Texas Governor Rick Perry Eyes a 2012 Presidential Run

Bookmark and ShareGovernor Rick Perry has in the past, stated that he will not run for President. He probably meant it at the very moment of each specific time he said so. But politics is as changeable as the weather. A slight shift in a weather front could turn a sunny forecast into a cloudy day and for politicians the most modest alterations of political reality could change their mind on a dime. Hence the reason why Rick Perry has reportedlybegunpolling voters outside of Texas.

With less than a year before the first presidential nominating contest and at time when many contenders are preparing to kick off their campaigns, there is still no clear frontrunner or any one particular name that automatically jumps to the forefront. Furthermore, with the possibility of some of the best names choosing not to run, the field must be considered wide open. The popular Texas Governor is well aware of this.

For Governor Perry, changing his mind about a run for President in 2012 is a very real possibility. Based upon the current political priorities and attitudes in America, specificallyas they pertain to theeconomy, when it comes to the Republican presidential nomination, Rick Perry is not perfect but on paper, next to Mitch Daniels of Indiana, he is probably one of the best positioned elected officials there is for the job.

He starts off as the very popular Governor of the state with the second largest number of delegates to the Republican National Convention and a state that only three people have ever made it to the White House without winning in the general election. Then when you add to that his regional influence within the 13 Southern and border states, that gives you approximately 30% of the total delegate count to the national convention, a number which is more than half the total required to win the presidential nomination.

In addition to those beneficial built in numbers, Perry has a strong fundraising machine, one which could start raising money on a moments notice. Then there is the overall physical and personality appeal. While some potential candidates like Mitch Daniels and Tim Pawlenty convey unexciting political personas, Rick Perry is quite a presence on the stage. In addition to having a rugged, All-American, Marlboro Man-like look, he is an exciting speaker who conveys believable confidence and optimism to much of the electorate and most all of the TEA Party movement.

But among the most important aspects to the promise of a potential Perry candidacy are the issues. On every aspect of the majortopic of the day, the economy, Perry has a most appealing dossier of economic accomplishment for the great state of Texas. Perry’s state leads the nation in exports, business growth and job creation. Perry’s state has cut taxes and spending and balanced its budget with a surplus left over. His strong positions on states rights once prompted him to evoke thoughts of secession, a thought that appeals to many who are fed up with a federal government that they see treading on their rights. His lead in opposing oppressive and constitutionally questionable federal EPA laws will also provide him with some mileage.

Perry isone of the few incumbent office holders who has a record that can still appeal to the anti-establishment, sentiments possessed by much of the TEA Party and the anti-government mentality that has often been the key to Republican electoral success (i.e.: Ronald Reagan).

Overall, Rick Perry can not be underestimated. He has already made electoral history by becoming the only person to be elected to three consecutive terms as Governor of the Lone Star State. Former President George Bush was the first to be elected to just two consecutive terms as Governor. But there in lies one of Perry’s greatest hurdles. While he could easily be a very popular regional candidate in the South, outside of the South, any comparison to George W. Bush will make a substantial number of voters leery of electing another Texas Governor, President.

If Perry is as adept a campaigner on the national stage as he has been in Texas, he could marginalize the stigma attached to electing another Texas Governor so soon after President Bush. The hurdle is not insurmountable. Especially if the final Republican field lacks any candidates with the star quality and proven record Governor Perry possesses. If that is the case, I suspect that Rick Perry will be a late entry into the race and become a fresh face for the national press to focus in a field of rivals that will have then become old news.

And for those who are still unsure of Perry’s ability to appeal to the national electorate, just imagine the commerical below after it is tweeked for a presidential candidacy.

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