Inevitabilty Begins To Doom the Hopes of Romney’s Rivals

Bookmark and Share    A recent Gallup poll would seem to indicate that a perceived sense of  inevitability concerning Mitt Romney’s winning the Republican presidential nomination  is beginning to cast a shadow over the rest of the Republican field of candidates.

The poll shows that Romney is finally breaking out of the mid twenty range of support that he has consistently been mired in, has broken the 30% range and in a field of four other major candidates, is now making a run for the 35% mark. 

Normally, I put little weight in national polls, when the winner is determined on a state by state basis.  However, in a larger sense, this poll would seem to be a sign that Republicans are beginning to resign themselves to a sense of inevitability surrounding the nomination of Mitt Romney.  It is a perception which became unavoidable after Romney won both Iowa and New Hampshire and was only boosted by reports of Romney’s increasing lead in the soon to be hed third nomination contest of South Carolina.

According to Galllup:

“Mitt Romney is now the only candidate that a majority of conservative and moderate/liberal Republicans nationwide see as an acceptable GOP nominee for president. Conservative Republicans are more likely to say this about Romney than about either Newt Gingrich or Rick Santorum.”
 
If that is accurate, it would be a pleasantly surprising sign that if Romney does become the nominee, establishing Party unity behind him may not be quite as difficult as once suspected. 
 
Gallup also finds that while Romney is consolidating support behind him for the nomination, with exception of Ron Paul, Romney’s remaining rivals are losing support.  The candidate trending down worst of al is Newt Gingrich.  Ron Paul is reamining staedy as he ne neither gains or loses support.
 
 
While this is a good sign, it should not be enough to make Mitt feel too comfortable.  There is still a fair chance that the increasing likelihood of a Romney nomination can finally inspire dissatisfied Republicans, fed up conservatives, and ticked off TEA movement activists to unite solidly behind one clear alternative to Mitt Romney in any number of the states leading up to Super Tuesday. 
 
But given the terrain between now and then, and the financial resources required to aggressively contest those states, Romney still holds a significant advantage with a strong and now growing base of support in most all the upcoming contests.  That schedule is as follows.

Saturday, January 21st: – South Carolina 50 25 delegates

Tuesday, January 31st; – Florida99 50 delegates

Saturday, February 4th – Nevada  23 delegates, Maine24 delegates

Tuesday, February 7th; – Colorado – 36 delegates, Minnesota – 40 delegates, Missouri -53 delegates

Tuesday, February 28th;  – Arizona 58 24 delegates, Michigan –  59 30 delegates

Saturday, March 3rd; – Washington – 43 delegates

Tuesday, March 6th;  (Super Tuesday)- Alaska – 27  delegates, Georgia – 75 delegates, Massachusetts – 41 delegates, North Dakota– 28 delegates, Idaho – 24 of 29 delegates, Oklahoma – 43 delegates, Tennessee – 58 delegates, Texas – 152 delegates, Virginia – 49 delegates, Vermont – 17  delegates, Wyoming29 delegates

While the race is certainly not over and Romney can’t take anything for granted, he must now also begin to lay the groundwork for the next stage of this election cycle.  That would incude  uniting the many factions of the Party and to inspire them all.  If this pol as a good indication of how things are realy going, it woiuld seem that Mitt needs to thank President for being the reason why Republicans are seemingy preapared to unite behind Mitt.  But that will still leave Romney with the need to inspire thise whoa re willing to support him over Barack Obama.  It now looks like that may be the toughest challenge ahead for Mitt.

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Who Would Be a Stronger Candidate Against President Obama? Romney or Gingrich?

Bookmark and Share    Whether people realize it or not, the Iowa Caucuses must be consider a pretty wide open contests.  Gingrich, Romney and Paul, may be looked at right now as the candidates with the best shot at taking first place in that contest.  But given the uniquness of Iowa and the complexities of caucus elections, it is not impossible for Rick Santorum or  Michele Bachmann to surprise the political world with a first place showing.

But even if such a placement in Iowa eludes ether of them, you can bet on them having a relatively strong showing that will certainly have an affect on who does win Iowa.  If they end up getting more support from social conservatives than currently expected, they could deny Gingrich and Ron Paul enough votes to beat Romney’s vote total and give him the Caucus win.

How it plays olut will be quite interesting, but for now, polls in multiple state’s aside from Iowa, present a picture that has the nomination contest coming down to two men, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich. So this week, White House 2012 is asking readers to tell us which of the two is the strongest one to run against President Obama.

Two weeks ago, White House 2012 asked readers which Republican presidential candidate they thought was most capable of beating President Obama in the presidential debates? In that poll,  an overwhelmingly number of respondents believed Newt Gingrich was the candidate with the best shot at outshining Obama in the debates.  Mitt Romney came in a distant second:

  • Newt Gingrich  48.19% 
  • Mitt Romney  16.06%  
  • None of them  7.23%  
  • Ron Paul  5.22%
  • Michele Bachmann  4.42%  
  • Herman Cain  11.24%  
  • Jon Huntsman  2.81%  
  • Rick Santorum  2.41% 
  • Rick Perry  1.2% 
  • Gary Johnson  1.2% 

But as the first voting in the nomination process gets closer, we would now like to know if  voters believe that the ability to outperform President Obama in a debate is enough to beat the President in the general election?.  So this week, we ask you, with all things considered, which of the two strongest debaters is the  candidate with the best overall chance of beating President Obama in the general election?

Click here to take the poll now!

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Who Won Thursday’s Fox News/Google Debate in Florida and Why?

Bookmark and Share  With nine candidates and many questions asked by American citizens through Youtube, who if anyone do you think won Thursday’s Fox News/Google Debate in Florida?

Click here to take the poll

Then leave your comments explaining what made candidates winners and losers in this most recent debate. Or join the debate about the debate on White House 2012’s Facebook discussion page.

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Should Republicans Continue To Question President Obama’s Birth Certificate and Citizenship?

Bookmark and Share With White House 2012s first national Republican presidential straw poll over (see results here), this week we presentyou with a poll question that deals with asn issue whicg strikes many Republican quite differently.

Those whodoubt the validity of President Obama’s birth certificateand question where he was born, are derogatorially identified as birthers . These so-called birthers want proof that President Obama has an authentic birth certificatewhichproves he was born a United States citizen. But there are many people, including many within the G.O.P., that believe any question about the Presidents citizenship and record of his birth have been settled long ago.

This week White House 2012 asks readers to let us know if they think it is wise for the G.O.P. to pursue the issue of the Presidents birth certificate and citizenship, or whether or not it should be avoided?

Let us know where you stand. The poll closes on Sunday, April 4th, 2011 at 10:00 pm EST. Click here to vote now!

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Vote In the White House 2012 National Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share We are currently in to the second week of White House 2012s First National Republican Presidential Straw Poll for the 2012 election. Responses are coming in fairly steadily with 28% coming from the Northeast followed by 21.5% from the Southeast, 18.3% in the Mid West, 17.2 from the Southwest and trailing in the back of the pack is the West who make up only 15.1% of the vote. As for how the votes are breaking among the 24 candidates in this straw poll, all that White House 2012 can tell you at this time is that the numbers are producing some surprises that run contrary to popular thinking.

The impetus behind this surprise could be due to the preponderance of conservatives who subscribe to and read White House 2012. Currently 68.8 of the respondents describe themselves as conservative, while 28% are self described moderates and a mere 3.2% of brave souls consider themselves to be liberal Republicans. Another factor could be the desire to see some outsiders who could get in and change politics from the inside. But enough said on that. If these results don’t hold, neither will that theory.

No matter what the breakdowns show now, the more voters who give us their opinions, the better chance we have of coming to a conclusion which accurately measures which candidates with whom the enthusiasm lies behind. On the balot are 24 possible contenders. Each name iseither running setting up an exploratory committee or has expressed their interest in possibly running. White House 2012 is taking people like Chris Christie, Bob McDonnell, Marco Rubio, Bobby Jindal and others who have said they are not running for Presiden. And so those names are not on the ballot. But of the 24 major names that still might be running, there are penty of choices to choose from.

They are:

  • Michele Bachmann
  • Haley Barbour
  • John Bolton
  • Herman Cain
  • Mitch Daniels
  • Newt Gingrich
  • Rudy Giuliani
  • Mike Huckabee
  • Jon Huntsman, Jr.
  • Gary Johnson
  • Fred Karger
  • Roy Moore
  • Sarah Palin
  • George Pataki
  • Rand Paul
  • Ron Paul
  • Tim Pawlenty
  • Gen. David Petraeus
  • Rick Perry
  • Bob Riley
  • Buddy Roemer
  • Mitt Romney
  • Rick Santorum
  • Donald Trump

Please take a moment to cast your vote in the poll and pass the link that is here http://wp.me/PVXi4-TS to your Repubican friends, and ask them to vote.

When done, the results will be broken down by region, by ideological leaning, and by who gains support if others fail to last very ong in the race. So hep us take this snapshot of the eeisting political landscape. Vote here in the National Republican Presidential Starw Poll

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Take the White House 2012 Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share Today President Obama has officially become a candidate for reelection and over the course of the next few weeks, many Republicans are likely to officially enter the race in hopes of becoming the Republican presidential nominee to challenge the President.

So it as at this point time that White House 2012 would like to invite you to participate in our first presidential straw poll. They tend to be educated and decisive voters with more than a passing knowledge of politics and the candidates who seek and hold office in the political process. White House 2012 readers also tend to be the grass root activists and leaders within the G.O.P., the people who will most help to shape who the Republican nominee for President is. For that reason White House seeks your opinion and the chance to gauge with whom the momentum and enthusiasm lies.

Please take a moment to vote in this straw poll. Register your support for the candidate of your choice and let them know how much support they have or dont have by clicking here.

In order to break down the results and to better establish any trends that may exist, the WH12 poll asks you four questions. First it asks what region you reside in. That is followed by your ideological preference and finally your first choice for the Republican presidential nomination and then your second choice for the nomination. We want to know who you would support in the event that your first choice does not run or doesnt stay in the race long enough for the primary or caucus that is held in your state.

And when you’re done voting, please pass the link to this poll, http://wp.me/PVXi4-TS to other Republicans that you know and ask them to vote too.

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71% Believe GOP Candidates Should Oppose U.S. Creation of the Libyan No-Fy Zone

Bookmark and Share As President Obama explains Americas actions in Libya and tries to avoid receiving the same type of criticism that he himself leveled against the previous President for involvement in the affairs of other nations, an overwhelming majority of White House 2012 readers say that the potential Republican presidential candidates would be wise to oppose American involvement in the enforcement of the No-fly Zone over parts of Libya

The White House 2012 poll asked;

Is it wise for any of the potential Republican presidential candidates to support American involvement in the enforcement of the No-fly Zone over parts of Libya?

21.67% of all respondents said Yes, it would be wise while 71.67% said it would not be wise. 6.67% believed that the best position for the Republican candidates for President to take is one which called for more action in Libya than President Obama has committed to.

The poll is mainly indicative of a Republican electorate weary of ongoing interventionist policies such as those we see in Iraq and Afghanistan. Many Republicans know that revisiting similar policies in another hard fought election, would probably hurt GOP chances of winning more than help. But the situation is much worse for President Obama than for any of the potentiaql Republican presidential contenders.

While Republicans may disagree with the America led creation of the Libyan No-fly zone, it is more than likely that they were never going to vote for President Obama regardless od what his on this issue was. However; many in the Presidents liberal base have expressed disappointment and anger in Obamas decision to militarily intervene in Libya. Many in that base are repulsed by what they see as a policy quite similar to that of former President George W. Bush, a position that is anathema among the left.

But regardless of President Obamas position on the issue, contrary to the advice that White House 2012 readers offer in this poll, most contenders in the Republican presidential field believe that not only should the United States should be involved in the creation of the No-fly Zone over Libya, they criticize President Obama for not having acted earlier and more decisively than he did. Indeed some like Mitt Romney attack President Obama for what he describes as the Presidents relinquishing our leadership roll in the world to the French, who were the first to take on Kaddafi and who were in the lead on creating the No-fly Zone. A similar opinion has been shared by many other potential contenders such as Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich. Haley Barbour is one of the few who articulated extreme reluctance for our involvement in Libya.

The issue is one that might play a significant roll in the GOP presidential nominating contest. It is one that could fuel the isolationist, Ron Paul, libertarian, element within the Party and help swing a .small but winning plurality over to candidates like Barbour who were not quick to pull the trigger on Libya.

While that issue will continue to play itself out, this week’s White House 2012 poll quickly changes topics and moves from the international political arena to domestic election politics and asks whether or not Fred Karger, the first candidate to make his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination official, should be allowed to participate in al the upcoming Republican presidential debates.

Karger is openly gay, the first openly gay person to run for President in either major Party. Yet some forums, such as a recent Iowa Faith and Family forum, refused to allow Karger to participate because he is gay. This week’s poll asks whether or notsuch future treatmentof Karger should continue as time goes by or if he should be allowed a place in the debates. Click here to take the poll

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