Mitt Romney Wants Sarah Palin to Run for President

Bookmark and Share    In an interview with USA Today’s Susan Page, Mitt Romney states that he hopes Sarah Palin runs for President.

According to Romney;

“I think it would be a good thing if she did. She would make the race that much more exciting, bring more people to watch the debates, and I hope she gets in.”

Romney is totally correct on those points.

Palin’s entry into the race would have an incredibly positive affect for Republicans in the 2012 election. It will especially take a lot of ink away from President Obama.

However Romney does not mention the real reason why he would like Palin to run.

With Sarah Palin in the nomination contest, candidates like Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Herman Cain, will have their vote totals suppressed by Palin’s candidacy which will absorb much of their support. And while she holds down the vote totals of candidate like Bachmann and Perry, Romney has a good chance to see his establishment conservative vote totals surpass all others and wrap up the nomination earlier rather than later.

Of course, with Palin running, there is also a good chance that Romney will lose…………..to her.

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Palin’s Presidential Write-In Candidacy

Bookmark and Share    Sarah Palin had originally indicated that she would make a decision about a run for President in 2012 by the end of September. Yet in a recent interview with Sean Hannity she seemed to indicate that her decision might not come until November. When asked about her intentions and after being reminded by Sean Hannity that crunch time is approaching soon, Governor Palin responded by stating;

“There is still time, Sean, and I think on both sides of the aisle you’re going to see people coming and going from this race,”

According to Palin;

“In the Republican race, in this primary, I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time. And I’m still one of those still considering the time factor.”

When Hannity asked she didn’t need to make a decision by November, her response was;

“You do, legally you do, because you have start getting your ducks lined up to have your name on these ballots.”

But probably the most telling comment she made during her interview was;

“This is going to be such an unconventional election cycle. … Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process.”

Trying to dissect Palin’s words is probably futile. The former Governor and Vice Presidential nominee is keenly aware that her every word is scrutinized, and from them are extrapolated some wild hypotheses . As such, she quite smartly, and intentionally throws out phrases that keep speculation about her front and center.

But there are several realities that can’t be denied. The most glaring one is that if Governor Palin intends to run, in order to get her name on the ballot in South Carolina and Florida, she must make her candidacy official and file the proper paperwork within the next 5 ½ weeks.

Or does she?

As Palin said in her interview, “Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process.”

When it comes to unconventional, Sarah Palin is the quintessential queen of unconvential. No politician is as unconventional as her. And while some suggest that her unpredictable nature makes her an unlikely political leader, it can not be denied that much of Palin’s popularity is based on her unconventional tendencies. It is what makes her the anti-establishment candidate at a time when the popular TEA movement that decided the 2010 midterm elections, is looking for an anti-establishmentarian figure to lead our nation.

So what could Palin have meant when after admitting that by typical legal standards, one would have to make a decision about the presidential election soon, but then suggested that this election is not going to be typical?

It is true that Palin would have to make her candidacy officially within the next several weeks if she intended to have ballot access in the South Carolina and Florida primaries. But it is also true that Palin could still win both those contests without appearing on the ballot. If an aggressive write-in effort were waged, Palin could actually catapult herself into frontrunner status and turn this election on its ear. That would certainly live up to her promise that we are about to enter into “an unconventional type of election process.”

To help make that promise come to fruition, Palin could remain an undeclared presidential candidate and continue to draw thousands to the appearances she she is already making around the country. But with a shifted focus on visits to Iowa, South Carolina, and Florida, and a few additional words, she could be in this race until the Republican national convention concludes.

With all the talk about Republicans not being very confident or excited by any of the existing candidates, Palin can appeal to those dissatisfied Republicans, and TEA movement voters by remaining the anti-establishment Republican. She can simply suggest that if you really want to send a message to Republicans and Democrats alike, we should think outside of the box that the establishment has put us in and do not limit ourselves to the candidates that the two Parties offer. And then all Palin needs to say is……

“Write in the name of the person you want to lead this nation, don’t just mark off one of the names that the Party machine allows you to choose from”.

From then on, a movement will be born, a movement that will make writing Sarah Palin’s name in as a symbol of protest and dissatisfaction with the establishment……of both Parties.

In the end, Governor Palin may not be able to win the nomination solely as a write-in candidate, but it could also be that Governor Palin does not intend to be President. Such an effort could simply be an ingenious way for her to insure that her voice is heard and that she continues to influence politics in the way that she intends to………… by keeping the establishment on their toes and preaching the virtues of limited government and bountiful freedom.

Then again, no one can say that Palin would have to remain simply a protest vote. A strong write-in candidacy could actually provide Palin with enough delegates to significantly influence such things as who the next vice presidential nominee is and numerous planks in the Republican Party’s platform. And if this happens to be a very close nomination contest, she could even garner enough delegates to select who the next presidential nominee is.

But that’s not to say that Palin won’t be the next President herself.

If her promise of an unconventional election bears out to mean a Palin write-in candidacy, a strong showing in Florida or South Carolina as a write-in candidate could create enough waves to propel her ahead of the official candidates. If that were to happen, all bets are off.

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Why Palin?

Bookmark and Share    The current Republican presidential contest remains in flux. One of the reasons for that is due to the anticipation of several more potentially, politically potent, candidates into the race……….Sarah Palin and Rick Perry. Part of the reason so many are taking this wait and see attitude is due to a lack of enthusiasm for any of those who we know are running.

That said, I do not subscribe to the school of thought that suggests that the current field of Republican candidates for President has no giants in it. I maintain the position that after a long and hard fought campaign, one of them will rise to the top and along the way, they will become so admired, so appreciated that on Election Day 2012, people will enthusiastically go to the polls to support them. I find many positive things in each of the candidates and could easily get behind someone like Romney, who I supported in 2008. I could also easily get behind someone like Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Tim Pawlenty or Newt Gingrich. On top of that I do not underestimate the magic that a well run campaign can produce.

Still, no matter how many excuses I make for a lack of popular energy for the existing candidates  it is still true that there is an enthusiasm gap.  But that is not the case with one name who may still enter the race.

Sarah Palin.

Of all the candidates and potential candidates, I find that Sarah Palin is the only potential presidential nominee who already inspires a great sense of enthusiasm within me and tensa of millions of others.  More so than any of the other conceivable nominees, Palin not only has a humongous loyal following, she has an immense and extremely energetic following and her popularity far exceeds that of any of her possible opponents.

Take for example Sarah Pain’s Facebook page. Facebook may not be the best barometer of political opinion, but its preeminence in contemporary internet communication offers a good idea of popularity.

Of the still evolving Republican field of candidates Sarah Palin’s fan base exceeds her nearest opponent by 2,140,214 people. Here’s a breakdown:

But putting those numbers and pop culture aside, there is no doubt that Sarah Palin energizes the base of the Republican Party. She provided whatever energy there was in John McCain’s doomed 2008 presidential campaign and since then, Sarah Palin has increased her role and visibility as a leading voice for constitutionalism and fiscal sanity.

Still, many believe that Palin can never win. They believe that even if she were to enter the race and somehow win the Republican nomination, she would be slaughtered in the general election. I am not so sure of that.

Despite left wing attempts to paint TEA Party enthusiasts to terrorists and equate them to kamikaze pilots, most Americans are coming around to the realization that government has become too big and spends too much and that Washington, D.C. bureaucrats have little ability to turn things around. Such a view fits right in to the message that Sarah Palin has been offering long before she was ever asked to run for Vice President. At the same time, few people are seen as having the resolve to do exactly as they say, as much as Palin does. People know she holds no punches and is not your typical politician. These quality are great positive contrasts to our current President.

So when it comes to the general election, some people may claim that Palin’s greatest liability is that she is too extreme. While many claim that this may destroy her chances of winning the general election, I contend that on the issue of the economy, Palin’s extremism is an asset. The economy is more than likely going to remain the number one issue. It is also likely that people will want a President who is willing to lead on the economy and not play the same old political games that both the left and right play when they come in to office. Palin has convincingly demonstrated that she would not be a politics-as-usual President. When she says that she would cut the budget, few doubt that she would, even if Congress fights her on it.

And insofar as other issues go, few if any conservative Republicans doubt Palin’s conviction to conservative values. This is not an issue which Palin would need to campaign on. If the religious right doubts Palin’s moral compass and faith, then they would probably doubt Jesus himself. The truth is that among the conservative base Palin need not prove she is conservative enough. This puts Palin in a perfect position to focus on the preeminent issue of the day………the economy. If she were to pursue the Republican presidential nomination, she need not be distracted by any other issue. At the same time Palin is in a perfect position to argue that on social issues, she maintains the most conservative position of all her opponents. Palin believes in the Constitution and her limited government values force her to hold the conservative position that government does not belong in our bedrooms. Take for instance Palin’s veto of the Alaska state legislature’s attempt to preclude the same-sex spouses of state employees from receiving state benefits. Despite Palin’s own personal opposition to same-sex marriage, she refused to allow the state legislature to deny these benefits on the grounds that it was discriminatory and unconstitutional. In other words, Palin believes that the Constitution settles political debates, not personal opinions. That is conservative. But it is also a conservative view that liberals and moderates should be able to appreciate.

The bottom-line is that if Sarah Palin does decide to run for the Republican presidential nomination, she should not be underestimated. Over the past two years, not only has she increased in popularity, she has also become one of the most vetted possible presidential candidates in history. Every aspect of her life has been under endless assault ever since she was first nominated for Vice President in 2008. The media has never let up on scrutinizing her every move and every word. From her clothing, to her family and even her personal emails, everything Palin-related has been dissected, investigated, examined, commented on and publicized. And what has come out to damage her? Nothing.

Ultimately, unlike the current existing field, Palin’s leadership has been inspiring. For me, the last time that there existed a potential candidate for President who inspired me was in 1988 when former Congressman and Secretary of Housing and Urban Development  Jack F. Kempran in the Republican primary. Kemp’s candidacy help draw me in to a life and career of conservative politics. Of course it must be mentioned that despite the inspiration, Kemp did not make it past New Hampshire. He lost to George “Read My Lips” Bush. But four years later President George H.W. Bush was denied reelection. Many voters were not happy with the fact that Bush broke his promise and caved to liberal calls for tax increases. So in retrospect they might have actually been much happier with the strength and conviction of Jack Kemp more than that of George H.W. Bush. That may perhaps be a lesson for Republicans to remember if Sarah does decide to run.

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Bachmann Needs to the Pull the Knife Out of Palin’s Back

Bookmark and Share   After hiring controversial veteran Republican strategist Ed Rollins, it is expected that Minnesota Congresswoman and Congressional TEA Party Caucus Chair Michele Bachmann, will at any time announce her candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination. If she does run, while Bachmann could very well prove to be formidable in early nominating contests like Iowa and South Carolina, her plight to become the Republican presidential nominee will be far from easy. Now, thanks to her new loose cannon political operative, Ed Rollins, that plight has just gotten much harder.

On a radio show hosted by Fox News’ Brian Kilmeade, Rollins took the opportunity to trash Sarah Palin.

In addition to claiming “Sarah has not been serious over the last couple of years,” Rollins stated “She [Palin] got the Vice Presidential thing handed to her, she didn’t go to work in the sense of trying to gain more substance, she gave up her governorship.”

Rollins who was up until recently an operative for Mike Huckabee, claimed that now that Mike Huckabee’s not in the race, in terms of the Republican running for President, Bachmann is “probably the best communicator” He also added “Michele Bachmann and others worked hard, she has been a leader of the Tea Party which is a very important element here, she has been an attorney, she has done important things with family values.”

And Sarah Palin hasn’t?

At 68, perhaps Rollins is losing what good judgment he has left. His claim that Palin “has not been serious” is not only an utterly ludicrous charge, it is a very politically dumb and strategically damaging statement for him to make. Millions ….. “millions”… of Americans take Sarah Palin quite seriously and they take her efforts to elect limited government, family values oriented, fiscal conservatives who have an appreciation for the U.S. Constitution, very seriously.

As for the charge that Palin can’t be taken seriously because she was, as he argues, simply handed the vice presidential

Ed Rollins

nomination in 2008 and then gave up her governorship, perhaps Rollins memory is slipping. I guess he forgets all the legitimate reasons why Palin was picked to run for Vice President. Some of those reasons include her willingness to oppose and defeat a popular sitting Governor from her own Party after rooting out corruption and standing up for justice. Another reason includes her defense and promotion of family values and her ability to govern as a Mayor and a Governor in a way that was fiscally responsible and legislatively efficient.

As for her giving up the governorship, Rollins should really avoid using the propaganda of liberals to promote one conservative and denounce another. As unbelievable as it may seem to Rollins, Palin is not your average politician. She brings to her politics a level of sincerity that is rarely seen in the D.C. beltway that Ed Rollins is familiar with. And it is that sincerity which forced Palin to decide that stepping down was the best thing for the state of Alaska because it would have allowed her very capable Lieutenant Governor to continue the business of the state, unhindered by the ridiculous number of expensive, time consuming, frivolous lawsuits that liberals were relentlessly attacking Palin with.

Ever since she was nominated for Vice President and delivered some energy to the lackluster campaign of John McCain, the left lost all self control and could not give up on trying to tear Palin apart. She embodies everything the left fears in a conservative. And so they undertook an assault on Palin that she believed was not in the best interest of the people Alaska. So instead, she allowed Sean Parnell, the Lieutenant Governor, to take the reigns of power and run with the agenda she set, but to do so unincumbered by the liberal effort to take Palin down. Palin could have easily thought of what might have been best for her personal political career. But she didn’t. Instead she put the people first. And when it was all said and done, what new responsibility did Palin undertake? She set out on a mission to help insure that in 2010, true conservatives got elected to positions as Senator, Congressmen and Governors.

Rollins may not want to see it that way. But it is obvious that he doesn’t want to see the truth. The truth makes Sarah Palin the greatest threat to Michele Bachmann’s popularity and success that there is.  So instead Rollins resorts to trash talk.

But that’s Ed Rollins. For as good as he once was….and he was good, Rollins has also shown a penchant for putting his foot in his mouth.

In 1993, after working on the upset victory of Christine Todd Whitman over New Jersey Governor Jim Florio, Rollins deposited himself right into in the middle of a scandal that involved political campaign payoffs to New Jersey ministers. He told Time Magazine

“We went into black churches and we basically said to ministers who had endorsed Florio, ‘Do you have a special project?’ And they said, ‘We’ve already endorsed Florio.’ We said, ‘That’s fine, don’t get up on the Sunday pulpit and preach. We know you’ve endorsed him, but don’t get up there and say it’s your moral obligation that you go on Tuesday to vote for Jim Florio.'”

He later tried to backtrack by claiming his original statement was an exaggeration.

This latest gaffe, only enforces the perception that Rollins is losing it.  For someone who was hired to promote Bachmann, in just a few moments of air time, he has hurt her far more than he has helped.  One need to go no further than Michele’s Facebook page to see evidence of that.

In just a matter of hours since Rollins comments came out, hundreds of Face book “Fans” have begun to turn on the Congresswoman. For instance there was this from Allen Pishotta:

“Why have you stabbed Sarah Palin in the back after all she did for you last year? Why have you forsaken the Tea Party Movement in order to become a “stalking horse” for Mitt Romney and yes we all know that you are working for the RINO Romney campaign so it is no secret. What was the political bribe needed to become a “Judas” and sell …conservatives out? I once heavily supported you now I will never give you another dime after this. You nickname is now Michele “Backstabbing” Bachmann because that is what you did.”

And this from Doreen Graney:

“Hey, Michelle, the last time Ed Rollins was part of a winning campaign my oldest son was a newborn baby. Today is his 30th birthday. Hope you’re not paying him much. You won’t be getting any support from me, financial or otherwise.”

Sue Lynn writes:

“Lost my support….Your just another politician…Backstabbing a good friend that helped you get re-elected…So much for that Christian talk you talk about…sure don’t practice it…I will never support you in the future because of your actions to a good friend”

Jolyn Colon demands an apology and states:

“Ed Rollins has a reputation for being a bomb thrower. Did you know that when you hired him? You need to step up personally and 1.) issue an apology to Sarah and 2.) fire this idiot before he steps in it again. Anything else is not good enough.”

And Gary Jackson was particularly mad:

“Michele, Sarah Palin and her millions of supporters have ALWAYS had your back. ALWAYS! Now you go hire one of the biggest scum bags on earth to run your campaign and the first thing he does is trash Sarah Palin.

You realize you have effectively ended any chance you ever had at ever being elected, right?

Good luck winning your House se…at again without any Palinista support and $$$$

What a pathetic loser you are.”

Most offhand comments usually have a short political shelf life. So very often statements like those made by Rollins,  which inspired the type of anymosity seen in the words above, are normally healed by time. But that is not the case here. Unless Michele Bachmann makes some very substantial overtures to Palin  and isnure that not only are Rollins’ remarks are retracted, but that she in no way shares his thinking about Palin, Bachmann will be seriously hurt by this. As Republican red as Palin supporters are, they are also true blue to Palin and quite defensive of her.  After witnessing over two years of endless, unfair, attacks on her and her family, Palin’s supporters have a right to be defensive. And they especially have a right to defend her against one who is suppose to be on their side.

Ed Rollin’s remarks were incredibly stupid, in every way. Politically, he alienated Palin supporters, the very people who could have easily been backers of Bachmann if Palin does not run, and cost Bachmann that potential support .  And there was absolutely no reason for that. Just this past Sunday, when Sarah Palin was asked by Fox News’ Chris Wallace, if there was room for her and Michele Bachmann in the 2012 Republican presidential race, Palin gave Bachmann credit for having stregths of her own that she would bring to the race, and went on to say that Bachmann would be a welcome addition to the race…. “the more the merrier” said Palin.

Unlike Rollins, who claims that Palin is “not serious”, in that answer, Palin proved to be more politically savvy than Rollins, a so called political expert. Well now it is time for Michele Bachmann to show how politically savvy she is. Does she have the ability to correct the wrong done to her by her own political consultant? Short of firing him, Palin supporters may not ever believe so.

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For Republicans, the First Step Is the Primary Within the Primary

Bookmark and Share    As we finally begin to understand what the likely field of Republican presidential candidates will look like, it is becoming clear that the same dynamics which influenced the 2010 Republican primaries and general election, are likely to play a significant role in the 2012 Republican presidential nominating contest. In 2010, the influence of a strong TEA movement, shaped the platform that incumbents ran on, and determined the outcomes of many primary contests. The now former Congressman from Delaware, Mike Castle, is one of the most notable people who can attest to that.

In Delaware’s Republican U.S. Senate primary, Castle, a former Governor of the state, was an establishment candidate. He was defeated by Christine O’Donnell who, for better or worse, was the anti-establishment candidate. In Nevada, Sharron Angle, another anti-establishment candidate, defeated a number of other establishment Republicans in her attempt to win the G.O.P. nomination. In both cases, those ladies may have lost their general election races, but many other anti-establishment candidates, won both the Party nomination and their general elections. There was Marco Rubio,  Rick Scott, Daniel Webster, and Allen West in Florida, Tim Johnson in Wisconsin, Niki Haley in South Carolina, New Mexico’s Susana Martinez and many more, including hundreds more on the county and local levels. Ultimately, the TEA movement brewed a potent formula that is still infusing itself in to the electoral and legislative process and it will continue to do so in the nomination process of the next Republican presidential candidate.

The same anti-establishment sentiment that propelled statewide and local candidates to victory in 2010 is going to again play itself out in presidential primaries and pit the anti-establishment against the establishment. In fact, in many ways, the race to nominate a Republican presidential candidate is likely to come down to two people……..the establishment candidate and the anti-establishment candidate. Consider it a primary within the primary.

On the establishment side, you have frontrunner Mitt Romney, followed by Tim Pawlenty, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, and possibly other major players like Texas Governor Rick Perry, along with minor candidates like former Governors Buddy Roemer, George Pataki, Bob Riley and possibly even former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. In the end though, the establishment primary will really be only between Romney, Gingrich, Santorum, Pawlenty and if he runs, Rick Perry.

As for the anti-establishment primary, who will be competing in this field is still a bit unsettled. With names like Bachmann and Palin not yet in the race but seriously considering it, this inner-primary has yet to take shape. At the moment, Herman Cain is the anti-establishmentarian frontrunner. Competing against Cain is former two term New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson and Texas Congressman Ron Paul.  Both Paul and Johnson have a very low ceilings of support, but we have yet to see how high the roof on Herman Cain’s popularity is.

While Cain has a definite ability to outperform both Johnson and Paul, the entry of Bachmann and/or Palin in to the race, will give Cain a good run for whatever money he can raise.

On the establishment side, while Romney has the inside track, he can easily be thrown off pace and with the specter of RomneyCare hanging around his neck, he could be quickly overcome by Pawlenty, Gingrich, Santorum, Huntsman or Perry.

But in the final analysis, the nomination will most likely come down to the candidate which the establishment gravitates towards and the candidate that the anti-establishment coalesces around. It is hard to say which two will win their primaries within the primaries. I tend to believe that unless Texas Governor Rick Perry enters the race, Mitt Romney will be the system backed candidate.

Despite fears of Romney being a Benedict Arnold to the conservative cause and having a government-centric mindset, Romney will be a strong candidate. Say what you want, but Romney has a good record. Especially when it comes to management and economics, two things critical to the immediate needs of our nation. He will strike all the right chords and do so in a way that could earn him not just the Republican presidential nomination, but the confidence of Republican voters as well. And in the general election, as the nominee, Mitt Romney has the ability to craft a campaign that can beat President Obama. But Mitt can easily be derailed from his seemingly likely road to the nomination and even the White House, if a during the primaries and caucuses, a certain former Governor winds up becoming the candidate that the ant-establishment forces gravitate toward.

That person is Sarah Palin.

In 2010, she was the needle that the TEA movement used to inject its brew into the G.O.P. with. In 2010, she was the TEA Party’s Cheerleader-in-Chief and the quintessential anti-establishmentarian. And right now, it looks like Palin has the staying power to still be that Cheerleader-in-Chief in 2012.

While people like Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann could prove to be quite formidable, Palin is really the only anti-establishment candidate who has the ability to maintain the enthusiastic support of a majority of TEA movement Republicans while also being able to attract a significant portion of support away from the establishment candidate ……..especially if that ends up being Mitt Romney. In fact, if the primaries within the primaries pit Palin against Romney, I believe Palin wins the nomination.

That  is obviously conjecture. For it to even be possible, Sarah Palin will have to first decide to become a candidate for President in 2012. Additionally, the opportunity for any number of game changing events to take place is endless, and I still contend that the logistics of a well run campaign can make a candidate who looks weak now, seem quite strong later. But what is not conjecture is the fact that the G.O.P. will be encountering a primary within the primary. The anti-establishment forces are firmly ensconced within the G.O.P. and they are ready to do battle again in 2012. For these people, trust does not come with “political experience”. In truth, political experience is a minus to them. For these people, being a “good Republican” is not enough. They want a different type of Republican, the type who is willing to push the G.O.P. establishment and who can demonstrate that they are not willing to play the political games that have gotten us to where we are today. These sentiments are going to certainly produce a divide that will lead not to the usual competition between liberal Republicans and conservative Republicans but rather one between Republican insiders and Republican outsiders.

The final outcome will depend upon on which Republican outsider runs against which Republican insider.

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Sarah Palin Tells Chris Wallace What “President Palin” Would Do

Bookmark and Share   I have stopped predicting who will enter the race for the Republican presidential nomination. After seeing names like Pence, Thune, Barbour, and Huckabee, all shy away from a bid for the nomination and after being convinced that Mitch Daniels would run, only to find out that he won’t, I have stopped trying to figure out what any other potential candidates will do. This is especially so concerning former Alaska Governor and vice presidential nominee, Sarah Palin. Pain is a master at throwing people off guard. She relishes her ability to befuddle the media that tries to follow her every move and she holds her cards close. However, in a rather extensive 25 minute interview with Chris Wallace on Fox News Sunday, Governor Palin sounded like someone prepared to challenge President Obama in 2012.

Palin came across as calm, cool, and in command of the issues. Her opinions were also presented in a way that made her come across as a  populist with a common sense conservative approach to the problems being denied by our President, but understood by the people.

In one of her brightest moments of the interview, Sarah hit Democrats and the President on the economy and said;

“Their [the Democrats]plans for bigger government, more federal control over our private sector, more regulation and burdensome mandates on the people, and on our businesses, its not working and we need to shift gears and change course.  And it is very noble of President Obama to want to stay at the helm and maybe go down with the sinking ship, but I prefer,…… many Americans prefer…… that we start plugging up the holes, powering up the bilge pump, and start to get rid of this unsustainable debt that is sonking our ship.”

Palin sounded most like a presidential candidate when host Chris Wallace asked the former vice presidential nominee, “What would President Palin do, specifically, to boost the economy?

Without any hesitation, Palin simply said that she “would go in the opposite direction of what these Democrats and President Obama have tried in these past 2 ½ years.” But as she continued her answer, at about 4 minutes, 10 seconds into the interview, she stated,

“What President Palin would do is cut the federal budget….making sure that we’re not crowding out private sector investment. And we will cut that spending”

Another telling point came when Wallace pointed out that Palin and Bachmann are both popular TEA Party figures as well as social conservatives and as such, asked Palin  if there was room for both her and Bachmann in the race, or would they split the same base of support between them?

Here , Sarah Palin gave a response that may have offered a “between the lines” interpretation indicative of her sense that she fully expects to become a candidate.

Palin stated;

“No, we have differences too. I have many years of executive experience too, and she has her strengths to add to the race. But no, yeah, there is certainly room. The more the merrier. The more competition, the better.”

That segment of the interview can be found at almost the very end of the video at about 23 minutes, 30 seconds in to it.

While I once leaned towards believing that Palin was not going to run for President, the last month has made me begin to think that she might actually go for it. For a while, she was suspiciously absent from the political scene as she laid relatively low. For me, that was a sign of Palin preparing for something big and trying to not overexpose herself too early. Now, while Palin vigorously argues that she is simply celebrating our American history, her recent bus tour for that  purported purpose, offers up an oddly timed, campaign-like experience, that affords her valuable attention.

Now we can add to that this nearly half hour long interview, an interview in which Palin talks about decisions that would come from a “President Palin”, and discusses room in the race for her and other candidates, so matter-of-factly, that it almost sounds as though she is welcoming candidates to challenge her for the nomination. But I am still not getting my hopes up.

The positive potential that I believe exists in a Palin presidential candidacy is endless. In 2008, I was part of a movement to nominate her for Vice President and became one of the happiest people in the world of politics when she actually was nominated. I believe it was the only smart decision made by John McCain and his campaign. However; I do admit that since then, Palin has been somewhat marginalized by a vindictive, liberal element and relentlessly brutal media. To a degree, her image was damaged and her negative ratings surpassed her positive ratings. But I also believe that if Sarah Palin can transition from playing the role of Republican cheerleader to Republican statesman, she could easily turn those ratings around. All Palin needs to do is come across a bit more Thatcher-like than pop star-like, and she could easily become America’s “Iron Lady”.

This latest interview was a step in that direction.

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Sarah Palin Fundraising and Confirming That She is Still Seriously Considering a Run for President

Bookmark and Share I had been getting a little suspicious of the fact that for Sarah Palin has been conspicuously quiet and out of the spotlight this past month. Her drop from the headlines were beginning to make me suspect that she was getting ready to announce her candidacy for President. You see, I understand that Sarah Palin is unconventional. I also know that she likes to catch people, especially her opponents and those within the lamestream media, off guard. So I began to think that she was quietly readying herself to surprise everyone with the declaration of her candidacy. Much like she surprised everyone with the birth of her son Trig, or her resignation as Governor of Alaska. But no sooner did I begin to pay any attention to these suspicions, Sarah sent out 400, 000 direct mailing pieces that solicited financial donations to her PAC.

In them Palin writes;

“Taking back control of the House last year was only the first step, Now you and I must fix our eyes on 2012. Our goal is to take back the White House and the Senate.”

This does not necessarily mean that Governor Palin is running for President. It could just be her way of preparing to do in 2012, exactly what she did in 2010 to help boost the electoral fortunes of conservatives running for office. Still, the timing is suspect. It came two days after Donald Trump declared he was not running for President and three days after Mike Huckabee took himself out of the running. Huckabee and Trump appealed to the same pools of evangelical and anti-establishment driven voters that comprise Palins base of support. But now with Trump and Huckabee out, Palin has less competition to contend with among those voters. That made the sudden appeal to them for financial support a well timed opportunity for Palin to make a pitch to them that could help consolidate their support behind her.

Then, in addition to the revelation of a new fundraising effort by the Governor, she appeared on Sean Hannitys Fox New program (listen to the interview in the video below this post). Among some of the matters discussed was Sarahs thoughts on her own 2012 run for President. When asked what she intends to do Palin replied Im still assessing the field because I still know its still going to change, the lineup, She added that she was praying about it and looking for others who are ready go rogue within the Republican Party. Governor Palin did say that she wanted to give everyone who is running a good listening and added that she especially wants to give the candidates time to distinguish themselves through the persona lives that they live.

During the interview, Palin indicated that she is not a fan of either politicians or the political process and suggested that she has no intention to put herself on a unneccessary timetable. Palin believes that there is no need for her to make a decision one way or the other yet. In her case that is true. Palin already has significant name ID and seeing as how she is such a contentious figure, she is one of the few potential candidates who can afford to let some go by before she jumps into a spotlight that she has essentially has not been out of for very long. In fact, if Palin does intend to run, a late entry is probably her best bet. For one thing, it gives the media less time to bog her down with coverage that intentionally paints her in a negative light. And for another thing, once the Republican presidential field is established and gets accustomed to its unique composition, if she intends to run, a surprise, late entry into the race would throw the other candidates campaign off balance in a way that would be to Palins advantage.

Still, nothing conclusively indicates that Palin intends to run. However in one characterization of the field, Governor Palin phrased her statement in a way that included herself among the republican contenders for the Republican nomination when she stated. everyone one of us, we bring strengths and weaknesses to the table.

I for one am still leaning more towards Sarah deciding not to run than I am towards her deciding to run. At least not for the Republican or Democrat nomination. But if figures like Mitch Daniels and Rick Perry or the often mentioned Chris Christie, do not somehow end up in the race, I believe Palin could easily see a field with spark in it and decide to become a candidate later rather than sooner.

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Tim Pawlenty Could Stand To Gain While The Big Names Sit On The Sidelines

Bookmark and ShareThe 1st GOP Presidential debate is in the books. There are those who feel it lacked the “Wow” factor that it would have had if the top polling candidates had taken part. With Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin all declining to attend, the field was filled with candidates whose names are not well known on a national scale. Texas congressman Ron Paul is probably the exception to that statement but his public persona and Libertarian views have never played well to most in the GOP.

Of the remainder of the field that included former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson, Former Godfather’s Pizza CEO and conservative talk show host Herman Cain, Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum and former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, it may have been Pawlenty that came out with the most to gain from the absence of the big name candidates.

Most of those polled said that they came away with a better opinion of Herman Cain than any other candidate. I agree. Cain came away as the non-politician’s politician but he is an unknown to most voters and will need much more than this debate to get the recognition he will need to mount a serious run. Santorum is known to a certain degree through his work on Fox News but has established himself as the social issues candidate so far in a time where the economy will likely reign supreme. Gary Johnson is the poor man’s Ron Paul and did little to move up the ladder in the debate and at points looked uncomfortable on the stage. Ron Paul is simply Ron Paul. Most Republican’s tend to agree with his economic stances and most independents with his social stances but he has difficulty communicating them in a manner that helps him in a conservative GOP primary.

That leaves Pawlenty, who did little to “Wow” the audience but came across as a solid candidate when put next to the CEO with little experience, the Libertarian’s with little communication skills and the evangelical social issue guy, as a possible challenger to the big name candidates who themselves have issues that will be exploited if and when they decide to enter the race. Romney has to answer for his health care program he implemented while Governor of MA. Gingrich has had marriage issues that have haunted him for years. Huckabee has issues regarding his stances on crime while Governor of Arkansas and Palin, well she has always incurred the wrath of the media and I expect if she decides to run in 2012 it will be no different.

So although he may have not brought the “wow” factor with him to South Carolina last Thursday night, it could be Tim Pawlenty who very well takes away the most from the debate. Although Herman Cain may have hit the “wow” factor it was Pawlenty who by reason of recognition stands to gain the most from the decision of the big names to sit this one out. If he stays on message and the more recognizable names continue to sit dormant, Tim Pawlenty has one up on the other candidates.

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Bookmark and Share On Monday, Sarah Palins website, Sarah PAC, was spruced up and transformed from a rather bland, one page, lackluster site occupying web space, into a multimedia platform with information, news and links. The move is prompting many to believe that Palin is in fact readying for a run for President. The revamped website comes on the heels of what was a battle cry of a speech for commonsense conservatism that she gave in Wisconsin on Saturday. That speech alone, prompted many to change their minds about what they though Sarah would do. But the combination of the two has really upped the speculation about a presidential candidacy.

From the previous lack of coordinated moves that would usually signal one preparing to run for President, I had begun to think that it was slightly more than likely that Sarah Palin was not running for President in 2012. Yet Palins desire to continuously make sure that she stakes a high visibility position on every major issue of the day has me too unsure to place any bets against her running. But with Palin you just never know. I have even thought that she could possibly be working on her own time schedule because she never intends to run in the Republican primaries and caucuses. I have thought that Palin could possibly be preparing to build herself up as the ultimate anti-establishment candidate and run for President as an independent candidate. Maybe even running as a TEA Party candidate. I still dont put it past her to do that, but it is not very likely.

But therein lies the intrigue that is Sarah. You can never quite be sure what Palin is going to do. This is a woman who as Governor, kept her pregnancy a secret until the baby was practically born. This is the same woman who stunned the political world when two years in to her term, she abruptly resigned from the office of Governor of Alaska so that the business of Alaska could proceed without the interference of endless frivolous lawsuits that came with the spotlight she after being nominated for Vice President. And to most people even that was a surprise. So Sarah Palin is full of surprises. She likes it that way. It allows her to make decisions and think them through long before the media pounces. Those surprises also make it possible for Palin to completely own entire news cycles and push all other events off the front page. In many ways she is a PR genius.

Polls currently have Palin in the middle of the pack and tracking shows that her approval ratings have been making a U-Turn in the wrong direction. But one should not assume that such things will deter Palin from running. Those numbers can easily be turned around. And if she sees a field of Republican candidates that does not have an electable prospect who does not say it like it is and doesn’t shares her anti-establishment beliefsand desire for a truly limited government, with less spending and less taxes, than she will run. Sarah will jump in to fill that void. At the moment, with no truly clear favorite in the running, that void is there and so long as it remains, so will the potential for a Sarah Palin presidential candidacy.

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Palin Proves To Be Powerful at Madison TEA Party Rally

Bookmark and Share “Madison, I am so proud to be with you today. Madison, these are the frontlines in the battle for the future of our country! Those were the words used by Sarah Palin as she began a fiery speeech on the steps of the state Capitol building in Madison, Wisconsin for a TEA Party rally that was held on Saturday. Palin’s speech proved that she still has what it takes to fire up the Republican base as well as the anti-establishment, limited government, less spending state rights, Taxed Enough Already movement. Hundreds joined in the type of boisterous cheers for Palin, that are usuallreserved for rock stars or stars of the silver screen. But Palin earnedthose cheers with a speech that struck every nerve of the anti-governemtn, anti-obama,crowd and she do so in a way that makes it impossible to not think of her as a potential candidate for the Republican presidential nomination. (see video below)

As cold as it was in the sleet and snow of the Madison rally, Sarah’s speech heated things up as she spoke of her family of union members and teachers who understand that a pension is a promise that must be kept but that a government must also remain solvent inorder to have the ability to keep that promise.

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Palin Keeps Door to the Presidency Wide Open and Rips the Media a New One at the Same Time

Bookmark and Share In an interview for the BBCs Newsnight, standing along the sidelines of the Alaskan Iron Dog competition which her husband Todd, was competing in, former Alaskan Governor and Vice Presidential nominee Sarah Palin made it clear that the door to a presidential bid is still wide open for her. When asked about a presidential candidacy by the BBCs Jackie Long, Palin said

There is still a lot of consideration that have to be made. We haven’t made up our mind or desired to make an announcement yet as to what it is we will be doing.

Palin stated that one of the big considerations is that Obama has already said he’s going to rake in and spend $1 billion in this race. Money is certainly going to be a consideration. And then just the idea of, will the American electorate be ready for someone a bit unconventional, in terms of a candidate who will call it like she sees it, and who will not be beholden to special interests or such obsessive partisanship as to let a political machine get in the way of just doing what’s right for the voters. said Palin

Sarah Palin granted the impromptu interview even though it was her intention to simply enjoy what she called a uniquely Alaskan event. The Iron Dog competition is the worlds toughest and longest snowmobile race and Todd Palin has been competing in it for the past 18 years and in four them Todd was the winner. But the interview took a bit of a turn when reporter Jackie Long asked What are the criticisms that have hurt you most? One of the big ones that’s thrown at you is that you’re not intellectually capable. Does that sting?

Palin responded with, Who said that?

What followed was an exchange that demonstrated Palins warranted frustration with the liberal bias that the media demonstrates and consistently plagues Palin with;

Long: Lots of criticism about the interviews you have given, the ability to get your head around foreign policy.

Palin: Well, how about the idea of perhaps what some of the media has chosen to portray. Let’s take a couple of examples – and I don’t really want to have to talk politics on one of the best days of our life here in Alaska – but I’ll give you one more answer. Things like, that are misconstrued regarding rumours out there that are still in the media because reporters don’t do their homework, too often, and they don’t set the record straight – though I think it’s their job to set the record straight – rumours like I didn’t know that Africa was a continent, that’s still out there, that’s a lie. Things like I censored books when I was a mayor up here in Alaska, that’s a lie.

[Governor Palin begins to walk away]

Palin: So again if I decide to run we know that we have to put up with a lot of the BS that comes from the media but … It’s not all of you guys but some of you still claim that Trig isn’t my kid. I think that’s an indication of screwed-up media.

Long: You were saying, your favorite from the media? Which one is that?

Palin: Is that Trig is not my child, which is still out there in the media.

Long: How offensive is that? How do you deal with that?

Palin: Would you be offended if someone said you’re child wasn’t your child? It’s offensive. OK, you know what, I’m really really trying to enjoy one of the best days of our lives.

It should be noted that the BBC is an outlet as liberal asNPR is in the United States. It should also be noted that Sarah Palin has repeatedly warned people about the dangers of angering a Mama Grizzly. I now doubt Jackie Long will have another opportunity to discuss politics with Sarah Palin again. Oh well, that’s their loss, not hers.

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Palin Proves Presidential In Pirro Interview

Bookmark and Share For many, Sarah Palins recent interview on Fox News with Jeanine Pirro is being viewed as one of her best to date.

In it, Governor Palin is as plain talking and as blunt as ever. They are qualities which many voters find refreshing from a politician and it remains one of her greatest assets. However, as pointed out by me in previous posts, if the former vice presidential nominee and Governor of Alaska does have any intention of running for President, she needs to begin to show greater command and breadth of the issues and she must begin to transform herself from Republican and Tea Party cheerleader, to American statesman.

In her interview with Pirro, it can be seen that while the statesman-like image still could use a little work, her command of the issues is getting better.

Palin was naturally poised and totally confident in a delivery of her opinion that was unequivocal and concise. On the issue of those Wisconsin lawmakers who are hiding out in Chicago to avoid allowing Governor Scott Walker to curtail collective bargaining with unions and demand that union members give a little more to their own benefits, Palin made it clear that she believes they should be recalled. She said its not like they reloaded, they retreated and they are not doing their job. As for Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, she said bless his heart. He is doing all that he can to keep his state solvent.

On the potential threat of a federal government shutdown due to a pending battle between the G.O.P. and the President on the budget, Palin says she does not buy in to all the rhetoric that there has to be a budget shutdown if an agreement is not meant. She suggested that if priorities are made, the money to fund essentials operations is there, even if it is doled out on a day to day basis.

On As to whether or not compromise should be made on spending cuts, Palin siad;

Theres no need to compromise on principle, We have absolutely no choice. Our nation is headed toward bankruptcy and this [our national debt] is immoral, unethical,— its unfair to the future generations to continue down the road were going.

In one answer given by Palin, she parted with some TEA Party backed freshmen like Kentucky Senator Rand Paul who want to end foreign aid, even to allies such as Israel.

Palin disagreed with that position and stated;

“You know I’m sure that there’s some waste and fraud in our foreign aid we need to find efficiencies and not give to any regime that would seek to harm Americans in any sense of the word ‘harm,'” Palin said, “I don’t support that kind of foreign aid at all. but when it comes to Israel – NO… I stand strong with Israel and unapologetically I say that America should keep this strong democratic ally that we have there in the Middle East and allow for protections around Israel.”

“Think of what this state Israel has gone through, and what they have suffered through and what they have triumphed over,” she said. “It is really telling about their tenacity and their character and it’s just one reason, that character, as to why it is that we want them as our friend.”

The interview covered a wide range of issues that dealt with everything from President Obamas continued cow towing to Mexican President Calderone to oil prices and the need to drill for oil, to the situation in Libya and the shooting of two American service members in Germany. On that issue, Palin addressed the Administrations reluctance to be objective when it comes to calling terrorism, terrorism;

“Our president’s world view certainly seems a bit different than, I believe, most Americans because… I think if you ask most Americans on the street if someone was hell bent on killing one of our military personnel yelling Allah Akbar and had terrorist ties and you can’t see that clearly as a terrorist, then we’ve got some things quite askew in our Administration.”

Some of her sharpest criticism was reserved for the President on his handling of Libya, Egypt and the freedom movements seen elsewhere in the MiddleEast;

“Why was he so hesitant back with the Green movement in Iran, when freedom fighters wanted to oust Ahmadinejad and our president didn’t really want to participate there, with the language at least that should have showed the support for ousting a dictator, ousting an oppressor?”

She added:

“It’s tough to pinpoint why it is that President Obama (…) would seek to oust at least a quasi-ally in Mubarak who had been by our side for those 30 years… quick to oust him but quite hesitant on Qaddafi, on Ahmadinejad… that scares me.”

But the words of Palins interview alone, do not properly convey the impact of her presence during this Fox News segment with Judge Jeanine Pirro. For that full impact, you need to see the actual footage of the interview as seen below. Then and only then will you see a confidence in , and seemingly natural capacity for, the issues, thatPalin may have lacked in the past. In its entirety, the discussion between Pirro and Palin gave a great deal of credibility to a potential run for President by Palin. One thing it did for sure is show that she holds no punches and stands firm behind what she believes in. The question is does she believe in what most Americans believe in?

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Voters Don’t Believe Sarah Palin Will Run for President

Bookmark and ShareLast week White House 2012 poll readers were asked to offer their opinions on whether or not Sarah Palin will run for President.

By a large 12.30% margin, voters do not expect the former Governor and Vice Presidential nominee to run for President in 2012. While over 52% believe she will not run and nearly 41% think she will not, almost 6% of respondents see the little discussed chance of Sarah Palin running as a third Party candidate as the most likely scenario for her.

This week, White House 2012s poll focuses on the latest national phenomenon of mass massive union demonstrations against the attempts by republican Governors to get a handle on entitlements and state budgets. We ask whether or not you believe these demonstrations will help or hurt the chances of a 2012 White House victory for Republicans.

To take the poll, visit here. Bookmark and Share

Tell-All Memoir Expected To Tear Sarah Palin Apart

Bookmark and Share When it comes to Sarah Palin, get ready to hear a lot from the name Frank Bailey.

Bailey is a former adviser to Palin who began working for her as a volunteer and rose to become an official in Palins gubernatorial Administration. The books working title is “Blind Allegiance to Sarah Palin: A Memoir of our Tumultuous Years,” and portions of it have said to have been leaked and resurfacing on the internet.

The book is described as a tell-all tale that bases its conclusions upon thousands of personal e-mails between Palin and Bailey while she was in office. Co-writing the memoir with Bailey is Jeanne Devon, a known and vocal opponent and critic of Palin. So it is easy to see where there is leading and it wont be good for the former Alaska Governor.

A stakeholder in the book, the New York-based Carol Mann Agency, described it as “the story of one man’s slow drift from his most cherished beliefs and his ultimate redemption.” They also added that “Since leaving the Governor’s office, Frank has been forced to reconsider his actions on Palin’s behalf in terms of his deep Christian faith and his allegiance to her as the standard-bearer for the conservative causes he still champions,”. My question is, exactly how much of the cause has he championed? I haven’t seen Frankie at any of the TEA Party rallies or trying to elect conservatives in Republican primaries across America. But I digresss.

The Carol Mann Agency’s dramatic flare and attempt to combine politics with some sort of religious journey is probably in part due to the fact that Frank Bailey tried to publish his Palin story once before, but that deal failed and his accusations did not fly. This time around though, with speculation continuing to swirl around a potential Palin presidential candidacy reaching a feverish pitch, interest in trashing Palin may be more intense.

Personally, even if I were interested in National Enquirer-like novels, I would not waste my money on this book. I would just wait for the Huffington Post to promulgate the most damning allegations. But then again, I don’t read the Huffington Post either.

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Will Sarah Palin Run? Take the White House 2012 Poll

Bookmark and Share As the evolving Republican presidential field slowly begins to take shape, one of the most watched for decisions is that of Sarah Palins. The possibility of her entry in to the G.O.P. nomination contests has many wondering how she would or could impact on their own possible candidacies. One of the most critical aspects of Palins entry in the race is the attraction that the TEA Party movement has with her.

The TEA Party was a major decisive factor in the 2010 midterm elections and anyone hoping to win an election in 2012 is looking at doing so with the help that winning the TEA Party over to their side. But if Palin becomes a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, many of those voters may stay in her camp. If she doesnt run, whom those voters will flock to, or how many candidates will share support from the movement, is up the air.

Even if Palin doesnt run, she will be a factor in 2012. If she decided to back another candidate, that could be an incredible boost to them in the primaries and caucuses. But another school of thought is that Sarah Palin runs but not as a Republican. As explained in a recent White House 2012 post, the thinking is that Palin may wait until a likely Republican nominee begins to emerge and if it is not one that Palin can enthusiastically get behind, she may become a late entry in to the 2012 presidential election as a TEA Party backed independent candidate.

No matter what Palin does, it will impact on the 2012 election. So this week, White House 2012 asks you what you think Sarah Palin in 2012. Do you think she will run? Do you think she will sit out the race? Or do you think Sarah Palin runs, but as a third Party candidate?

Let us know. Take this weeks White House 2012 Poll.

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Possible Third Party Candidacy Could Make Palin the Perot of 2012

Bookmark and ShareIf you haven’t caught on yet, Sarah Palin marches to the beat of a different drummer. And while she is committed to the principles of the Republican Party, she is not totally committee to the Republican Party. For her, when it comes to Political loyalty, it stops when her principles are lost in it. That is after all how she went from being the Mayor of Wasilla, to becoming Governor of Alaska and even becoming the 2008 Republican nominee. This is a woman who spotted corruption in Alaska after being appointed to the position of Oil Commissioner. She then rooted out the corruption and when it got to the point where she saw the hands of Alaska’s Governor involved in it, she resigned her post and opposed him in the Republican primary for Governor. This despite the fact that the Governor she challenged was the same man who appointed her to her position.

This loyalty to principles rather than politics was in large part the reason she was selected by John McCain to be his vice presidential running mate and despite what some may think, it is the same type of loyalty that she maintains today. This is why Sarah Palin opposed so many of the Party establishment’s candidates in 2010, by supporting their challengers in Republican primaries. Sarah Palin is not one who wishes to be defined by her Party, she prefers to define it. In 2010 she helped to do so by rallying TEA activists to the side of insurgent candidates. In 2012 she could do the same thing. Or she could try to rally them behind herself in a bid for the Republican nomination.

But like many of those who consider themselves to be TEA movement activists, Sarah Palin remains reluctant about the politics that elected Republicans will play in their new roles of power. Like many in the TEA Party, Palin is hoping that the G.O.P. holds firm in opposition to the Obama agenda and on a return to states rights, fiscal responsibility, limited government and a focus on the Constitution. Sarah is watching and waiting to see what they do. She is also watching and waiting to see who will run for the Republican presidential nomination and what each one of them will say. This is perhaps one of the reasons why she is coy about being a candidate for the Republican nomination herself.

If the Republican controlled House fails to demonstrate to the voters who put them in to power, that they are true to their words, many of those voters will turn their back on the G.O.P. as quickly as they did with Democrats prior to the 2010 midterms. If that happens, Palin will have a small window of opportunity to do one of three things. She could forego a run for President and simply continue to be an advocate for the candidates she supports and a cheerleader in the TEA movement. She could run for the Republican presidential nomination and try to convince Republican voters that she is the outsider who could bring conservative principles back to the Party. Or she could simply say the hell with the Party and run as an Independent.

Either one of the latter two are a big risk. But the biggest risk of all would be to run for the Republican presidential nomination. While Palin is popular, to many she has become a known quantity that they believe is too erratic and too controversial. Even among Republicans, her favorable to unfavorable numbers are poor. In addition to that, the G.O.P. presidential field is going to be a crowded one and an expensive one. Between Mitt Romney and Haley Barbour alone we are talking about possibly well over one hundred million dollars. Last time around, Romney spent $70 million of his own money and more on top of that with contributions. Then throw in the likes of Tim Pawlenty, Rick Santorum, Ron Paul, and possibly Mitch Daniels and what you have is a costly and bloody battle that becomes hard for anyone to get their message out in.

For these reasons, I believe Sarah Palin can bide her time and see where all the chips fall before she commits to anything.

If the G.O.P. fails to live up to their promises and voters once again become disappointed in them, would it be in Sarah Palin’s best interest to spend upwards of $50 or $60 million to try to win a nomination of a tarnished Party that she spends a year tying herself closer to? While I do not doubt that Sarah could hold her own in the primaries, I am not confident in her being able to actually win the nomination. And if she doesn’t win, does anyone think the winner will tap her to be their running mate and run for Vice President a second time? I doubt even Sarah would accept such an offer herself.

Ultimately, Sarah Palin is probably going to be wise to lay back and see how the G.O.P. presidential field shapes up. Then after taking in to account all the variables, determine if the field has an opening in it that she can fill and decide if she really wants to link herself further to the Republican Party.

If the G.O.P. falls short of their promises, all things considered, Palin might be better off to continue marching to a different drummer by running as a well-financedIndependent candidate for President. She would start off with a very energized TEA Party base, a base that can get her name on the ballot in all 50 states. And then she can deliver a Reaganesque message about her not leaving the Party, but by abandoning its principles, the Party left her and millions of other Americans.

A public decision to run as an independent could probably come as late as March of 2012, when there may very well be a Republican coming close to getting the nomination, if they haven’t already. Based upon who that nominee is, Palin could fine tune the themes of her own campaign and pick up and run with all the issues that the Republican nominee fails to run with. Of course if this were to happen, President Obama would win reelection. If Palin pursued such a course, she would do just what Ross Perot did to George H. W. Bush in 1992. Perot’s third Party candidacy was one of the most successful of its kinds ever mounted and its success was responsible for electing Bill Clinton President,

In that 1992 election, President Clinton received 44,909,806 votes (43.0%), G.H.W. Bush received 39,104,550 votes (37.5%), and Ross Perot collected 19,743,821 (18.9%) of the vote.

It is with great clarity that we see how Ross Perot took enough votes away from President George H. W. Bush to allow Bill Clinton to defeat him.

Ross Perot’s Reform Party successfully elected Bill Clinton the President of the United States, and back then, that Reform Party was at most, as large as the TEA Party is now. While the TEA Party movement rose form the streets, The 1992 Reform Party rose from the mind of a wacky millionaire and revolved around him. Without Ross, there was no Party.

That is not the case with the TEA Party. Though it is a large and active movement which does not have any one leader representing them, they could easily get behind one person who runs a campaign that represents their ideals. As a so-called darling of the TEA Party, Sarah Palin could quite easily be that one person. The question becomes, would she do so as a Republican who keeps them in the G.O.P. or will she do so as an Independent, third Party candidate who siphons them away from the G.O.P.?

If Palin ran for the Republican nomination, she could easily be overtaken in what will be a large and aggressive field. And if in the end, she lost the nomination, she will not have the resources and time left to mount a meaningful third Party candidacy. This would leave her a beaten, wounded, defeated candidate, without the same stature and platform that she had prior to entering the race.

If Palin ran as a Third Party candidate, she would spend much of her money on just insuring that she gets on the ballot in all 50 states by gathering all the right signatures in all the right ways. But with the strong grassroots of the TEA Party movement behind her, this will be easier for her than it was for Perot. And as a third Party candidate, she will be able to spend more time directing her campaign to the national electorate rather than just the Republican voters. This will enable her to win over a significant number of voters who will commit to her candidacy early. Many of them will be Republicans, even more of them will be TEA movement members and Republicans who feel disenfranchised by a Party that they believe left them. The area where Palin will have the toughest time is with Independent voters. Aside from Democrats, this is where her numbers are weakest. But a carefully crafted campaign and softening of her image could force them to give her a second look, especially since she would be representing no political Party, something that most Independents find very attractive.

A third Party candidacy would not be likely to get Sarah Palin to the White House. But her chances of doing that as the Republican candidate are actually only slightly better. But by running as a third Party candidate, Palin is insuring that she is in the game until Election Day and that she has a place in all the presidential debates. This insures her ability to shape the debate and force the Republican candidate to the right, where they should be. In fact, if Sarah Palin were to announce a third Party candidacy early enough in the primary season, that could wind up being the catalyst for the creation of a strong, solid, conservative in the Republican primary, as opposed to her having a diluting effect by splitting the conservative vote within the Republican primary.

In some ways, a third Party candidacy by Sarah Palin could do some good for the Party. It would force them to really reaffirm whether or not they are the Party of Reagan or Rockefeller. It would force them to stick to their guns instead of abandoning ship. Of course it would also help Barrack Obama get reelected.

It Is for this reason that Republicans must treat Sarah Palin with kid gloves. While she may be a lighting rod ridiculed by the left, she is also someone who helps Republicans with the very base that abandoned the G.O.P. in previous years. And if they want to win the presidency in 2012, they can’t afford to have that base wander off the path or stay at home again. The smart candidate for the Republicanpresidential nominee will try to out Palin, Palin early. While Mitt Romney has been keeping the TEA party at arms length, others like Pawlenty are embracing them. Possible presidential contender, Governor Rick Perry of Texas, has been shaping a very TEA Party-like agenda for his state. Strategies like this could pay off big. For the right candidate, it could help make them a Palin-like alternative to Sarah, without carrying any of the baggage that Palin has been saddled with.

In the end, Palin has many options available to her but those Republicans who want tomake a serious run for Presidenthave little choicebut to get Sarah Palin on their side.

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Sarah Palin’s Ronald Reagan Birthday Dinner Speech

Bookmark and Share Thanks to the Young American’s Foundation, on Friday Sarah Palin joined with hundreds of Americans at the Ronald Reagan, Rancho del Cielo,to celebrate the 100th anniversary of Ronald Reagan’s birth.
While praising President Reagan for his many accomplishments, Palin’s speech paid tribute to Ronald Reagan largely by comparing hispolicieson government’s role in our lives to that of theliberal view of government’s role in our life and the very un-Reagan-like results that his achieved since Reagan left office.
Palin explained;
In 1964, the conservative movement heard him. In 1966, California listened to him. In 1976, finally, the G.O.P. rank and file listened to him. In 1980, the nation listened to him. And in 1984, the whole world heard him
But she went on to warn us of those who turn a deaf ear to the Reagan message that weonce heard and embraced.
Palin remindedus thatless than 90 days following the conservative wins at the ballot box of the November elections which she described as “historic”, President Obama issued a State of the Union address that said;
“the era of big government is here to stay. and you’re going to pay for it whether you want to ot not. But they can’t sell it to us with the same sales pitch anymore. So this new version isn’t just the tired and tried, liberal nanny state of the Great Societyu. No, now it’s much worse and it’s couched in the language of nationalgreatness which, to the left, that is their version of American exceptionalism. It is an exceptionally big government, where bureacrats declare that weshall be great and innovative and competetive, but not by individual initiative anymore. No, by government decree”.
Palin based every issue, from today’s green energy push, to government’s growth and expansive powers, to the Reagan approach to government and after painting the picture that we see today, she illustrated the reasons for a return to the ideas of the Reaga Revolution.
Palin wrapped up her nearly half hour address with a nod to the Young American’s Foundation and the imoprtance of their work. She said;
“today there a lotpeople looking around for thenext Ronald Reagan. But he was one of a kind and you’re not going to find his kind again. And the Gipper wouln’t want us to spend our time on that anywat. Heonce put it, ‘I’m not a great man. I just believe in great ideas’. And our hero understood that our transmitionof these great ideas to the next generation,would insure the survival and success of liberty.”
This Palin said was the mission of the YAF and why the group is such an important part of the Reagan legacy.
That’s whenPalin gavea nod to the Young American’s Foundation who own and preserve the Reagan Ranch for history, by stating;
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