Christie, Gingrich, Daniels and Romney Top New Jersey Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share At a gathering of Republican candidates, campaign managers, staffers and grass root activists, White House 2012 and Building the New Majority sponsored New Jerseys first Republican presidential straw poll for the 2012 election and the winner was their own Governor, Chris Christie.

Of the 196 voters who participated, 19.8% named Governor Christie their first choice for the Republican presidential nomination. Coming in second was former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich with 12.5%, followed by Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 9.4% each, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 7.3%, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush 6.3%, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty 5.2%, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin tied at 4.2%.

The Garden State Republican Presidential Straw Poll consisted of 25 of the most often mentioned names and likely contenders in the emerging Republican field. Due to the large size of the still developing field and the likelihood that some, if not many of those names on the ballot may not run, or may not make it to the New Jersey primary, unlike most traditional straw polls, the White House 2012/BTNM ballot also asked New Jersey Republicans who their second choice for President was. The big winner here was Mitt Romney who was the second choice of 20.8% of voters. This conclusion is quite important given the fact that Governor Christie has repeatedly denied any interest in running for President in 2012.

Following Romney in this second choice category was Sarah Palin, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, each with 8.3%, Mike Huckabee 6.3% and Mitch Daniels 5.2%.

Click here to read raw numbers

A third question on the ballot asked voters to describe their place on the ideological scale within the Republican Party. None of the respondents described themselves as liberal but 75%, or 144 of the participating voters called themselves conservative, and the remaining 48 (25%), described themselves of moderate.

Among self described conservatives, a majority of 15.3% named Chris Christie as their first choice for the presidential nomination and 23.6% of them named Mitt Romney as their second choice for the nomination. As for moderates 33.3% of them also declared Christie to be their first choice but their second choice for the nomination was Rudy Giuliani who took that position with 25% of the vote from moderates.

See complete results below this post

The poll was conducted by White House 2012 and Building the New Majority amongNew Jersey Republicans who participated ina recent seminar sponsored by Building the New Majority and the Family PolicyCouncil that took place in Parsippany, New Jersey.

While these results are by no means a sure sign of how the New Jersey Republican presidential primary will turnout less than a year from now, it does offer a good glimpse at where the energies and enthusiasm of the activist base of the states G.O.P. lie. These results demonstrate to me, that at this stage in the game, if Chris Christie is true to his word about not running for the nomination, Mitt Romney looks good in New Jersey. Romney worked the Republican base and Party activists pretty well in 2008, and while minds are by no means made up yet, his efforts of the last campaign for president are giving him a slight advantage in New Jersey in the coming election.

As indicated by the numbers, the results were influenced by a largely conservative vote, but a strong conservative influence is likely to dominate New Jersey’s actual presidential primary. How much has yet to be seen.

The Raw Numbers

Who is your FIRST CHOICE for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination?

Who is yourSECOND CHOICE for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination?

Do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or conservative Republican?

  1. Conservative 144 75%
  2. Moderate 48 25%
  3. Liberal 0 0

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Rick Santorum Sends A Message To New Jersey Republican Straw Poll Voters

Bookmark and Share As White House 2012 and Building the New Majority conductsa presidential straw poll of New Jersey Republican grass root activivsts, candidates, campaign managers and staffers, former Pennsylvania Senator and likely presidential candidate Rick Santorum, has sent them a message which credited New Jerseyans with starting in 2009 what he called “the American Renaissance” Santorum writes:

“What New Jersey gave, the rest of America is taking. Each of us needs to step forward and stand tall for what we know to be true, that America is the most uniquley exceptional nation in the history of the world, not just b ecause of what we have accomplished, but for who we are as a people and all that we aspire to be.

The American renaissance started here [New Jersey] in 2009, and the rest of the country picked up the flag last year. But we must continue to fight by electing a new President in 2012 and electing a new Republican Senate majority”

You can click on the image below to read the complete message.

White House 2012 will is conducting a straw poll at a conference sponsored by Building the New Majority, a statewide organization that identifies, developes and empowers candidates byfocussing in onthe development of candidates for local, county and state offices through direct contributions and grassroots support in order to help rebuild the New Jersey Republican organization from the ground up. The White House 2012/ Building the New Majority Garden State Republican Presidential Straw Poll will be the first of its kind in New Jersey for the 2012 presidential election and should give a sense of where the Party’s base currently stands on the evolving Republican presidentiall nominating contest.

Results of the poll will be released on Saturday, March 26, 2011, the second day of the Building the New Majority conference.

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Click on the image below to read a larger version of Senator Santorum’s complete message

Should the G.O.P. Presidential Contenders Support Military Intervention in Libya?

Bookmark and Share As President Obama leads America into military action against Moamar Quadaffi, this week White House 2012 asks readers if it wise for any of the potential Republican presidential candidates to support American involvement in the enforcement of the No-fly Zone over parts of Libya?

With ongoing intervention in Iraq and war in Afghanistan that are both based on a policy of preemption, the question is an important one. In recent years, the ongoing efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan have given rise to bi-partisan yearning for a non-interventionist foreign policy, that would allow the United States to avoid being the worlds policeman. The issue is one which drives the loyal support of such potential candidate as Ron Paul, whose followers will play an important role in determining the Republican presidential nominee.

So in this particular situation, what would be the wisest and most beneficial position for a Republican presidential candidate to take on Libya?

Click here to take the poll.

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Can Mitt Romney Successfully Argue Against Obamacare with Romney-Care?

Bookmark and Share While Mitt Romney is in many regards, considered a frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination, he has come to carry, rightfully or wrongfully, some heavy baggage that prevents him from actually being the frontrunner for the nomination.

The most heavy is his creation of Massachusetts’ healthcare plan which he put together and pushed for the passage of through the state legislature. That healthcare plan is often considered a precursor to Obamcare, the Administrations signature government program which 62% of Americans want to repeal. Repealing Obamacare is even the number issue of any potential Republican candidate for President, including Mitt Romney.

So White House 2012 has asked readers if Mitt Romney can convincingly argue against Obamacare by claiming he would repeal it and that he would never usurp the constitutional power of states with a federal takeover like Obamacare?

Governor Romney argues that although he would change some parts of his state healthcare plan for Massachusetts, his plan was a good start. But Romney goes on to say that he would never pass a one size fits all law, that usurps the rights of the states. As a result, White House 2012 believes that Mitt Romney will run for the Republican presidential nomination with a campaign that emphasizes states rights. But with Romney-care hanging around his neck and with candidates from Haley Barbour to Rick Santorum and Tim Pawlenty, hammering Romney on this issue, can Mitt arguments overcome the negative connotations that stem from his state healthcare law?

According to White House 2012 readers, 61.63% believe that Romney cannot convincingly argue for states rights and against Obamacare. 22.09% believe that he can successfully overcome the arguments against his state healthcare law and another 16.28% believe that he might be able to do so.

These results indicate that not only is Romney-care the biggest hurdle for Mitt to have to overcome in 2012, a predominant number of Americans may not be willing to buy into any strong stand for states right that his potential campaign may try to make.

Stars01.gif picture by kempite

This week White House 2012 asks readers whether or not it wise for any of the potential Republican presidential candidates to support the decision to have the Unites States enforce a No-fly Zone over Libya?

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White House 2012 to Co-Sponsor New Jersey’s First 2012 Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share White House 2012 is proud to announce that it has arranged for the creation of New Jerseys first Republican presidential straw poll of the 2012 election cycle. Together with Building The New Majority , White House 2012 will co-sponsor this straw poll on Saturday, March 26th, 2011.

The poll will be taken on the second day of a two day Republican seminar/conference at the Hilton Hotel in Parsippany New Jersey. The event is sponsored by Building the New Majority and the New Jersey Family Policy Council. Its focus is on training candidates, campaign staff and grassroots Republican activists, how to run winning campaigns without comprising their values. Attending the event will be New Jersey Republicans who range from Party leaders, state committeemen and future candidates, to their staffs and grassroots activists within the GOP and even the TEA Party movement.

White House 2012 will be overseeing the straw poll and providing ballots that will rotate the order of the names of the Republican presidential contenders that will be on it.

While it is too early to declare a frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination, White House 2012 hopes to provide some insight as to not just who New Jersey Republicans are leaning towards but also the type of candidate they are favoring. Making the White House 2012 straw poll different from other similar ones, is the addition of a second choice among voters. This helps to better predict trends, especially in the case of a first choice, not entering or dropping out of the nomination contest by the time New Jerseys primary rolls around.

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Mitch Daniels’ Victories in the Pacific Northwest. Real or Imagined?

Bookmark and ShareOn Sunday, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels won a straw poll of Republican leaders and activists at an annual meeting of the Oregon G.O.P.. Back in January, at a similar gathering in Washington State, Mitch Daniels won their straw poll too. It has been reported that these victories were achieved without any campaigning by Governor Daniels or any known organized effort on his behalf. So the question is, why is the Governor from the Midwest, so popular with the Republican establishment of the Pacific Northwest?

Interestingly, in both Washington and Oregon, there seems to be a bit of a consensus that it is Governor Daniels prowess with his state’s budget, and even more responsible than that, it seems to be his successful efforts in curtailing the abuses of big unions.

In an interview with White House 2012, when asked what accounts for Daniels’ popularity among Republican activists in the Northwest, Oregon National Committeeman and founder of the Republican National Committee’s Conservative Caucus, Solomon Yue, Jr., stated;

“I believe Northwestern Republicans appreciate the fact that Governor Daniels had used his executive order to strip state employee unions of their collective-bargaining power and the ability to collect dues by payroll deduction six years ago. He has achieved what most Republican governors are still fighting for – curtailing the collective-bargaining power of public-sector unions.”

Mr. Yue recently wrote a Washinton Times op-ed on Daniels’ handling of unions.

Yue is not alone in his thinking. On the condition of anonymity several Republican County Chairman in both Washington and Oregon, independently confirm Yue’s opinion as to why Daniels is popular among Republicans in the Pacific Northwest. One conservative Washington County Republican chair who voted for Tim Pawlenty in the January 31st straw poll, says that those who voted in the Republican gathering in Washington State, “looked at his [Mitch Daniels] ability to bring a state that had as a big a budget mess as Indiana, and bring it into good fiscal circumstances, and liked what they saw and voted for him” They add that what Daniels did Indiana “was impressive”.

The same G.O.P. leader also credits Daniels popularity in the region to the fact that the wave that the nation saw in 2010, didn’t make it to Washington state. They add, “Washington and Oregon have a substantial moderate influence in them”. Another point made was that the Republican conference in Washington that made Daniels the winner of their straw poll “had a higher percentage of young people in attendance and they are more moderate of what is typical.”

But a former Republican operative and leader in Washington State’s Pacific County has a different opinion. They tell White House 2012 the following;

“Mitch Daniels is not that popular in Washington and Oregon. He is relatively unknown.. except among political wonks.”

That same figureadds that those in attendance at the Washington and Oregon conferences “were NOT the Republican Committees that voted in a straw poll. They claim that these events…….

“were attended by a wide variety of center-right political activists. They are not part of the Republican Party. They are organized and sponsored by conservative and Republican political operatives”

Theformer leader and stillGOP insider adds;

“The attendees consist of politically minded people who favor fiscal conservatives. The nature of the conferences tends not to focus on social conservative issues. Hence, the people who attend are somewhat like the candidate.”

This explanation tends to make a bit more sense. For while Washington and Oregon may have their own problems with public service unions, they are no worse off than other states which are seeing similar problems. Therefore, I can’t see why the way Mitch Daniels handled unions in his state, would stand out so much more among Republicans in the Pacific Northwest than it does, say in the South or states like Iowa.

But the opinions I have gathered confirm a few things. First, they do make it clear that Mitch Daniels has a solid reputation among Republican activists on fiscal issues, a still most important one as we move closer to the 2012 election. It also proves that Mitch Daniels still has some problems with social conservatives. This is in itself odd because while Mitch Daniels actually has one of the most socially conservative records of all the possible Republican presidential contenders, he is not known for his political stances on those issues which he once famously stated that Republicans should “call a truce” on. That remark has hurt him among social conservatives who now doubt Daniels’ commitment to the issues important to them. While this may not help Daniels with the far right base of the Party, it does help him in what one Republican county chairman from Oregon calls their “moderate” base.

The funny thing is that the far right might eventually come to see strength in Mitch’s, ‘actions speak louder than words’ approach to their social agenda. They might also come to understand that what Mitch meant by his call for a truce, is that we must prioritize and right now the priority is jobs, our fragile economy, and our crushing national debt.

The fact that such things are a priority for Mitch Daniels are the very same reasons why the more moderate “higher percentage of young people” who attended the recent Republican gathering in Oregon, tend to support Mitch. It may also eventually be realized that if Republicans are going to remain competitive as we move forward, they will need these younger, more moderate voters behind them, as they are with Mitch Daniels.

Either way, Mitch Daniels’ straw poll victories in the Pacific Northwest are not necessarily representative of the opinion on the street, but it does show that he has some committed activists who may be important in organizing at the grassroots level. And while the results of the Washington and Oregon straw polls may not be a true precursor of things to come, one thing is quite clear, Mitch Daniels’ reputation on economic matters, budgets and his handling of unions, precedes him and it helps him. It helps among Republican of all stripes.

In Oregon, another Republican County leader who did not attend the recent Dorchester event where the Republican straw poll was taken, said she was “surprised” by the results but added “the more I learn about Mitch Daniels, the more I am impressed by him”.

It remains to be seen if the Daniels’ winning streak in the Northwest corner of the nation can be maintained elsewhere. Other straw polls of similar Republican activists in places like Iowa, South Carolina and New Hampshire have not produced the same winning results. But that could change if Mitch Daniels becomes an actual presidential candidate. However; that decision may now lie in the hands of Democrats in the Indiana state legislature. Mitch Daniels has promised not to make a decision on a run for President till the end of the Indiana state legislative session which is suppose to be in April. But now, thanks to a confrontation between them and Daniels on the issue of unions, Democrats are holding the Daniels agenda hostage and risk extending the legislative session too long for him to enter the presidential race.

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Republicans Support Big Cuts in Spending Even If it Forces a Government Shutdown.

Bookmark and Share Last week White House 2012 asked readers if Republicans should hold out for significant spending cuts and risk the Presidents vetoing of a budget that would force a shutdown of the federal government. Had the House Republicans and Senate Democrats not brokered a deal last week that passed a continuing resolution which delayed the inevitable by two weeks, we could have easily seen a shut down already.

But the possibility for a government shutdown still exists and according to the White House 2012 poll conducted between Sunday, February 27th and Sunday March 6th, readers overwhelming support Republicans sticking to their guns and forcing Democrats to go along with significant budget cuts even if itforces a shutdown of the federal government.

82.46% of respondents believe that Republicans must hold their ground, while a mere 17.54% believe that they should do all they can to avoid a such a disruption of government.

The poll proves two things.

First, the majority of White House 2012 readers are conservatives, at least fiscally. (Thank goodness for that). That would account for the enormous lean towards cuts. But it also shows that there is unity within the G.O.P. on the issue of federal spending. Republicans clearly stand united in a small government model which believes in less government, less debt and more freedom.

This week White House 2012 asks readers if Mitt Romney can overcome his creation of a Massachusetts healthcare plan that was seen as a precursor to Obamacare, by using the argument that he would never usurp the rights of states by adopting a one-size-fits-all healthcare program for all the states.

The healthcare plan that Mitt Romney was instrumental in creating and passing when he was Governor of Massachusetts, is seen as the largest hurdle for him to overcome in his anticipated run for the Republican presidential nomination.

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Click here to take the poll.

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