin to struggle with a the more diverse electorates of the more heavily populated states in the nation. Ultimately, I believe that while Bachmann will start strong I do not believe that she will finish strong and in the end, not win the Republican presidential nomination. It is for that reason, that I have doubted Bachmanns willingness to run for a nomination that she is less likely to win than lose and give up her seat in the House of Representatives in the process.

Recent events though, shed some light on why Michele Bachmann might be inclined to not seek reelection in the House.

Bachmann knows that in 2012, with president Obama at the top of the ticket, Democrats are going to target her. The Congresswoman is a thorn in the lefts side and so in addition to wanting to try to take enough seats to recapture control of the House, they would love to do so by ridding themselves of Republican firebrands like her. But Bachmann has never shied away from a tough race and she has usually prevailed. This time though, in addition to being targeted by Democrats, Bachmann will be a victim of redistricting. How much her district will be redrawn is not yet established, but no matter how it is drawn, she will have to campaign for reelection among voters that are new to her and those voters will probably not be as conservative as they are in her district as it currently exists.

The combination of the knowledge that Bachmann will be damaged by redistricting and that she will be a top target by Democrats and President Obama himself, may account for Bachmanns willingness to choose a run for President over standing for reelection to Congress. Additionally; there is nothing to say that if the Congresswomans presidential campaign starts to wane early enough, she could always pull out of the race in time to file her papers for reelection to her current House seat.

So Bachmann may not have much to lose by running for President while at the same time, she could have much to gain. Her presidential candidacy will advance the issues that are important to her. It will also raise her visibility and national ID which in turn will elevate her level of influence in conservative circles.

If Bachmann does in fact run, while she may not have the best chance at winning the nomination, her candidacy will certainly have a large effect on who is or isnt the nominee. In many ways, Congresswoman Bachmann could play the same role in the 2012 nomination contest that Mike Huckabee played in the 2008 contests. She could be strong enough to attract enough votes from other candidates like Rick Santorum, Jon Huntsman, Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, and/or Mitch Daniels, to allow Mitt Romney to win.

That is the effect that Mike Huckabee had in 2008. He attracted enough votes away from Mitt Romney, to make it possible for John McCain to ultimately win the nomination. And like Mike Huckabee, now that he is out of the race, Congresswoman Bachmann could easily win the Iowa Caucuses. At the very least, this could all help delay the emergence of a clear frontrunner.

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From Des Moines, Bachmann Says She Is Encouraged To Run for President

Bookmark and Share During her 5 day swing through Iowa, in a live interview with Fox News from Des Moines, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann confirmed being encouraged by the level of support she is receiving in the early caucus and primary states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. Bachmann states that ultimately she and her husband must make a decision based upon whether or not they truly feel running for President at this time is the right thing to do. That decision is expected to come in a matter of weeks.

When asked if Bachmann could ultimately be competitive with President Obamas expected $1 billon in campaign funds, if she decides to run, the Congresswoman believes that she can. She points out that in the 2010 election cycle, she broke all fundraising records for members of Congress by raising more money than all others. She is also quick to point out that from what shes seen among the electorate, the atmosphere is right for making sure that President Obama is a one term President.

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Bachmann Barnstorms Iowa for 5 Days Straight

Bookmark and Share Michele Bachmann is using the one week recess that Congress is in, for a five day campaign style tour of Iowa, the state that holds the nations first presidential caucus.

So far her tentative schedule is as follows:

Wednesday:

  • Speech at the state Capitol building in Des Moines for a Christian home school educators event,
  • Speech at another home school event at a Des Moines hotel.

Thursday:

  • Numerous private meetings
  • 5 :00pm EST, Bachmann will hold Facebook town hall
  • Meet and Greet at Iowa Renewal Project’s event at the Sheraton in West Des Moines
  • Hold an after-dinner reception for the Iowa Renewal Project

Friday:

  • Private meetings

Saturday:

  • Speaking at the Conservative Principles Conference in Des Moines
  • Many other to be announced stops and impromptu gatherings will take place.

Bachmann is slated to fly out of Iowa, late Saturday.

The Congresswomans staff intends to provide a live stream of her public events on her website

Bachmann has repeatedly said that she wants to make sure that she helps to shape the national debate that goes during the time leading up to the presidential election. The statement allows for defining her intentions of 5 days of campaigning in Iowa with a broad brush, but to place this much emphasis on trying to structure the debate in one particular state, is enough to suggest that she is looking hard at trying to shape that debate as a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination.

If Bachmann were to run, her greatest impact would likely take place in Iowa where a strong evangelical base is particularly in tune with and supportive of Bachmanns conservative social values as well as her conservative fiscal thinking and TEA Party message. However, even if she were to win the Iowa caucus, her lead will likely be short lived as the campaign moves to New Hampshire and beyond where other candidates with greater regional appeal than Bachmann will be much more competitive.

That short-lived success could help benefit one potential Republican candidate most. That would be Mitt Romney.

Romneys campaign is in the race for the long haulyet a win for him in Iowa is going to be rough. But if someone like Michele Bachmann were to split the Iowa Caucus vote between contenders like Pawlenty, Huckabee and Barbour, Romney would be dealt a chance to finish better than expected. And should Bachmann happen to win in Iowa, that too will help Romney. The Congresswoman is not likely to last much further than South Carolina and so if she were to prevent other long term candidates such as Mike Huckabee, or Haley Barbour from getting a lock on frontrunner status, it will make it much easier for Romney to do as the nomination contest moves beyond South Carolina.

Perhaps the biggest question to all this though, are the plans of Sarah Palin. Palin would be another candidate in this for long haul and if she were to decide to run, it could be the decisive factor that makes Bachmann decide not to run. Palin and Bachmann essentially appeal to the same base and both are TEA Party favorites who could significantly dilute their effects on the election if they split that vote between one another.

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Bachmann’s Eventful Swing Through New Hampshire

Bookmark and ShareMinnesota Congresswoman recently embarked upon a two day swing through New Hampshire. The tour was filled with campaign-like stops at everything from a local diner, to a GOP fundraiser.

In the speech provided in the video below, Congresswoman Bachmann addresses a New Hampshire Republican State Committee fundraiser in Nashua. Here she addressed everything from liberal spending on things like Cowboy poetry festivals, to haphazardly issuing Obamacare waivers to states like Maine.

Also at this stop was a few moments of disruption by protesters who suddenly began chanting, “Michele Bachmann, we insist. End the AIDS treatment waiting list.” The reference was to the policy by cash trapped states to stop or reduce funding of the AIDS drugs distribution program. In some cases state’s are creating waiting lists for AIDS patients to go on before they can get assistance for the very expensive drugs they need.

At a separate event in Nashua, Bachmann began to talk about the principles which found our nation and referenced Lexington and Concord and the historic battle that occurred their, to have taken place New Hampshire. The events actually took place in neighboring Massachusetts. On Saturdaqy Bachmann acknowledged the gaffe in a twitter statement that read;

“So I misplaced the battles Concord and Lexington by saying they were in New Hampshire. It was my mistake, Massachusetts is where they happened. New Hampshire is where they are still proud of it!”

Of all that took place and was said during Bachmann’s, this gaffe is what will be getting the headlines and most of the attention among the left. But as a reminder to them I present the following video of a man once who Senator Barack Obama. While running for President he infamously elevated the number of states in the Union. And apparently all those extra states voted for him too. Oh wait…. that was ACORN.

For a more detailed history of President Obama’s incredible oratory skills and knowledge, see the video below;

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Bachmann Enters New Hampshire and Moves Closer to Presidential Run

Bookmark and Share Congresswoman Michele Bachmann has today begun a two day swing through the first in the nation primary state of New Hampshire. The trip is her first foray into the Live Free or Die State since speculation about her becoming a presidential campaign began in earnest this past January.

Bachmanns New Hampshire trip is one that is rich in its courting of the states conservative and TEA Party base vote. On her agenda are events that include the attendance of a New Hampshire Republican State Committee fundraising event in Nashua, the giving of a keynote speech at a fundraiser for the Granite State Patriots Liberty PAC , a reception of the Republican Liberty Caucus of New Hampshire, a meet and greet whistle-stop style campaign event at a popular New Hampshire diner and a private fundraiser hosted by the Director of Development and Business Relations for the New Hampshire Republican Party.

Joining Bachmann on this trip will be her husband and three of her 5 biological and 23 foster cared children.

According CNNs Peter Hamby, aides close to Bachmann claim that the Congresswoman is leaning towards a run for the Republican presidential nomination but in previous statements, the Congresswoman has been less committal and only stated that she is not ready to make a decision one or the other yet but is not closing any doors. Bachmann makes the point of that whether she runs or not, she intends to make sure that she helps shape the presidential debate and insure that the important issues are addressed.

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Has Michele Bachmann Tipped Her Hand Concerning a Run for President?

Bookmark and Share Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, the leader of the House TEA Party Caucus and darling of the TEA movement has told CNN that she will make a decision regarding a run for President early this summer.

Figuring in to Bachmanns decision will be her contention that the Republican presidential nominee will be decided by voters in four early-primary states. That thinking is a little ambiguous because it fails to specifically address the early caucuses of Iowa and Nevada, tow of the first of four nominating contests. Iowa, the very first contest in the nation, is fertile ground for Bachmann. She is a native of the state and has regional appeal with conservatives and loyal followers in the evangelical base that strongly influences its caucus contest.

Since raising the prospects of running for President, the Congresswoman has swung by Iowa for a speaking engagement before that base. But she has also ventured into South Carolina, the second primary to be held in the nation, and plans on a few engagements in New Hampshire where the first in the nation primary contest is held. So Bachmann is surely testing some of those early four primaries.

Bachmann tells CNN;

“We need a nominee who really understands the times that we live in, who knows what to do in response to that, and has the political courage to do what has to be done,”

She adds;

“Very tough decisions will be made, and I think our nominee needs to be willing to be a one term president if that’s necessary to get the job done.”

So is Michele willing to run for President on a “one term and do what needs to be done campaign platform? If anyone has the chutzpa to do so, its here. And the thought of having a President who is not concerned about reelection, is a thought that will certainly excite her TEA Party supporters. It may also appeal to Independent voters. The question is, will it be enough to convince Republican primary and caucus goers that she is can be an electable nominee for President.

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Michele Bachmann Looks for Divine Assurance in Her Decision to Run for President or Not

Bookmark and Share Conservative Minnesota Congresswoman and TEA Party movement leader Michele Bachmann keeps the door to a run for the Republican presidential nomination open as she tells the Christian Broadcasting Networks David Brody that her decision to run will come from an inner assurance which let her know if is time or not.

From the interview:

David Brody: Whats going to determine whether or not youre going to run for president in 2012?

Rep. Michele Bachmann: I think it will be an inner assurance more than anything of what I am supposed to do.We would have to think through very seriously and know this is the right step to take. Until we know that we will not purse that path.

Brody: And thats where prayer comes in?

Bachmann: Thats where prayer comes in. Were strong people of faith. My husband and I gave our lives to the Lord when we were 16 years of age and so thats been a long time now. Were both almost 55 years old and that has been the greatest help and source of stability for both of us to have that ability in prayer to look to the Lord for guidance. And I cant say enough how important thats been to us to give us that rock of assurance on which pathwe should go.

The Congresswoman goes on to discuss her prospects for president in 2012 if she were to decide to run. Those remarlks can be seen and heard in a clip further down the page you will find here.
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