Conservative Formula Plays Out

Imagine if you single-handedly picked Presidents.  The choice is up to you.  No need to consider electability, lesser of two evils, third parties, spoilers, or anything else.  Your choice is it.  Now, imagine you live in Montana, Minnesota, or Colorado and delegates aren’t rewarded based on your primary vote.  It’s pretty much the same situation.

The result?  Ron Paul got his standard 10-20% of libertarians and conservatives seeking radical constitutionalism, Romney got his standard 30-40% of fiscal conservatives who want a strong businessman, and the social conservatives split the rest.  Except in states where electability, lesser of two evils, third parties, and spoilers don’t matter, Newt Gingrich barely registered.  Instead, Rick Santorum, deemed unelectable from day one, swept bigtime.  It’s like “What’s My Line” where the points don’t matter.

Social Conservatives demonstrated what they really want, and it ain’t Mitt or Newt.  Mitt Romney is striking out with Conservatives, first with support of increasing labor price floors, then with information about his imposing abortion coverage on private companies like Obama is doing now.  Both of these are huge question marks on Romney’s record.

But Newt hasn’t done much better, with most of the country now thinking he was Freddie Mac’s number one lobbyist and had more sex partners than your average Mormon.  Romney has succeeded in dragging Newt down, and Newt hasn’t helped himself.

So does Santorum have a shot?  Probably not, but he does have something Iowa didn’t really give him: momentum.

Now Santorum can face the Romney attack machine for a while.  It started with the Donald saying that since Santorum lost in Pennsylvania he can’t possibly win the Presidency. Of course, that is a pretty funny standard to be judged by when it comes from a multi-billionaire business-owner who has declared bankruptcy four times.  I would think Trump would be able to relate to Santorum’s tenacity.

The problem with Santorum is that he doesn’t have that Presidentiality  that stupid, ignorant, and independent voters look for in a President.  He doesn’t have the hair or the chin.  Oh, and as Scarlett Johannson pointed out, he is unelectable because he wears sweater vests.  What Johannson underestimates is how many people out there who would take a bag of rocks wrapped in a sweater vest over our current President.

I pick on independents, but social conservatives aren’t much better.  When delegates are back on the table, don’t hold your breath for another Santorum sweep.  That would require conservatives looking themselves in the mirror and asking what they actually want in a President, not just who can beat Obama.  Tuesday’s message was loud and clear.

You’re the Nominee – “The Donald” endorses Mitt

Dynamic Businessman – Donald Trump turned the Republican presidential race into a scene resembling one of his Apprentice shows by keeping everyone guessing on whom he would endorse for president. The rumours had been back and forth that he would endorse Newt Gingrich, then it was leaked that he would endorse Mitt Romney however, in true Trump fashion, he kept everyone waiting until the end before confirming his support behind Mitt Romney.

The Romney campaign did not release their public schedule until Thursday morning in an unusual move for them and even then their 20:30hrs GMT slot stood vague, offering only: “Romney for President Event. TBD Location. Las Vegas, Nevada.” Mr. Romney will appear with Mr. Trump at his Trump International Hotel & Tower.

Mr. Romney and Mr. Trump have not always enjoyed the strongest of relationships with Romney as recent as December, referring to Trump as a real estate mogul and reality television star and declined an invitation to attend a Republican debate, which “The Donald” had planned to host, but was later cancelled after other candidates pulled out and included a very public spat with Jon Huntsman.

A spokesman for Mr. Trump suggested the Romney camp would be releasing an official statement soon, and in manner typical of Trump showmanship, said, “I strongly suggest you be there no matter what.”

Trump is a controversial figure and the world’s greatest self-promoter however, like him or loath him, he brings considerable media attention where ever he speaks and when he speaks. Trump did toy with the idea of entering the race last year himself and actually led the polls prior to pulling out with catchy sound bites on U.S. trade policy being weak towards China and regarding Iran. Trump has been one of the most vocal critics of President Obama and his economic record as president. He has made no secret of his concern about the direction and future of America under another four year Obama term and has also criticised the president on the polarising approach to his presidency and his failure to unite American’s in a common cause.

Trump promised to “push our president and the country’s policy makers to address the dire challenges arising from our unsustainable debt structure and increasing lack of global competitiveness.” Following his announcement last May, that he would not be a candidate for the GOP nomination, Trump welcomed other hopefuls to his office at Trump Tower on Manhattan’s Fifth Avenue for strategy sessions. Romney made the trek, as did former candidates Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain and Rick Perry. Gingrich visited in December when he was topping polls in Iowa and nationally.

Trump’s weeks of will-he-or-won’t-he run last year, stole the media coverage and his decision to question the validity of President Obama’s birth certificate, caused such a news media firestorm that the White House was forced to publicly release the document. A feat even Hillary Clinton her campaign team had failed to achieve during the heated Democratic primary campaign four years ago.

Many will question the impact of a Trump endorsement, I believe it will not have a considerable impact on Republican voters, but most certainly on Independent voters where Romney has an increasing negativity rating in recent weeks, due to his attack ads in Iowa and Florida against Gingrich. Trump will be able to command a media audience and spotlight that no other previous endorser of Romney could hope to deliver. The media love “The Donald” and he equally loves them.

Trump said he made the decision after getting to know Romney after meeting with him several times in the past few months and it was his real honour to endorse Mitt Romney. He said Mitt was tough, his smart and he’s sharp and he’s not going to allow bad things to continue to happen to the country. Trump also cited Romney’s performances in presidential debates and his tough stance on China and OPEC as reasons for his support.

It is certain that Trump’s announcement has all but ruled out a third-party run for the White House which he threatened if the wrong GOP candidate was selected to run as the nominee. One would also have to say that with Trump’s ability to command a media audience and great communication ability, Speaker Gingrich’s hopes of winning the nomination appear to be dwindling by the day now. It will come down to his performance in the Lone Star state of Texas on 3 April, 2012. A poor showing by Gingrich in Texas will effectively finish his campaign and hand Romney the nomination.

Can Donald Trump Run as a Realistic Third Party Presidential Candidate?

Bookmark and Share   Ever since most of the Republican presidential candidates declined to turn the presidential election in to a Jersey Shore-like, MTV reality TV show by attending a Donald Trump moderated presidential debate, Donald Trump has gone out of his way to try to prove that he is relevant and deep enough a person to be considered for President.   First he maintained that he if none of the Republican candidates met his “you’re fired” inspired “The Apprentice” television show standards, then he would run for President himself.

Then after being personally offended by the fact that most of the candidates did not take him serious enough to attend the Newsmax sponsored debate that he was scheduled to host, like a child in the middle of a tantrum, he ditched the Republican to make a well publicized switch of his party affiliation to that of Independent.

Personally, I was relieved when he left the G.O.P.

The way I say it, we have enough problems as a Party and really do not need the utterly pointless baggage, controversy, and distraction that is Donald Trump.  So when Trump switched Party, I said good riddance.  It was probably the very best thing he could have done for Republicans ever since he became one.

But in the days to follow Trump’s much appreciated exit from the G.O.P., he has done his best to make clear that if he is not happy with the Republican nominee, he will jump into the presidential race as an Independent candidate.

Now to be honest, if Trump were to do so, he would essentially single-handedly elect Barack Obama to a second term.  I can’t deny that Trump would hurt Republican chances of defeating the President in 2012.  Unfortunately there is a vast segment of voters who can relate more to celebrity news and gossip then they do the intricacies of politics and such things as nuclear proliferation.  They tend to pay far more attention to the latest trials and tribulations of Lindsay Lohan than they do to public policy and the allocation and transfer of power in political decision making and the roles and systems of our government.  In other words, Donald Trump’s sensationalism and celebrity trumps politics for far too many people and those people would easily support Trump if for no other reason than the fact that they are more familiar with him  than political figures like Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, or Rick Perry.

So Trump would indeed make it more difficult to defeat Barack Obama if he were to run if for no other reason than the fact that he would dilute the strength of the anti-Obama vote by splitting some of it between him and the Republican nominee.  And that really is a sad situation.  Especially since if Trump did run, there would be very little chance for his candidacy to be taken seriously by most voters.

Case in point was this very public tweet from Donald Trump’s Twitter feed which he sent out earlier today;

Donald J. Trump

realDonaldTrump   Donald J. Trump

The Mar-a-Lago Club has the best meatloaf in America. Tasty. http://www.maralagoclub.com/
  Favorite   Retweet     Reply

After reading that, I could not help but think to myself, “how stereotypically aloof that was”.

I mean in this day of liberal inspired class warfare when running against “Country Club Republicans” is a popular populist chant among the boisterous radicals who use their rhetoric to great success in the mass media, how helpful is it to be a candidate who is not only a rich Republican, country club Republican, but to be the owner of the country club?

And here is Donald Trump praising the meatloaf served at his exclusive Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach.

I guess in his world, talking about savory meatloaf helps people relate to him better than if he discussed the delicious château brion he ate for lunch.

Making matters worse, when you click on his Twitter link you are introduced to his Mar-a-Lago website and a personal message that includes tidbits like this;

“It is with great pleasure that I welcome you to the Mar-a-Lago Club, one of the most highly regarded private clubs in the world. Located within 20 acres of perfectly landscaped gardens and with ocean views, Mar-a-Lago is truly the crown jewel of Palm Beach and an acknowledged landmark in the National Register of Historic Places. Members enjoy all of the finest amenities that the club has to offer, from our incredible beach and pool facility, to the spa and fine dining as well as world class entertainment.”

 

Trump adds;
“Since purchasing this landmark in 1985, I spend many weekends and holidays at this home away from home. When I made it a club in 1995 (126 rooms made it a very big house),”

Way to go to show how well you realte to the plight of the American voter, Donald.

Now don’t get me wrong, I am not trying to deny Trump his legitimate participation in the free enterprise system, and I am not trying to suggest that his wealth and success precludes him from possibly being a viable presidential candidate.  Afterall, Mitt Romney is not exactly your average middle-class American and I do not disqualify him.  But what I do question here is Donald Trump’s judgement.  I always have.  His recent Twitter simply confirms my doubt about his judgement.

Here we are in the middle of an election in which a devastating and stagnant economy is the preeminent issue, yet Donald Trump is tweeting about meatloaf at the exclusive country club which he is not simply a member of, but the owner of.

It leads me to suggest that if Donald Trump is actually still considering running for President, he is a bigger ass than I thought he was.

Bookmark and Share

The Huntsman-Gingrich debate verdict: Take a second look at Huntsman

Former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman and former Speaker Newt Gingrich met Monday in a one-on-one debate in a Lincoln-Douglas style format where each candidate was given five uninterrupted minutes on each topic related to foreign policy and national security during the 90-minute debate at the St. Anselm Institute of Politics, in New Hampshire. 

The debate flew along in terms of time and was brilliantly insightful.  I was extremely impressed with Huntsman’s grasp of the major threats facing the United States and his interpretation on how to deal with the challenges. The format enabled both men to explore each topic headline in depth and it was centred on substance no cheap shots were dealt by either man during the entire debate. The discussion points allowed both men to demonstrate a remarkable depth of knowledge on matters from Afghanistan, Pakistan, Israel, Iran to China.

Huntsman who wasn’t involved in the ABC debate at the weekend and has recently been involved in a spat over deciding not to be involved in the Donald Trump debate excelled throughout.  Huntsman jokingly said, “I can’t wait to compare and contrast this format with the Donald Trump debate,” Huntsman said. Huntsman was relaxed, natural, and humourous but displayed a knowledge and vision which even the most partisan onlooker could not help but admire. There can be no doubt, the former Utah Governor came off looking like one of the most intelligent, experienced people running for office possibly with the exception of Gingrich himself.

Huntsman said Iran posed a bigger problem than any other country right now, calling it the “transcendent threat” and saying all options are on the table in dealing with the regime there. He continued saying a nuclear Iran would lead Turkey and other nations to build nuclear programs. “I think all options are on the table, and I do believe we’re going to have a conversation with Israel” when Iran goes nuclear. Huntsman also said the Obama Administration missed a huge opportunity to get a foothold in the region with the Arab Spring.

Gingrich put on another masterful professorial display, he managed to speak in clear and simple terms about all the issues showing the audience the vast amount of knowledge he’s picked up and retained over decades of foreign policy work. He controversially said that the next president would most likely be put in a position to choose between assisting Israel in a ground war against Iran or standing by as nukes were unleashed from one side or the other (if not both) which could result in a “second holocaust” for the Jewish people.  One thing you have to admire about the former speaker and his campaign is that he is prepared to speak on the controversial topics that most people think privately but avoid speaking publicly on. It is refreshing to see a presidential candidate being prepared and willing to discuss them on the campaign trail

On the topic of China, Gingrich said the Chinese will be the United States’ most important relationship for decades to come. “The most important relationship of the next 50 years is the American people and the Chinese people,” Gingrich said, differentiating that from the relationship between the governments. “If you don’t fundamentally rethink what we’re doing here, you cannot compete with China,” Gingrich added. “If we do the right thing here, China can’t compete with us.” This was well received by the attentive audience.

On Afghanistan Huntsman said the United States has had success in Afghanistan, and that it should bring the troops home. “I think we’ve done the best that we could do, but I think we’ve done all we could do,” he said, repeating his past statements on the topic, which differ from his GOP opponents. Huntsman said the time has passed for nation-building and counter-insurgency, and that the new mission should be focused on counter-terrorism.

Huntsman went on to say that the United States’ relationship with Pakistan is too “transactional.” “Pakistan, sadly, is nothing more than a transactional relationship with the United States,” Huntsman said. “For all the money we put into Pakistan, are we in a better situation? The answer is no.”

During his closing remarks, Gingrich highlighted how important it was for the public to see meaningful, in-depth discussions of the policy matters which will shape the future. “This is not a reality show. This is reality.

As the moderator was wrapping up he joked with both of the candidates and the subject of doing a two person format with Mitt Romney came up. He said, “I’ll bet you ten thousand dollars he doesn’t show up.”

Following the event, Huntsman said he’d consider Gingrich as a running mate, and added that he’d like to participate in other similarly-structured debates and challenged other candidates, specifically Mitt Romney, to one-on-one issues-focused discussions.

“Based on Speaker Gingrich’s excellent performance, he is now definitely, on my short list for people to consider for vice-president of the United States,” said Huntsman, immediately following the debate.

“We’re always looking for winners and losers in these things, but I think the winners might be the American people because they actually got a sense of the world views on display by these candidates,” said Huntsman. “I think that’s a good thing and a rare opportunity in these formats … as opposed to always defining things by who is up, who is down, who wins, who loses, they actually get a little good information, which they can use to assess and analyze what the candidates are made up of, and what they may then pursue in terms of policies.”

Overall, it was a brilliant format and anyone watching cannot help but notice the quality and depth of knowledge of both men. Both men were winners merely by their participation in the debate and the quality uninterrupted time afforded by the format. Huntsman was perhaps the winner in terms of debate result, as it allowed anyone watching to see how intelligent this man actually is; he articulated his points throughout in a very polished and accomplished fashion.

I’ll go on record now and say, if Romney & Gingrich destroy each other in the primaries. Voters looking for a capable, knowledgeable alternative to President Obama would do no harm giving Huntsman a second look regardless or whether people consider him too moderate, too liberal or too conservative at present. People should be elected on ability and have the confidence that their vote could be valued as an investment in America’s future. Jon Huntsman on the evidence would represent a very sound investment for any Republican, Democratic or Independent voter.

Definitely the most enjoying debate of the election season to date, it is a pity one of the networks don’t organise a head-to-head between two candidates each night in the lead up to the Iowa caucus. This would enable all ten candidates to be afford quality time talking about the issues and not throwing out cheap shots at each other.

Trunkline 2012: Sunday Election News Review-12//4/11

Bookmark and Share ****Cain gone, Newt Ahead in Iowa, Coming in second: Ron Paul?? *****

With Cain gone, the field is looking more and more like Gingrich/Romney.  Meanwhile, liberal pundits and even some conservatives seem to be praying that Newt’s rise will be as long lived as Bachmann’s, Perry’s and Cain’s.  Is it really Santorum’s turn?  How about Ron Paul’s?

Bookmark and Share

Trunkline 2012: Friday’s Campaign Trail News Wrap-Up from White House 2012 – 12/2/11

Bookmark and Share  On this day, Trunkline 2012 delivers to you a dose of suspense involving Herman Cain’s campaign and his personal life, Palin’s wink and nod to Rick Santorum, the case for Newt, questions about Ron Paul and antisemitism, a poll question, the final calendar dates for the Republican presidential primaries and caucuses, and much more.

 

Democrat Ad Highlights Class Warfare Through Romney Meeting with Trump

Bookmark and Share    Today, as Mitt Romney becomes the latest Republican presidential candidate to kiss Donald Trump’s ring, the Democratic National Committee took the opportunity to reinforce their pathetic attempts to wage class warfare in the 2012 election.  In an ad entitled “Trump, Romney; You’re Fired[see ad below this post], Democrats attack both individuals as privileged rich men who merely victimize the middleclass in an attempt to gain more wealth.

In the first opening lines, the ad charges that both Romney and Trump have done well for themselves.

Stop! Stop right there.

Let’s analyze that.

Is it not un-American to attack someone because they have done well for themselves?  Or is it that ideology the and Party that believes in that ideology which are un-American because both seek to demonize individuals for being successful and because both try to make others dislike people because of this success?  Perhaps the DNC does not remember that 6 of the ten richest members of Congress are Democrats.  Maybe they forget that people like former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, former Democrat presidential nominee John Kerry, as well as Senators Jay Rockerfeller, Diane Feinstien, Frank Lautenberg, and Richard Blumenthal, are just some of those who are the richest.  But as we will see, wealth is not a bad thing if you’re a liberal.  Only if you’re a Republican.

President Obama recently accused Republicans of charging him with waging class warfare.  His response was that he is not waging war, he is actually just a warrior for the middleclass.  Well the truth is, this ad makes it clear that the President and his Party are indeed waging class warfare.  The first three lines of his Party’s new ad makes this painfully obvious.  And as for being a “warrior for the middleclass”,  President Obama is not fighting for the middleclass, he’s destroying the middleclass.  Under his Administration, America’s poverty rate has increased to extraordinary highs that we haven’t seen in decades.  Under his Administration, the middle class is seeing the longest recession in history and one of the highest long-term unemployment rates in our history.  Under the Obama Administration, the middle class is seeing prices rise faster than the salaries of those who are lucky to have a job.  And under leadership of President Obama, the middleclass has seen their interest on the national debt multiplied many times and while our national economy is growing by a painfully low rate of 1.7%, our national debt is growing at a rate of 15.21%.  Is it any wonder why our credit rating has been downgraded?

With the points about President Obama and the left waging class war fare and who is really the middleclasses’s enemy,  made clear, let’s go on with the rest of the ad.

With images of limousines and private jets, President Obama and his Party claim that the G.O.P. is promoting policies to help only the rich and corporations, and they resort to their typical scare tactics of senior citizens by claiming Republicans are trying to kill Social Security and Medicare.  The DNC attack ad goes on to blame Republicans for cutting funds to schools, research development, and healthcare, and of eliminating investments that can help cretae jobs and keep America competitive.

 These arguments may sound good on the surface.  But unfortunately for the left and the President, they only sound good to the left, not mainstream America.  Mainstream America has come to understand that the left is waging class warfare, scaring senior citizens, and creating policies that are making America less competitive in the world and preventing investment, economic growth, and job creation.  Simply put, most Americans have come to accept that the Obama economy and the liberal policies that account for the Obama economy, are not working.

Americans have come to understand that when liberals mention a buzzword like “investment”, what they really mean is more stimulus spending and higher taxes.  They understand that when the left talks about jobs, they mean government spending and when they throw out phrases like “save Social Social Security and Medicare, they mean deficit spending and an array of tax increases ranging from payroll taxes to death taxes and higher rates that no matter who they are raised on, are passed on to consumers.

Many have come to understand that Republicans seek not destroy Medicare or Social Security, but they do seek to insure that it is solvent for those who are on it now and that there is way for a form of the two to exist for future generations not yet paying in to those sytems yet.  They realize that when Republicans talk about jobs, they are referring to self-sustaining private sector jobs that are created by private sector investment, and sustainable econmomic growth, while at the same time, trying to get government under control so that our economy is growing at a rate faster than our national debt.

So this new atack ad is preaching to the liberal choir.  Like Jeremiah Wright preaching hatred to his flock, the DNC is preaching hate inspired rhetoric to its audience, an audience of liberals who they want to insure do not sit home on Election Day 2012 because they are embarrased by their Party’s performance.

The new liberal attack ad takes this opportunity to preach to their choir, by trying to tie Mitt Romney together with Donald Trump.

There are some negatives that do go with such a meeting.  Personally, I despise Donald Trump.  As I have written before, I believe he is an assclown.  I believe he hurts the conservative cause more than helps it and given his record of business scandals and failures, I believe he is the very last person in the world that the United States should call upon to lead it.  Ultimately, I would appreciate a Republican presidential candidate who stands up and makes that point.  I would even be more appreciative of them if they refused to feed Trump’s ego by kissing his ring.  But Trump has vowed to make his opinion known in 2012. He has even claimed that if he doesn’t like the Republican nominee, he will run for President himself.  My opinion of Trump aside, many Americans are driven by the pop culture mentality that is ruled by reality TV programs such Trump’s The Apprentice (and let us not respect the despicable lowlifes of the Jersey Shore).  So the reality is that between his money and popularity, no matter how I feel about Trump, he could be a factor in the 2012 election.  Therefore, there is a line of candidates waiting to meet with Trump.  Mitt Romney is merely the latest.

However, the Democratic National Committee sponsored web ad does not raise any of  my concerns.  It simply focusses on trying to associate Mitt Romney, a top contender for the Republican presidential nomination, not so much with Trump, but with rich people in general.  In other words, they are trying desperatley to wage class warfare. This new ad merely uses Donald Trump, not for any of the positions that they may disagree with him on.  They don’t use Trump because they want to focus on the issues or his record.  They merely use him because he is rich and because his meeting with Mitt Romney provides the DNC with the opportunity to advance their class warfare campaign against a potential opponent by demonizing the wealthy and highlighting Romney’s wealth through guilt by association ad.

Yet as I told you earlier in this article, demonizig the rich or those who are well off becuase they have been successful is only bad if you are Republican.  Need proof?  Do you think the D.N.C. will be running an ad featuring Warren Buffett as the speaker at a Chicago-area fundraiser benefitting President Barack Obama’s re-election bid on October 27th?  I doubt it.

Bookmark and Share

Donald Trump is the Last Person Republicans Need In Order to Win in 2012

Bookmark and Share    According to Michael Cohen, Donald Trump’s Executive Vice President and lead Yes-Man, Donald Trump is “a playmaker” and the “Godfather of politics”. In an interview with ABC’s Top Line, Cohen states “Donald Trump will, of course, basically…. become the president or, unfortunately, have President Obama become reelected.”

I’m not sure how to break it to Mr. Cohen or his boss, but Donald Trump ain’t all that!

In truth, he is a moronic ass-clown. Don’t get me wrong, he’s a financially wealthy one, but an ass-clown none-the-less. And if Michael Cohen really believes that his boss will determine the fate of this nation in 2012, he‘s an even bigger fool than Trump is. Of course Cohen could just be making his hefty salary by following the orders of his boss, but he is not doing Trump any favors by feeding his HUMONGOUS ego. Someone should remind Mr. Trump that when it comes to his only perceived claim to fame……..success as a businessman, there exists a truly disastrous trail of bankruptcies, and failed ventures that left countless other people in financial ruin

In fact, over the last 17 years Trump has had a minimum of 19 major business failures, or on the average, one every 11 months.

They include the following:

  • Trump Plaza Hotel bankruptcy – Trump was forced to file for bankruptcy after being unable to make Trump Plaza’s debt payments. Under the plan, Trump agreed to give up a 49% stake in this luxury hotel to Citibank and five other lenders.
  • Trump Shuttle closure – The Trump Shuttle became defunct and was merged with Shuttle Inc,. as USAir Shuttle.
  • Donald Trump personal bankruptcy – In 1994, Trump unloaded $900 million of personal debt and eliminated $3.5 billion in business debt at the cost of those who did business with him.
  • Trump Hotels & Casino Resorts’ bankruptcy – In 2004 Trump Hotels & Casino Resorts filed for bankruptcy.
  • Donald Trump personal bankruptcy (again) – In 2004 Trump again filed for personal bankruptcy protection and restructured his debt in .
  • Taj Mahal bankruptcy – In 2006 Trump’s Atlantic City Taj Mahal casino empire filed for bankruptcy protection to restructure what had become another crushing debt.
  • GoTrump.com – In 2006, just a year after he started this internet service venture, it folded.
    Trump 29 Casino – In 2006, Trump had to end his ownership and management of Trump 29 Casino.
  • Donald Trump Ocean Resort Baja – Investor’s were left holding the bag for up to $500,000.00 in deposits that Trump never returned to them after this intended Mexican resort failed to ever be built. Trump claimed that it was the developers fault, not his.
  • Trump Towers Tampa – Another never built venture after buyers lost $45,000 individual deposits that were never returned despite the fact that the 52-story condo was never built.
  • Trump International Hotel and Tower Chicago – Trump defaulted on a $40 million loan used to build the second tallest building in Chicago.
  • Trump Magazine – Thanks to a lack of interest and ad sales, Trump’s magazine which was aimed tat affluent readers, folded and became the third magazine with his name on it to fail.
  • Trump International Hotel & Tower New Orleans – Intended to be the tallest building in all of Louisiana, this 70 story New Orleans entertainment structure was indefinitely put on hold in 2009.
  • Trump Entertainment Resort Holdings bankruptcy – In 2009, Trump Entertainment Resorts Inc., the casino operating wing of Trump’s organization, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection with a debt ratio of $50 million in assets to his $500 million in debt.
  • Donald Trump SoHo Hotel Condominium – Donald Trump was sued for fraud over his New York SoHo condo offering in 2010. The building is being overseen and marketed by Donald Trump and his children The multiple litigants in the lawsuit charge that Trump advertised that the building’s units were “as much as 60 percent or more sold” when in fact only 16% were sold.
  • Trump International Hotel & Tower Fort Lauderdale – After defaulted on another loan, this time a $139 million loan, Trump announced in 2010 that he was no longer a part of the project.
  • Trump International Hotel & Tower Las Vegas – This 1,282-unit condominium hotel closed on 302 . The 23.6% vacancy rate forced Trump to rent out the building as apartments.
  • Trump International Hotel & Tower in Dubai – Announced in 2005, the $2.9 billion project never got off the ground and has been replaced with a shopping mall.

In total, Trump’s climb to fame and fortune has actually left a trail of financial schemes, scandals, shenanigans, and failures that amount to a sum total large enough to finance a collection of small nations. Yet we are suppose to look up to Donald Trump for his business expertise and look to him for leadership on a national scale? Ronald Reagan himself could not have even been elected Governor of California, no less than President of the United States with a closet filled with as many skeletons as Trump’s closet has in it. But according to Trump’s consigliore, if The Donald does not become President, he will appoint the next President. According to Cohen, while Trump will not endorse anyone until he has personally spoken to all of them……….. “If he does get behind whoever the candidate may be, what’s going to happen is that individual will basically lock up the Republican nomination.”

Really?

Do these people really believe that the 2012 election is going to be another episode of The Apprentice that reaches its climax by Trump telling us who he fires?

Does Cohen not realize that his words sound more like something out of a script for a bad remake of The Godfather, or a new cable mini-series comedy about a Mafia family moving into to the White House? When speaking of his boss’s intentions, Cohen sounds more like Paulie Gualtieri, one of  Tony Soprano’s  Underbosses who is better known as Paulie Walnuts, than he does a legitimate spokesman?.

He speaks with a thug-like air of arrogance that comes off as a threat and having such a character represent Trump is no help for the aspiring kingmaker or king that Trump wants to be. In fact by having Cohen in the political role that Trump has him in, is significant reason to doubt Trump’s own political judgment and credibility, especially in Republican presidential politics.

Not only is Cohen’s own political knowledge or more accurately, lack of knowledge, going to hurt Donald Trump, it did not help Cohen himself either, for even though Cohen is a political neophyte, he’s not a political virgin, he‘s more like horny teenager still trying to get to third base. Recent political failures of his own prove that.

In 2003 Cohen changed his Party affiliation from Democrat to Republican in order to run for a New York City Council seat. He lost that election to little known Democrat Eva Moskovitz in a landslide. Then in In 2009, Cohen tried to run for a New York State Senate seat, but ended up quickly abandoning that sorry idea. Now a registered Democrat again, Cohen admits to having voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and was once a volunteer for Michael Dukakis in his failed 1988 bid for President.

So it would seem that not only does Michael Cohen have a miserable track record, and not only is he ideologically challenged, he is also little more than a political opportunist who views Party affiliation as way to gain ballot access, not as a representation of beliefs. But such is what Trump has as his chief political advisor. And now Trump wants to give Republicans his own advice. He wants to tell Republicans who their nominee will be and if they do not take that advice, he threatens to become President himself and proclaim himself to be the Godfather of politics.

Give me a break.

While it would seem that many of the Republican presidential candidates are kissing Trump’s ring as they schedule to briefly meet with him, they do so only as an unfortunate political necessity based on money. As an individual, Trump is worth nothing. Even his own money is not worth much politically. But the financial benefirt that can come to a candidate through access to the wealth of those who are tied to Donald Trump, is worth a great deal. For that reason, candidates like Rick Perry and Mitt Romney will surely take time out of their schedule to meet with Trump and stroke his ego.

But Donald Trump should not take this as a sign of being a kingmaker. He should realize that when all is said and done, a candidate’s or nominee’s political ties to him will be more detrimental than beneficial to that candidate or nominee. Donald Trump’s financial, personal, moral, and legal history is something that can not stand up to political scrutiny on a national level. His background is filled with the type of scandalous intrigue that novelists base bestselling books on. All someone like Barack Obama needs to win reelection is the opportunity to run against Donald Trump. And if he can’t run against Trump, tying whoever the Republican nominee will be the next best thing. Add Michael Cohen’s mouth to that and what you have is a great reason to ask Donald Trump to stick to doing what he knows best…………going in to personal bankruptcy. Lord knows we don’t need anymore politicians to help bankrupt the nation.

The last thing the G.O.P. needs right now is an arrogant, obnoxious rich Republican with a foul mouth and a spokesman like Michael Cohen who speaks in terms that are more reminiscent of a mad scientist’s plot to take over the world than of political dialogue that can be taken seriously.

Bookmark and Share

Donald Trump Fires His Own Presidential Ambitions

Bookmark and Share As promised, the month of May is producing a significant amount of clarity in the developing Republican presidential field. At the beginning of the month, Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour announced he would not run for President. This Saturday, former Governor Mike Huckabee declared that he would not be a candidate in 2012, and now we have learned that real estate mogul and reality TV star Donald Trump will not be running for President.

In an early afternoon statement released by the Trump organization, (see the complete press release below this post) The Donald indicated that his real passionand talent is for business and he is not yet willing to give itup for politics.

This announcement has left many ill-advisedTrump enthusiasts at a loss. Trump supporters were looking for a political outsider, with business experience and a say-it-like-is attitude. Now, withTrump definitely out of the running,his supportersjoin with the significant number of Huckabee supporters who have also been left without a candidate. If you believe current polls, Huckabee and Trump accounted for a third of all Republican voters. This third is now up for grabs and as they all look for a corner to run to, the perfect time for a new name to enter the race has been created.

It is fairly obvious that Huckabee and Trump voters are not pleased with any of the existing names in the Republican field. Now that they are unaligned, they are still not likely to be content of these names. However, as they look for a satisfactory alternative, candidates like Pawlenty, Santorum and Herman Cain could begin to appeal to these newly disenfranchised voters and lure them into their camps. That being the case, now is the perfect time for a new name to jump in and scoop up these wayward Huckabee and Trump voters before they align themselves with an another existing candidate.

As for Donald Trump’s decision, it was to be expected. White House 2012 has noted on several occasionsthat while Donald Trump may initiallybe a popular candidate, due to Trump’s nature and character, it would not have translated in to being a popular politician.Hispotential candidacy alsobrought with it an ability to do more harm than good to Republicans. Trump’s antics, unprofessionaluse of vulgarities, and total lack of finesse and diplomacy was arecipefor certain disaster that would have produced a sideshow-like atmosphere within the Republican nominating contests. This side-show would have been a debilitating distraction from the real issues anda from a serious search for a serious presidential candidateto run against President Obama.

In the end,while I have not been very kind to DonaldTrump and his political viability, I must admitthat his decisionnot to run, was a smart one, a smart one for him, for the G.O.P., and the nation.His statement announcing that he wouldnot be a candidate for president in 2012 seemed to be genuine. It reflected Trump’s own acceptance of who he really is and what he is best at.If DonaldTrump is nothing else, he is a personally successful individual. Such personal success does not come by acting impulsively or without an understanding of ones own capabilities. On this decision, Trump demonstratedthat he knows himself well.And while I am sure he truly gave running for president, serious consideration, I firmly believe thathe alsoknows just how serious he can take himself.

Bookmark and Share

Actual Trump Press Release

For Immediate Release:

New York, New York: May 16, 2011

After considerable deliberation and reflection, I have decided not to pursue the office of the Presidency. This decision does not come easily or without regret; especially when my potential candidacy continues to be validated by ranking at the top of the Republican contenders in polls across the country. I maintain the strong conviction that if I were to run, I would be able to win the primary and ultimately, the general election. I have spent the past several months unofficially campaigning and recognize that running for public office cannot be done half heartedly. Ultimately, however, business is my greatest passion and I am not ready to leave the private sector.

I want to personally thank the millions of Americans who have joined the various Trump grassroots movements and written me letters and e-mails encouraging me to run. My gratitude for your faith and trust in me could never be expressed properly in words. So, I make you this promise: that I will continue to voice my opinions loudly and help to shape our politician’s thoughts.

My ability to bring important economic and foreign policy issues to the forefront of the national dialogue is perhaps my greatest asset and one of the most valuable services I can provide to this country. I will continue to push our President and the country’s policy makers to address the dire challenges arising from our unsustainable debt structure and increasing lack of global competitiveness. Issues, including getting tough on China and other countries that are methodically and systematically taking advantage of the United States, were seldom mentioned before I brought them to the forefront of the country’s conversation.

They are now being debated vigorously. I will also continue to push for job creation, an initiative that should be this country’s top priority and something that I know a lot about. I will not shy away from expressing the opinions that so many of you share yet don’t have a medium through which to articulate.

I look forward to supporting the candidate who is the most qualified to help us tackle our country’s most important issues and am hopeful that, when this person emerges, he or she will have the courage to take on the challenges of the Office and be the agent of change that this country so desperately needs.

Thank you and God Bless America!

Donald J. Trump
Michael Cohen
Executive Vice President and
Special Counsel To Donald J. Trump

Airtime for the backups

Aside from Tim Pawlenty, going into last night’s debate I think most pundits considered these to be second tier candidates. After last night, I will admit that the perception that most of these candidates don’t have a viable shot probably hasn’t changed. However, there were clear winners and clear losers. Here is my take on the debate, which at times will be blunt and harshly honest:

Tim Pawlenty

Pawlenty demonstrated why he is a top tier candidate. He was professional, studied, and Presidential. He took clean shots at Obama and did not make missteps. However, his answer to Cap and Trade may come across to the base as a weak answer. Cap and Trade is already widely unpopular with the TEA party and conservative right. It is almost as unpopular as humbling yourself before the media and admitting a mistake. I think it was the best answer Pawlenty could give, but it highlighted that unfortunate decision to initially support Cap and Trade. Pawlenty’s other disadvantage coming into last night was that everyone expected a polished performance. He will be judged at a higher standard. I was pleased to see Pawlenty show some charisma and get the crowd motivated. However, when it came to charisma, Pawlenty was not the candidate who stole the show.

Herman Cain

Cain provided the night with a dose of Donald Trump charisma mixed with Sean Hannity conservatism. Cain was unequivocal and commanded the stage. He was a crowd pleaser who handled each question without a gaffe or misstep. I think Cain’s performance brought many conservatives to believe that he could be the conservative answer to the straightforward, no nonsense approach that Trump had become so popular for. My prediction is that we will begin to see Trump wane in popularity now that the birther issue has run its course and Cain stands to benefit. We will see if Cain can capitalize on his performance.

If Cain’s popularity does grow, he will need to find answers to a lot of questions on issues that have not seen the light of the mainstream media yet. For example, Cain defended his support of the Fairtax by mentioning the concept of a “prebate” paid to every family at the beginning of the month for essentials. But is Cain prepared to face scrutiny on the prebate idea? The IRS paid out billions in fraudulent stimulus checks as a one time deal. Kiplinger says that the IRS estimates that 25% of earned income credit payouts were incorrect and fraudulent. Can the government cut a check to every family in America at the beginning of every month without an Internal Revenue Service, individual tax returns, and massive fraud? Also, getting rid of the IRS sounds nice, but who is going to make sure businesses remit the fairtax and prebates are paid out without a revenue department in the government? Perhaps we will see in the course of this primary if Cain is running on answers or populism.

Rick Santorum

Santorum did a good job as a whole, and will appeal to the same conservatives that Bush appealed to. The question is if Santorum can position himself as more likely to win than Obama. Santorum’s message resonates with social conservatives, and he made it clear last night that his message hasn’t changed. Will conservatives vote for Santorum? While presenting himself as a solid candidate, he did not say anything last night that distinguished himself or rocketed him into the top tier. Santorum’s win for the night was the fact that he showed up, while Gingrich, Huckabee and others did not. But he is still overshadowed by other conservative heavyweights, including Gingrich, Bachmann, Huckabee, and now Cain.

Ron Paul

Paul hasn’t changed since 2008. While he says many things that make sense to conservative constitutionalists and libertarian Republicans, Paul still comes across as the enemy of all things Democrat and Republican. This is great for wooing independents and libertarians, but will not win Paul the Republican primary. For most of the night, I felt myself agreeing with and cheering Paul, but he will once again be the martyr of the protectionist, states rights conservatives. They understand what Paul is saying, they just can’t figure out why non-Paul Republicans don’t. Here’s a hint, Ron Paul still comes across as abrasive, obnoxious, and anti-Republican. This man could be President if he could figure out how to sell himself and explain why what he believes would actually work. I spent a good part of the evening asking myself why Republicans don’t support Ron Paul, but the answer is the same as last time he ran. He is an uncompromising and radical philosopher campaigning in a world of soundbites, and soundbites are not kind to Ron Paul.

Gary Johnson

Picture a more abrasive and whiny version of Ron Paul, but without the name recognition. With Ron Paul in the race, who needs Gary Johnson? He did not distinguish himself, except to come down on the traditionally liberal side of Iraq, Afghanistan (supported it before he was against it), and drugs. His “cost/benefit” approach to drug legalization portrayed a dollars above principles approach to policy. Whether his views on the cost benefit of the war on drugs are right or wrong, such a calloused approach to a moral question will not win him a conservative majority. Johnson only made matters worse by dismissing the conservative majority in the Republican party as unnecessary in the primary and guaranteed to be loyal in the general election. He should ask John McCain if Republicans need social conservatives to defeat Obama.

Johnson’s moment of charisma showed itself in the form of scolding the moderators for not asking him enough questions, a move that screams “I am unpolished, second tier, and everyone knows it but me”. He will find his frustrations at not being taken seriously will continue to grow, mainly because he is not a serious candidate.

Summary

After last night, I think Herman Cain moved up, Santorum, Paul and Pawlenty remained unchanged, and Johnson moved down. Gingrich was probably hurt the most by not showing up, Romney was hurt the least. Gingrich could have used the exposure and chance to showcase his debate skills. Romney sofar has seemed to transcend any primary activity in early polls as an assumed front runner by most whether he shows up or not. Mitch Daniels was probably the most unfairly represented absentee at the debate itself. In the end, the only lasting effects of this debate will be a bump for Herman Cain.

Where They Stand. White House 2012’s Monthly Ranking of the Republican Presidential Contenders

Bookmark and Share For the fourth month in a row, Mitt Romney remains ranked number one on White House 2012’s ranking of the Republicanpresidential contenders. Each month a formula that combines the ranking of each member of White House 2012’s contributing staff establishes the final results. And they are as folLows:
  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Mitch Daniels
  3. Tim Pawlenty
  4. Newt Gingrich
  5. Sarah Palin
  6. Rick Santorum
  7. Mike Huckabee
  8. Ron Paul
  9. Gary Johnson
  10. Donald Trump
  11. Jon Huntsman
  12. Michele Bachmann
  13. Herman Cain
  14. Rick Perry
  15. John Bolton
  16. General David Petraeus
  17. Jim DeMint
  18. Rudy Giuliani
  19. Chris Christie
  20. Buddy Roemer

During the month of April, therewere notruly dramatic shifts from the previous month. The top ten remains largely the same with a few moves up or down for some.

Although not an announced candidate, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels continues to hold on to the number two spot, while Newt Gingrich and Tim Pawlenty switch places asNewt drops a notchto fourth place and former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty moves up oneto third. Former Alaska Governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin holds on to fifth place and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorummaintains sixth place.

The most significant jump up in the ranking for any candidate, comes from to self-describedLibertarian-Republican and former Governor of New Mexico, Gary Johnson. He moves up four slots to ninth place. Fairing the worst in the WH12ranking is conservative South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint. DeMinthas repeatedly stated that he will not run for President, but with his intention to be a part of the process in order to shape the debate, there is still a perceived lingering chance for him to become a late entry in the race, especially if there does not rise to the surface a clear conservative choice in the field. But the chances of that are slipping as DeMintfallssix places, to 17th.

New to the WH12ranking this month is former Louisiana Governor Buddy Roemer. Out of twenty slots, he comes in 20th. He may begin to rise a littleafter Thursday’s presidential debate in South Carolina on Fox News. With only a few of the possible candidates attending, this will probablybe one of Roemer’s only chances of getting noticed and for people to learn that he is running.

If there is anything to berealized from this month’s WH12ranking, it is that there have been no events or movements by potential candidates that have swayed people one way or the other. Thus confirming that the 2012 election is running on a later schedule than it did in 2008. Aside from the confirmation that Haley Barbour is not running and that Donald Trump is looking like he may run, little has changed the conventionalthinking regarding Mitt Romney’s tentative frontrunner status which is a natural result of his 2008 campaign for President.And there is nothing that has changed the ability for Mitch Daniels to be a significantly competitiveforce if he decides to run. At the same time, according to WH12’sranking, based upon the current pool of possible candidates, names like Gingrich, Santorum, and Palin seem to show that they have a good chance of also being competetive, top-tier candidates.

In the end, at this point in time, it is anyone’s guess who Republicans will have opposing President Obama in 2012. That lack of a solid and obvious choice simply creates more and more doubt as many speculate that some yet unnamed, late entries in to the race will surface. With some names having announced that they will definitelynot run in 2012, we are left wondering who those late entrants might be. Could Texas Governor Rick Perry be pulled in to the race? Will one of the dynamic, but still untested, new governors be drawn in to the nomination contest? Is it possible that any number of them can enter the race, such as Nevada’s Brian Sandoval, New Mexico’s Susana Martinez, Wisconsin’s Scott Walker or even slightly more senior newbies like Virginia’s Bob McDonnell or New Jersey’s powerhouse, Chris Christie? It is possible but highly unlikely. Any one of them have a much better shot at ending up on the presidential nominee’s vice presidential short list.

Could a fed up Republican from the senate enter? That too is possible. Maybe someone like Wyoming’s Senator, Dr. John Barrasso, or Alabama’s Jeff Sessions decide there just isn’t a suitable candidate in the race and so they jump in themselves.While the chance is there, it is quite slim. If any name that has not yet been discussed becomes a surprise candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, expect it to come from somewhere outside of politics. Like from the ranks of successful entrepreneurs. Maybe some wealthy, virtually unknownname like that of former naval reserve intelligenceofficer John Crowley,will stepon to the stage and sucks the air out of the room. John Crowley is the highly successful owner of a biotech company. But his business was not based on money, it was based on love. Love for his children who had a disease so rare, that the biotech industry had no incentive to pursuea successful treatment for it. So against all odds, Crowley started his own biotech company. Not only did the risky move produce a succesful treatment that keeps his children alive, his company continues to make new breakthroughs within the industry.

In 2010, because the Crowley story was so powerful, it was made into a movie, “Extraordinay Measures” starring Harrison Ford and Brendan Fraser.

A person like Crowley has the type of intelligence, personal fortitude and can-do spirit that is truly American and that American’s can truly appreciate. And Crowley’s ability to translatethat into political success can not be underestimated.

fortunatelyfor President Obama, Crowley is not likely to run for President. Instead, to the fortune of the state of New Jersey, John Crowley may be running for the United States Senate against Bob Menendez. But there are many other compelling success stories andexamples of true leadership that exist outside of the halls of Congress or governor mansions. So there could still be a surprise candidate who could shake things up, but the clock is ticking and the opportunity to be a viable candidate is dwindling. Short of that, this month’s White House 2012 ranking is the way we see the nomination going so far.

Bookmark and Share

Draft (fill in name here) for President

Bookmark and ShareAs the Republican presidentialcontest begins to sort out who is running and who isnt running, public anxiety over who can actually be a viable candidate to run against President Obama, mounts. At the moment, there is a great deal of chatter about how the G.O.P. has no one who can mount a credible challenge to President Obama in 2012. Such an assertion is ludicrous, but natural. Without any single name to naturally gravitate towards as the logical leader and face of the opposition to the President, it is easy to believe that misconception. But it is important to remember that recent history shows us that the existence of an undeniably obvious nominee for the Party opposing an incumbent President is rare.

While there are always names that may seem to have the inside track for the nomination, at this early stage in the game, you usually do not have a name that is the clear frontrunner and logical candidate to lineup behind.That’s the case for republicans right now.And it is that sentiment which has forced many who are opposed to a second term for President Obama,to goon the hunt for the perfect candidate. Such pre-primary activity is a natural manifestation of the desire to insure that the incumbent President is not reelected. History has been laced with efforts to draft popular figures to run for the Oval Office.

Perhaps the most famous and one of the only truly successful draft efforts in American electoral history was that of General Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1952. That effort actually began in 1948 when Democrats believed that President Harry S. Truman had no chance of getting elected. An active duty General, Ike had believed in being non-partisan when it came to politics, so for Democrats, having him carry their mantle was quite possible. And when it seemed as though Republicans might nominate General Douglas MacArthur as their candidate for President, Harry Truman himself offered to run as Eisenhowers vice presidential running mate if he would accept the Democrat Partys nomination.

Four years later Republicans who had not held the White House in twenty years and Democrats who had noincumbent to run for reelection for the first time in 16 years, clamored for a nominee who could easily win the presidency in 1952. Republican standard-bearerThomas Dewy had been the Partys nominee twice and twice he was defeated. As a result, Dewey was not inclined to run for a third time and Republicans were not inclined to let him run as their nominee again. But Governor Dewey and Massachusetts Senator Henry Cabot Lodge worked to persuade Eisenhower to run for the Republican presidential nomination through an organization called “National Citizens for Eisenhower”. Up till then, the closest name that Republicans had to a frontrunner was Robert Taft.

Senator Robert Taft

Taft was the establishment’s choice, but a schism between isolationist Republicans, represented by Taft, and internationalist Republicans who wanted someone else, gave the draft Eisenhower movement much momentum. At the same time, the spread of Communism was an issue of most importance and it was the one issue most responsible for Eisenhowers willingness to accept a run for the White House.

Ike believed in the use of diplomacy to contain the red menace in Europe. But Taft had a McCarthy-like belief in weeding out subversion at home. Things finally came to a head behind closed doors when Eisenhower told Taft that he would absolutely refuse to run if Taft agreed to collective security of Europe. But Senator Taft refused and so Ike allowed the draft movement to proceed. He also decided that if he would accept any nomination it would be the Republican nomination. This he determined when he realized that he was not in synch with the Democrats big, central government, liberty eroding approach to all the issues facing the nation.

President Dwight D. Eisenhower

By early January of 1952, Eisenhower made it clear that if he was offered the Republican presidential nomination, he would accept it. And so without Eisenhower even knowing, Henry Cabot Lodge placed Eisenhowers name on the New Hampshire Republican Primary ballot. But Eisenhower still did not campaign. In fact he told people that he did not believe that support for him was a popular as many tried to claim.

Then in February, a Draft Eisenhower for President rally was held in New Yorks Madison Square Garden. The event was expected to draw a whopping 16,000 people to it. But those projections were wrong. An overwhelming 25,000 people showed up. A month later, General Eisenhower won every single delegate in the New Hampshire primary as he defeated Robert Taft by 50% to 38%. The rest is history.

The next closest example of a draft effort, came in 1964. The effort itself though, actually began in 1961.

With the defeat of Nixon in 1960, the Republican Party began its long, contemporary evolution towards the right. The leaders of the Republican Eastern establishment seemed to have exhausted its hold on to the type of influence it had been wielding. And at the same time a growing number of conservatives were beginning to organize. These numbers first took root within the ranks of the National and State Young Republican organizations. but while all this was happening, Arizona Senator Barry Goldwater began serving as the Chairman of the Republican Senate Re-elect Committee. In this position he traveled thousands of miles, spoke before tens of thousands of people and quickly became the most popular face of the growing conservative movement.

By the time 1961 approached, with no clear choice for the 1964 Republican Presidential nomination, Conservatives itching to take the Party over from the liberal establishment, began to organize and think about who their candidate for President would be. Among a small group of political insiders, the consensus was Barry Goldwater. But Goldwater refused to run. He did not believe that he could win and he did not want his family exposed to the rigors of such a national campaign.

Then in June of 1961 Time magazine placed Goldwaters picture on their cover and did a story on his growing national popularity. They wrote;

“Goldwater is the hottest political figure this side of Jack Kennedy…. No Republican is more in demand. Since March, Goldwater’s Washington office has received more than 650 written invitations for the Senator to put in an appearance, plus hundreds of telephone requests. Goldwater’s mail runs to a remarkable 800 pieces a day…[and] visitors crowd around Barry Goldwater’s fourth floor suite in the Old Senate Office Building hoping to earn a passing hand clasp or a hastily scrawled autograph.”

This added to the motivation that a small group of activists already had. F. Clifton White, William A. Rusher, and Ohio Congressman John M. Ashbrook, began a process that combined tens of thousands of conservative contacts and began to organize a process that would get them in to Republican Party leadership positions. The most important of these positions were those of delegates to the 1964 Republican National Convention. This behind the scenes, group of three, eventually became a group of 22 and continued to grow from there. Soon it became known as the Suite 3505 Committee. 3505 being the address number of its New York City office.

Congressman John Ashbrook

After intense networking of Young Republicans, women s groups, and conservative oriented voters of all kinds, the expanded executive committee of this group concluded that Barry Goldwater was their only real choice for President in 64. But Goldwater still rejected the notion. So the committee quickly became an official draft organization that would seek to force Goldwater to run. It expanded and created state committees and between petitions, publicity and aggressive persuasion, Barry Goldwater decided on November 20, 1963 to run for the Republican presidential nomination.

Two days later, President John F. Kennedy was assassinated. This changed everything. Kennedy was a friend of Goldwater and the two had come to look forward to a sincere campaign that would test their ideologies. Goldwater also knew that with President Johnson now as his opponent, his own Southern base would be undermined. Two weeks after President Kennedy was assassinated, Goldwater announced that he would not be a candidate. However, The draft movement that had been in place never stopped and on December 11th, 1964, with polls showing Goldwater to be the clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination, he reentered the race.

Both of these draft movements teach us lessons that are relevant to todays approaching presidential election.

The draft efforts of 1952 and 1964 were both successful in getting the person they intended nominated. But both campaigns involved figures who had some sort ofundeniablyobviouspopularity. For Eisenhower it was popularity among the general population. For Goldwater, it was popularity among a growing movement within the population. Each provided momentum but equally as important, each had a candidate that was at some point in time willing to run. So the question is, can a successful draft effort be waged for the 2012 election?

It is clear that the G.O.P. is not in a position to use 1952 as a model. There is no single figure who is as popular among both Democrats and Republicans as Eisenhower was. But there are some parallels to 2012 that can be drawn from the 1964 draft Goldwater effort. Here we have a comparison that can be made between the emergence of the Conservative wing of the G.O.P. in the 60s, and the rise of the TEA Party movement of the past two years.

But there are two important distinguishing factors that come with this comparison.

The organization of the Conservatives movement in the 1960s involved coordination from within the political establishment, four years before the next presidential election. This allowed for an expedited path to organizing the movements ability to takeover the Party from within and, to elect Party officials and delegates to the National Convention. The TEA Party began on the outside of the establishment and even though it now has a few of its own on the inside, they have much less time to organize than did the effort of 1960. But perhaps the most important of all differences is that unlike the case with Conservatives in 64, the TEA movement has no one person that it is solidly behind. In 64 the Conservative movement had Barry Goldwater as their clear favorite, the consensus candidate. The Taxed Enough Already movement lacks that clear consensus choice. Is it Sarah Palin? Is it Michele Bachmann, Donald Trump, Herman Cain, Allen West, Marco Rubio, or someone else?

Sarah Palin is the one contender with whom a draft movement could possibly be most successful. But even if all the right pieces were to fall into place and a successful 1964-like Barry Goldwater draft effort helped make Sarah Palin the Republican presidential nominee, that draft model failed to win the general election.

Draft efforts that are based only upon movements within a particular segment of society are able to influence the smaller electorate of partisan politics, but they have less of a chance to influence the vast majority of the larger electorate as a whole. This is not to say that the TEA Party movement cant influence the nomination of a Republican candidate that can win the presidential election. They can. But that influence can not come through a draft effort that labels the nominee as the TEA Party candidate. Just as it did not work when Goldwater was labeled the Conservatives candidate. Being a conservative candidate and being the Conservatives candidate create two vastly differently images. The latter is a direct negative connotation implying that one is owned by a particular group. The former indicates ones own sense of conviction. It may be shared with others, but it is not owned by others.

Probably one of the most successful draft campaigns that Republicans could run is one which seeks to make General David Petraeus our nominee. Like Eisenhower he is not seen as particularly partisan, he is not viewed as being owned by any Party or movement, and at a time when our nation is waging one war, possibly getting involved in another, and winding another one down, the choice of a General as our nations leader carries a certain populist logic.

Then again, the sense of the electorate is that our economy and the national budget are our most immediate top priorities. Who would be a natural candidate to draft given that consideration?

If Donald Trump were not such a dangerously fowl mouthed, often irrational and egomaniacal, loose cannon, he could have been a strong draft pick. Were it not for RomneyCare, Mitt Romney with his private sector, managerial, and business experience, would have been another perfect fit for solving economic problems. But we all knew that Romneyhas beenrunning for a long time now, so a draft effort was never even needed for him. In factfor all intents and purposes, he should be the frontrunner without a draft effort.

Governor Mitch Daniels

The person perfectly suited for a successful draft campaign based on the economy would be Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels. As a former budget director he earned the nickname The Blade” and his leadership inIndiana, particularly on the state budget, is unmatched. Indiana is one of the most solvent state’s in the nation and its economy has been one of the strongest of all during the current economic malaise. Of course for Mitch Daniels, there is already a very active draft effort underway.

Students For Daniels has aired commercials in Iowa, organized college campuses on state levels, created an active and effective website and maintained a degree of pressure that is all good. But Mitch Daniels seems reluctant to make a decision to run and as such, the draft effort begun by Students for Daniels would need to quickly expand beyond students if it is to achieve its goal. But even then one must ask, could a person like Mitch Daniels attract a crowd of 25,000 to Madison Square Garden as the draft effort for Eisenhower did in 1952? Its unlikely.

Truly successful drafts are rare and at this stage in the game, it is unlikely that such an effort would be very productive. Although there are a handful of names that I believe are worthy of draft efforts and have an ability to generate popular support, many of those names are clearly unwilling to run. Two personal favorites of mine include Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan. But with 17 months or so to go, it may not be possible to coordinate the type of effort that could generate the national euphoria for their candidacies that would be necessary for them to accept the nomination. Paul Ryan is quite satisfied with the extraordinary power that he wields as Chairman of the House Budget Committee and while Marco Rubio is a sort of new phenomenon, he clearly intends to pace himself. Rubio does not want to be a flash in the pan.

That is why, all things considered, the Republican Party is probably best left to a process that involves the unforced participation fo candidates. We will be best suited by a contest that allows the eventual nominee to have to earn his or her popularity based on their ability to demonstrate the courage of leadership, their innovative solutions to our problems and the capacity to translateconservatism into the practical application of government. A contest that allows for suchabilities to be publicly tested through a hard fought campaign, can truly make those who currently believe that a viable candidate is not on the horizon, begin to believe that the right person has been right in front of eyes all this time.

Political campaigns have a way of producing heroes. Some quickly fade when the campaign ends, others linger on as trusted elder statesmen. But either way, the winner of those campaigns earn themselves at least a temporarydevout following and the 2012 primary process will be no different.

In the mean time, we the people, still seek that perfect candidate. And that search has produced no lack of current draft efforts. Here are just some that can be found:

2012 Draft Sarah Committee

Draft Jim DeMint for President in 2012

Draft Paul Ryan for President

Chris Christie for President

We Need Michele

Draft Cain 2012

Draft Allen West for President 2012

Jeb Bush 2012

Draft Rudy Giuliani for President

Students for Daniels

Draft Rand Paul for President

Draft General David Petraeus for President

Draft Michael Bloomberg 2012

Draft Lou Dobbs for President

Should Trump Run

Draft Gates 2012

Draft Mike Huckabee for President 2012

Draft Jesse Ventura

Draft Dick Cheney for President

Draft Marco Rubio for President 2012

Judge Andrew Napolitano for President

Bookmark and Share

Trump Has His Way With Obama

In Obama’s birth certificate speech, where he called on others to not be divisive and then called birthers a bunch of circus barkers, Obama claimed that he was releasing his birth certificate because that story was overshadowing the budget debate. But according to ABC’s Jake Tapper, a Pew Research study showed that the budget still outplayed the birther story in the media even over the past week.

So that leaves us with two very important questions. Why did Obama release his birth certificate yesterday, and of course the big one: why did Obama wait until yesterday to release his birth certificate?

Trump Did It (?)

Trump did not view the birth certificate release as a defeat. Instead, he took credit for it, claiming to be honored that he was able to do what others had not. While this may be Trump’s ego talking, he has a point. Trump gave this story legs and legitimacy that it had not enjoyed before. Trump even got the media to start scratching their heads and wonder why Obama wouldn’t simply release it.

Trump may not end up being a serious candidate for President, but he has a charisma that most deep intellectual GOP candidates lack. Romney, Gingrich, and Pawlenty may know that Obama is dead wrong in his policies, but they haven’t stood up like Chris Rock in Head of State and shouted “That ain’t right!” to a wildly cheering crowd who doesn’t really care if he knows what IS “right”.

The other question is why wait until yesterday? Let me offer this suggestion: the birthers provided Obama with a clear extreme to campaign against. Having that issue outstanding, and the ace up his sleeve, gave Obama the chance to paint the TEA Party and conservatives as lunatic fringe. Between that and the race card, this President and his supporters have already prepared their 2012 answers to the question of “why am I not better off than I was four years ago”. What the “last eight years” did for Obama in 2008, the title racist birther was going to do the same in 2012. Now the birther card is played. One less distraction, as the President himself called it, is laid to rest. We are getting dangerously closer to having to focus on issues in 2012.

Love or hate Trump, and whether this was for his ego’s sake or dumb luck, Donald Trump has done the GOP a huge favor by gambling on the birther issue. And perhaps Trump lost this gamble, but Obama has one less ace up his sleeve.

Morning Memo: Election News from the Campaign Trail for April 22nd, 2011

Bookmark and Share
Bookmark and Share

The Daily Tweet

Bookmark and Share

White House 2012’s favorite Tweet for the day comes from Professor Larry J. Sabato, one of the best, if not the best political analysits in the field…..

“We have to cover Trump because he’s moving up in the polls!” Um, he’s moving up because you’re covering him so much

We love the fact that Sabato had the sense to point out that one of the reasons for Trump’s recent popularity was the non-stop coverage that the fawning media is giving him and not neccessarily his slef described superior leadership and peoples skills

But today’s Tweet of the Day was a tossup. Larry Sabato had another good one that was in contention:

I love Larry Sabato. He is always perfect, if not nearly perfect, in his assessments.

Bookmark and Share

Trump Shrugged: The Donald Addresses South Florida Tea Party

Bookmark and Share On Saturday, sounding like a protagonist hero straight out of Ayn Rands Atlas Shrugged, Donald Trump electrified Tea Party enthusiasts at a rally sponsored by the South Florida Tea Party in Boca Raton. (see and hearthe complete speech on video below). Referring to President Obama with phrases like youre fired, and calling him the worst President in history, the reality TV star and real estate magnate drew great ruptures of applause with many one-liners but he spent much of his time boosting his ego and painting himself as the savior of a nation in decline.

Trump told the crowd “I have very high aptitude. I was a great student. I went to the best schools.” and “I’ve come out almost always as the victor, and I have to say that because, you know, I don’t want to be braggadocios, but that’s the kind of a person, whether it’s me or somebody else, the country needs as president.”

As has been the case lately, Trump did not leave out his questioning of President Obamas place of birth. but on policy, Trump did give some positions. He declared himself to be an anti-abortion, anti-gun control, conservative, who can handily win the Republican nomination for President if he decided to run. He described Americas infrastructure as third worldly and in desperate need. Trump also pledged that if he became President, he would not raise taxes, and that he would create “vast numbers of productive jobs” and “get rid of Obamacare”, which he called a total disaster.” At one point the political neophyte stated, “Considering the shape the United States is in right now, we need a competitor and a highly competent person to deal with what’s going on,” He later added: “If I run and win, our country will be respected again.” On foreign policy, Trump offered many criticisms of the U.S. and in a swipe at China he said that the United States should take control of Iraqi oil. He alsoremarked thateven though Japan has been “screwing us for 30 years”, helping them after the earthquake and tsunami was right thing to do and he added that the fact he felt that way demonstrated that he did indeed have a heart.

The crowd ate the entire performance up as Trump spoon fed them all the red meat that they could swallow. And thats fine. So long as somewhere down the road he starts issuing details and not Hollywood scripts. Because methinks Donald Trump is no Dagny Taggert, but his pop culture name recognition and television persona is making many others think that Trump has all the right stuff. Unfortunately for him though, year long political campaigns have a way of changing things and it has yet to be seen if Trumps stuff can withstand the political pressure and invasive public scrutiny that politics brings to the table. You have to remember that while both towns are a bit fake, Hollywood and Washington, D.C. are still worlds apart.

Bookmark and Share

%d bloggers like this: