Trunkline 2012: Wednesday’s Word On the Campaign Trail

Bookmark and Share  Today’s Trunkline 2012 election news wrap-up includes headlines about Paul Ryan’s call to actress Stacey dash, Romney’s benchmark lead over Obama, Fred Thompson’s assessment of Mitt Romney’s foreign policy speech, President Obama’s promise to be nasty, voters trusting Romney on the economy more than the President, an Obama staffer helping Obama voters to vote twice in the election, and much more….

Bookmark and Share

Internal Polls Have Romney Ahead in at Least 2 Pivotal Swing States

  Bookmark and Share   According to Breitbat editor Mike Flynn, the Romney campaign has internal polls that now show the Romney-Ryan ticket ahead of President Obama in two important battleground states… Ohio and New Hampshire.  According to two tweets posted by Flynn  on his Twitter feed, Romney’s internal polls have him beating the President in New Hampshire by 3.0%, and an almost unimaginably wider margin of 4.5% in Ohio.

If these numbers are true, this would suggest that my own estimation of a Romney victory that will be much bigger than most people think possible, could be shaping up.   Especially if Mitt Romney is ahead in Ohio.

While I have sensed that this race is not quite as close as most polls indicate, my inability to totally discount the preponderance of public polling numbers that are out there has been leading me to conclude that in 2012, the G.O.P. may win the White House without Ohio for the first time in history. Part of the reason for that opinion has been due to the available polling data.  The other part is my knowing that President Obama is going to do everything possible to win the Buckeye State for himself.  Doing so would leave Romney with significantly fewer paths to victory.  But aggressive campaigning by Romney in several other key states, specifically Iowa, Colorado, New Hampshire, Nevada and of course Virginia and Florida, has led me to conclude that while Team Romney has by no means written off Ohio, they are actively working on Plan B…. the plan to win the election without Ohio if necessary.

But if these leaked internal polls are accurate, Mitt Romney is currently on his way to being able to carry out his preferred plan of winning the election with Ohio and the way I see it, if he can do that, Americans will be stunned to find out on November 7th that Romney beat President Obama by far more than anyone predicted.

If the Romney-Ryan ticket can win Ohio, that bodes quite well for additional victories in swing states like Florida, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, and New Hampshire.  Given the make-up of Ohio, it is very good bellwether of the sentiments that exist in those aforementioned states.  Furthermore, a lead in Ohio would also indicates that Nevada is quite winnable.  Even more stunning is that it could be a sign that Romney is in contention for wins in other states like Wisconsin, which according to most polls is currently slipping away from the G.O.P. presidential ticket.  No matter what though, a lead in Ohio would significantly turn the tables on the Obama-Biden ticket by suddenly making them the ticket with fewer paths available to them to reach the magic number of 270 in the Electoral College.

Unfortunately for Romney backers, the reliability of this second and now third-hand information is not enough for us to hang our hats on yet.

While all campaigns conduct internal polls, they do not spend much time publicly talking about them or releasing the data and information contained in them.  By law, if a campaign releases any numbers from their internal polls, they must release the entire poll.  However, as is always the case with politics, campaigns can and do find ways to see that certain tib-bits somehow leak out for public consumption without being caught.  In this case,  no one can be sure of where or how Mike Flynn got hold of these numbers.  But if he did somehow get a look at the Romney campaign’s actual internal poll numbers for Ohio and New Hampshire, the news contained in his two tweets changes the narrative of this election by turning President in to the underdog in the race.

If the numbers Flynn released are actually from the Romney campaign’s internal polls, you can rest assured that they are accurate.  Mainly because of Neil Newhouse, the man who put those numbers together.

Neil Newhouse is Romney’s chief pollster and globally, one of the best pollsters around.   He is a co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, a national political and public affairs survey research firm that has been described as “the leading Republican polling company” in the country and in 2011 he was named “Pollster of the Year” by the American Association of Political Consultants for his work on Scott Brown’s winning Senate campaign in Massachusetts.

At Public Opinion Strategies, Newhouse developed a culture and approach to winning that is practically unsurpassed as he successfully helped political candidates win tough campaigns and scored hard-fought successes in the public affairs arena for some of America’s leading corporations and associations.  Through his polling efforts Newhouse has been a master at taking accurate polls and using the information derived from them to successfully tailor the type of winning messages that have allowed his candidates to get elected.  So if Neil Newhouse’s polling does actually have Romney up by as much as 3.0% in New Hampshire and 4.5% in Ohio, chances are that the vast majority of public polls which are basing their models on outdated 2008 turnout models, are offering us a very misleading perception of just how tight the election will actually be.

Bookmark and Share

What Theme Should Democrats Choose For Their Convention?

    Bookmark and Share  Under the theme of “A Brighter Future”, Republicans are preparing to participate in a national celebration of their conservative principles that will culminate in the nomination of Mitt Romney for President but as Democrats prepare to respond with their convention the following week, an effective reelection theme seems to elude them.  Afterall, what appropriate themes could there possibly be for an effort to reelect a President whose Administration has cast a shroud of doubt and despair over the nation that is second only to the days of malaise brought upon us by Jimmy Carter in the late 70’s?

While Republicans prepare to dedicate an entire night of their convention to contradict the President’s “You didn’t build that…. Government built that” ideology, Democrats are left with having to come up with a competing theme that tries to reconcile President Obama’s past record of failures with a pitch for a better future that is based on forging ahead with the same failed policies that got to where we are today.

Currently the Obama campaign has adopted the slogan “Forward.” as their tagline.  The unoriginal and intentionally ambiguous tag line is a very uninspiring rehash of the theme Democrats tried to adopt in 2010, right before they suffered landside defeats at the ballot box.  Below is an ad in which Democrats briefly used the “moving forward” theme in August of that historic election cycle. 

It didn’t work.

Following that ad American’s rejected Democrats in historic numbers and gave control of the House of Representatives to Republicans by wide a margin.  In 2010 Americans did not want to move “forward” with Barack Obama’s policies and they made that quite clear.  So why Democrats believe that two years later, Americans would want to move “forward” with Barack Obama is a little hard to understand it makes it quite clear that with their convention fast approaching, Democrats need some help.

So we at White House 2012 would like to give them some help by having you offer your own suggestions regarding the theme that Democrats should adopt for their convention.  Just pass along your suggested theme in the comments sections of this post or post it on Twitter @ #DEMTHEME  .

We will put the 5 best proposed Democrat convention themes will be put up for a vote in a public poll here on White House on Thursday, August 30th, once the Republican National Convention has concluded.  And the creator of the winning theme will receive a free gift from the White House 2012 Campaign Store.

Bookmark and Share

Trunkline 2012: Saturday Political Opinions and the Cinema Politico Movie of the Week: 11/26/11

Bookmark and Share    With less than 40 days to go before the Iowa Caucuses take place, this first holiday weekend of the holiday season is one of those rare times when we see and hear little news coming from the campaign trail. Iit will also be the last weekend for such little political news to report on for quite some time.  But in light of this brief lull, today’s Trunkline 2012 focuses on the opinions being offered from our fellows bloggers across the blogosphere.  And as is the case with every Saturday, we also offer you our movie of the week at White House 2012’s Saturday Cinema Politico.
  • If Romney doesn’t energize his campaign soon, somebody might actually try to win this race besides him.”
  • “Occupy The White House” Now In Full Throttle
  • Another victory for “smart power”
  • On Reversing the Immigration Magnet’s Polarities
  • Ron Paul is nuts
  • Will Congress try to duck the automatic cuts?
  • Moonbats Still Blame Sarah Palin for Gabby Giffords Shooting
  • Site of the Week2012Twit.com :  Most social media platforms are only as good as those who use them, nut some are still better than others.  For instance, Facebook is going through a transition which is currently making it less useful.  Twitter is however becoming more and more valuable when it comes to gathering useful information without a ot of chatter.  2012 Twit is a platform that enhances the use of Twitter, especially in the area of political information.  It provides a real time analysis of the 2012 presidential election on Twitter and if you don’t know about it yet, you should.
  • Sunday Morning News Programming: ABC -This Week With Christiane Amanpour The deficit-reduction talks; volunteerism; and access to clean water. Guests include Sen. Pat Toomey (R.-Pa.); Colin Powell; Matt Damon; Gary White (cofounder of water.org); and Bill Gates. – Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace: One on One” series of interviews featuring the Republican presidential field with former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman.Then, with the super committee failing to reach an agreement to cut $1.2 trillion dollars from the nation’s debt, how will Capitol Hill move to put our fiscal house in order? We’ll hear from two key Senate party leaders. Sen. Dick Durbin, (D) Illinois / Majority Whip. Sen. Jon Kyl, (R) Arizona / Minority Whip.  CBS Face the Nation: Authors Walter Isaacson, Michael Lewis, Condoleezza Rice and Kathryn Stockett.  NBC – The Chris Matthews Shows: A panel discusses American politics and whether talk-show host Rush Limbaugh used racially tinged language about first lady Michelle Obama.
  • File this under “I’m Sorry”: If White House 2012 is anything, it is honest, and it is that honesty which allows me to share this reader comment from Lou who writes;

“Love your site, but I’m finding the “typos” and missspelllings disconcerting. For no charge, I’ll review your copy before you post it. Isn’t it worth five minutes more to get it out “clean and sober”? I’m serious, guys. I’ll do it for no charge, in the interest of getting the message out without the annoying distractions. I hope to here from youse.”

-Lou F.

Lou is right and while I can try to offer excuses, any such attempts would be just that……excuses.  I myself have often found errors in the stories of others and thought to myself “how stupid”.  I recently read a piece from a prominent columnist who was writing about the flu season and wrote, “I hate how I always get dick”.  He meant “sick”.  That one slipped by (no pun intended….okay, maybe it is intended) the columnists, the editors, and the proofreader.  And they all get paid handsomely for their work.  Here at White House 2012, no one gets paid.  Ours is a labor of love and done out of passion for our beliefs.  However, finances or the lack thereof, are no excuse for sloppy work.  So to Lou and everyone else out there, I offer my apologies for typos, and misspelled words.  We may not be the New York Times but that is still not reason enough to not be better than them,……….which shouldn’t be too hard to do.

  • White House 2012′s Cinema Politico: This week’s feature presentation is Atomic Cafe.

This 1982 flick  provides a slight release of comic energy. The film recounts a defining period of 20th century history and serves as a chilling and often hilarious reminder of cold-war era paranoia in the United States.  At least it’s considered paranoia now.

Click here to see the Movie. Registration with Hulu is required, but it is quick, easy, and free. Like White House 2012

 

Bookmark and Share

New Poll Has Herman Cain Beating Perry and Romney Among Likely Republican Voters

Bookmark and Share   In a new Zogby poll that was taken in the three days following the most recent Republican presidential debate, Texas Governor Rick Perry, the man who rocketed past Mitt Romney as soon as he announced his candidacy and hs been the presumed frontrunner, has plummeted 18% among likely Republican voters and likely Republican primary voters.  Benefiting from this drop was not the former frontrunner, Mitt Romney.  That swing in voter sentiments went to none other than Herman Cain, the man who on the very last day that this poll was taken, shook the political world with his first place showing in the Florida “Presidency 5” Straw Poll.

According to the latest poll, Herman Cain increased his support by  16% percent since September 2nd.    In the same time period, Texas Governor Rick Perry lost 19% percent of his support and Mitt Romney picked up 3%.

For Herman Cain, this means that a star is born.  But it is important to remember that stars fall to earth faster than they rise and frontrunner status nows makes Cain a target.  A target of his Republican opponents, liberals, and the mainstream media which had already begun to abuse Cain before his win in the Florida straw poll.  So how long Cain can maintain frontrunner status is questionable, but one thing is for sure.  This news now breathes new life into a campaign that Herman Cain has twice considered ending.

For Cain, the results of this poll could be as significant or even more so than the Florida straw poll victory.  Unlike Presidency 5, the Zogby reflects not a state sentiment that could be written off to regional appeal, it is the reflection of Republican attitudes nationally.  That can provide Herman Cain with the ability to raise significant anounts of money and add strength to his campaign.

As for the rest of the field, they must come to grips with something which I have been stating repeatedly.  Voters from the TEA movement to your traditional conservative base, do not want politics-as-usual.  They want an anti-establishment candidate, the non-politician.  And they don’t just ant any non-politician.  They don’t want a Ross Perot-like moderate.   They don’t want some Kumbaya candidate who promises to “compromise” for the sake of moving the same, failed political agenda forward.  They want someone who will defend traditional American values, and enforce a pro-growth, liberty based free-market approach to our economy.  And they want someone who will do so not by promising to tinker with the failed policies. They want someone who will, as Herman Cain said in Florida, “alter and abolish” the failed approaches and policies of Washington, D.C.

At the moment that man is Herman Cain.  And it is that way because none of the other candidates have convincingly put forth a reform agenda that dramatically changes either the way Washington works or the failed and outdated policies holding us back.  All the other candidates are being overshadowed by the political reputations that precede them.  Meanwhile Herman Cain is discussing things as scrapping the current tax code.

But there are several important points to remember.  Herman Cain is quite inexperienced at campaigning. And while his lack of experience as a politician is a plus for him right now, at some point experience will be an issue and voters are going to want to know that Herman Cain has the know-how to achieve that which he promises within the very political system that he contradicts.

Point two.  Rick Perry may be don but he is not out.  The best example of that is Bill Clinton in 1992.

Early on in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, Clinton had low national poll numbers.  He was running against Jerry Brown, Paul Tsongas, Robert Kerry, and Tom Harkin.   He lost in Iowa and while trying to compete in New Hampshire against  Paul Tsongas, the Senator from neighboring Massachusetts, Clinton got caught up in the Gennifer Flowers scandal.  Despite Tsongas having favorite son status in the Granite State, Clinton was leading over Tosngas in the polls.  Then when the Flowers scandal broke, he plummeted.  But when the primary was over Clinton still pulled off  surprising second place showing.

  • Paul E. Tsongas 33.2%
  • Bill Clinton* (24.8%)
  • Bob Kerrey (11.1%)
  • Tom Harkin (10.2%)
  • Jerry Brown ( 8.0%)

Even though Clinton lost, his ability to come in second caused him to be dubbed the Comeback Kid.  So Rick Perry  cn easily comeback.  Just because he faltered in the most recent debate does not mean he broke his leg and needs to be shot.  He can survive and live to run a powerful campaign despite his ” having no heart” remark which will continue to haunt him.

The third point.  Mitt Romney has been maintaining a consistent percentage of support that is in the mid teens.  This consistency means something.  It means that unlike all the other candidates, Romney has a solid base.  He has yet to experience wild swings in his poll numbers.  Such a fact means that Romney’s consistency as a candidate could prove to be a major factor that leads to his winning in the end.

The last and final point is the wildcard.  It is the opportunity for a candidate like Sarah Palin or Chris Christie to jump into the race and suck the air right out of the room.  It is also the possibility that someone like Rick Santorum or  Newt Gingrich turns things around with a series of events and positions and missteps by some of the top tier candidates.  Ultimately, the variables are endless and anything can still happen.  Did you think that Herman Cain was actually going become the frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination with just a little more than three months to go before the Iowa caucuses?

The only thing that is looking certain, is the decline of President Obama.

In the same Zogby poll that has Cain ahead of the pack, 57% of voters disapprove of President Obama’s job performance, and only 37% believe he deserves to be reelected.

Bookmark and Share 

Christie-Walker 2012?

Bookmark and Share Okay. So I have to tell you right off the bat, I am not serious. As a New Jerseyan, I am so far surprisingly happy with Chris Christie, but he still has to see much of his groundwork through to prove himself. And although I like Sctt Walker, I would like to see the guy govern for at least a year before we run him national office.But both of these men have struck at the heart of the fiscal problems that confront their states and the nation as well. They have touched the third rails of entitlement programs that no one before them has had the guts to address. And they are saying to unions what few before them have said so flatly ..no.

Will the big union protests hurt or help the G.O.P. in 2012? Take the WH2012 Poll

As such, the two men have become hated, but it is clear that so far, more voters like them than dislike them. Those who consider themselves union members first, dislike Christie and Walker.But those who consider themselves taxpayers first, like them. With the tax system we currently have in America, it is sometimes hard to say whether there are more taxpayers than union members or vise versa. But at the moment there are some union members who realize that they are both members of a union and taxpayers. These people understand that you can not keep robbing from Peter to give to Paul.

Governor Scott Walker

These people understand that while their union brothers and sisters are red with anger, their states are drowning in red ink. And it is these same people who understand that Scott Walker and Chris Christie are doing what they were elected to do. Indeed a few thousand Republicans all across America in local, county state and federa offices were recently elected with a similar mandate behind them in 2010. In 2006 and 2008 many Republicans were booted out of officebecause they had previously forgotten that message. But now here we are with two men who are leading the way in doing something that should have been done long ago .. Saying no to big unions and special interests.

Governor Chris Christie

Doing this doesnt really make Walker or Christie special. It doesnt make them those once in a generation leaders that we always look for. It just makes them commonsense leaders. And that is really quite sad. It is sad that we have come to a point in time when common sense in our leaders is so rare that we are ready to quickly throw their names about for offices as revered as President of the United States. Yet some recent polls have had Republicans claiming that Chris Christie was their first choice for the Republican presidential nomination. Now I am not saying that Christie or Walker are not capable, but they are not yet proven. The last time we selected an unproven leader, we got freshman Senator Barack Obama for President.And Walker and Christie are also not alone in this newfound commonsense leadership. Rick Scott of Florida shares in it. Bob McMillan of Virginia shares it. Congressman Paul Ryan of Wisconsin and Eric Cantor of Virginia as well as Justin Amash of Michigan, Adam Kinzinger of Illinois, Marco Rubio, Scott Garrett and a whole host of congressmen and senators and state legislators share this same respect for basic math and commonsense.

So let us not rush to coronate any one person King or Queen of the G.O.P. Let the Chrsities and Walkers and Scotts of our Party lead. Let them prove that commonsense has a place in government and let us allow the Republican presidential nomination process to be a real contest. Let it be a real proving ground where we can kick the tires, test drive our leaders and make them earn our trust, our support, our votes. Let them prove themselves before we jump on any of their bandwagons.

In the meantime. Heres to Chris Christie and Scott Walker! Keep up the good work and remember, as demonstrated in the picture below of teachers protestingin NewJerseynot long ago, those trying to shout you down, are not exactly the sharpest tools in the shed. And another thing, the people of yesterday that Richard Nixon once called the Silent Majority are today called the TEA Party, and weve got your back.

Bookmark and Share

Haley Barbour Talks About 2012 White House Hopes In South Carolina

Bookmark and Share Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour took what is clearly a step in the direction toward the starting line in the race to the White House. Today he conducted private meetings with Republican financial donors and Party activists in Greenville and Spartanburg, South Carolina.

Barry Wynn, a former state Republican Party chairman, tells The Spartanburg Herald Journal; He’s just coming through town to meet with a few people to test the waters, like a lot of other people are preparing to do,. Wynn added It’s very preliminary. He knows a lot of folks, and I think he’s trying to touch base with the people he knows and meet some new people. It’s that season.

Today’s meetings were set up by Chip Felkel, a Greenville, South Carolina Republican strategist and decades long friend of Governor Barbour and worked for the RNC when Barbour was a Mississippi Republican National Committeeman.

The recent meeting in Spartanburg was held in space occupied by the business owned by state GOP Chairwoman Karen Floyd. Joel Sawyer, the spokesman for The South Carolina State GOP said that the Chairwoman will coordinate many meetings similar to the one with Barbour as the nominating process plays out.

Barbour has been keeping his foot in the door of the Southern Republican primaries for quite some time now. Not long ago he was the keynote speaker at the Florida State GOP dinner. And last March he was the main speaker at separate state and county Republican fundraiser in South Carolina.

With January coming to a close, many perspective candidates who have not yet made up their minds about 2012 are moving closer to a decision and it looks like Governor Barbour is no different.

Bookmark and Share

White House 2012 Joins The Steve Wark In The Morning Show

Bookmark and ShareWhite House 2012,editor-in-chief Anthony Del Pellegrino (aka:Kempite), will be a guest on The Steve Wark in the Morning Show, KMZQ, AM670, “Nevada’s number 1 station for talk”, on:

Monday, January 3rd, 2011, at 8:00 am (PST), 11:00 am (EST).

The discusssion will range from the shaping Republican presidential race to the top freshmen legislators to look out for in the soon to be sworn in 112th Congress.

Join in the discusion. Call in at 702-866-6700

Bookmark and Share

Merry Christmas America

antmerrychristmas3dspinning

On Christmas, politics takes a backseat to the birth of Christ, the savior.

The political divisions created by differing opinions are put aside so that something more important can be celebrated..life. A life of goodness, goodness of purpose and intention. The type of goodness Christ tried to bring our world. The type of goodness that has faith in mankind and that wishes comfort and joy to all.

Liberal or conservative, republican or democrat, pious believer or devout atheist, today we Christian celebrants share, with all, the spirit of hope and goodwill that comes to the forefront of this special occasion.

Florida GOP Features Barbour. And Super Tuesday Heats Up

Bookmark and Share Florida is a critical state in both the Republican nomination process and the presidential election process. Having one of the four largest electoral votes in the nation, this makes Florida one of the two “must haves” in the Super Tuesday primaries of the South. So what happens politically in Florida, echoes nationally. So the recent decision by the Florida’s state Republican Party to have Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour deliver the Keynote address at their annual dinner in September is having a ripple effect in Republican circles.

Now that Florida’s Republican Governor became an Independent and is running for the U.S. Senate, the slot that would have normally been reserved for the state’s top elected Republican, came open and it would seem that Haley Barbour had did not hesitate filling it.

The move is a sign that Barbour is carefully and methodically lining up support for a run for President.

Since Charlie Crist left the Party and is now campaigning against the GOP’s nominee for U.S. Senate, Marco Rubio, it would be natural for organizers of the annual dinner to have selected Marco Rubio as their Keynote Speaker. In fact it would have been a smart move. Yet the Florida GOP has Barbour speaking instead.

Why?

Well as Chairman of the Republican Governor’s Association, when Charlie Crist switched parties, Barbour was in close communication with state Party leaders and he has remained in touch with them. So much so that he twisted a few arms to get this much coveted speaking engaging before Florida’s Republican elite.

The move was a smart one by Barbour. Although the numbers change based on the number of Republicans officials elected to office and population, Florida sends approximately 60 delegates to the Republican National Convention.That’s just a mere drop in the bucket when you compare it to the approximately 1, 191 needed to secure the presidential nomination. But of the 822 delegates that come out of the South, that is substantial in early counts. But what’s more is the timing of Florida’s primary. It normally takes place after South Carolina but before the bulk of the South votes for the nominees on Super Tuesday.

This makes the timing of Florida’s primary even more important than its delegate count. If a candidate does poorly in South Carolina, a comeback in the big Florida primary could provide a candidate with the type of momentum that they could use to sweep the South in the weeks to follow.

Barbour knows this. That is why he swooped into to that slot as keynote speaker. To get this “invitation”, he pulled quite a few strings with Republican state Party officials and apparently Florida Republican officials like what they see in Barbour because they jumped at the chance to have their strings pulled by him.

People don’t want to be associated with losers as much as they want to be associated with winners. If Barbour was a loser, the Florida GOP would not have just sent upplumes of white smoke that signal a decision like they do at Vatican upon the election of a Pope. If Barbour was not about to seal the deal with Party leaders, the Florida GOP would not have signaled to contenders like Romney, Pawlenty, Palin, Paul, Santorum, Gingrich and others, that a favorite son of the South is about to be tapped for bigger and better things.

Of course this has set contenders like Romney and Pawlenty, off on a frenzied attempt to contact current and potential Florida supporters to make sure that that they can keep the door open for their chance to win over the Party power hitters before Barbour is able to close the door on them and lock up Florida before the race even begins.

No matter what though, right now Haley Barbour isconstructing the foundation for his candidacy and creating the playing field on which all other contenders are being forced to play catch-up with Barbour on.

Bookmark and Share

Jeb Bush. Secretary of Education or President?

Bookmark and ShareOver time, probably both.

While a third Bush presidency is probably not in the cards for 2012, it is not entirely out of the question in the future.

Yet if the potential crowded pool of talented Republicans do not actually come to the surface and run for President, Jeb Bush could actually throw his hat in the ring in 2012 and believe it or not, be a very viable candidate…… over time.

Once the shock of his name wore off and after what he had to say finally sunk in, Jeb Bush would be able to challenge people like Palin, Pawlenty, Paul, Barbour, and Romney and give them a run for their money……… over time.

However; with the wealth of talent that will undoubtedly fill the Republican field of candidates, it will actually be difficult to convince people that we need another Bush, so soon after the last one. And Jeb is not actually making any attempts to indicate that he is interested in running for President in 2012.

Instead, Jeb has been crisscrossing the country and discussing education in America and how to improve it.

The issue is one which he is most passionate about. As governor of Florida, Bush instituted the nation’s first statewide school voucher system, mandated standardized tests in Florida’s public schools, eliminated social promotion and established a system of funding public schools based on a statewide grading system.

Since leaving office as Governor of Florida, education has been the issue Jeb has dedicated his life to. He started out by creating an institute named the Foundation for Excellence in Education and since then, in addition to speaking out on the issue and organizing forums on it, Jeb has been touring the nation as he studies innovative programs, learns about the tools educators need to successfully teach students and develops new ways to deliver quality education to the nation’s students.

The latest stride Bush has taken in this area has been an effort that would bring about a more intricate integration of future technology innovations with current technology in public education. Called the Digital Learning Council, Bush and former West Virginia Governor Bob Wise have joined forces to create a panel of education experts that will help move digital learning to the forefront of education and away from the niche role they believe digital learning plays today.

The 60-member council includes Shafeen Charania, director of education product group marketing for Microsoft; Daniel A. Domenech, executive director of the American Association of School Administrators in Arlington, Va.: John D. Couch, vice-president of education at Apple Inc.; and state officials and members of education think-tanks.

According to a news release from the new group, more than 2 million K-12 students take courses online, and 1.5 million home-education students take online courses, but that barely scratches the surface of what is possible through technology.

In an interview with Education Week, Former Governor Bush told Education Week magazine that digital technology’s disruptive nature for good has not been applied to our education system. If you look at how technology has improved our lives, it has only been an accessory in education. The blueprint created by the Digital Learning Council will move us towards a more customized learning environment where more students learn at their maximum pace.

This latest initiative to enhance education in America is just one of many Jeb has taken since he firstbecame Governor of Florida back in 1998. In total, his record on the issue is impeccable and to date, he has done more to improve education in America more than most people of the day. And interestingly enough aside from demonstrating a great government model for teaching and learning, much of Bush’s work has demonstrated how we can improve the quality of education through private sector initiatives, as much, if not more, than government initiated demands.

Jeb’s efforts in the area of education are truly keeping him busy. He has turned the cause into a fulltime job. But it is a job that can certainly set him on the path to other employment opportunities.

Being aBush brother, timing may not allow him to become President in 2012 and he knows it, but a smart man can take time and turn it from an enemy, into a friend. And that is what Jeb is doing to the time he has. Currently, time is on his side. And should the next President in 2012 be Republican other than him, expect Jeb to be a member of that person presidential cabinet.

If the next President does not do away with the Department of Education, expect them to tap Jeb Bush, education’s best friend, to become Secretary of Education and once the President who appoints him to that position is no longer in office, anticipate former Governor and Cabinet member Jeb Bush to become the President after them over time.

Bookmark and Share

Barbour Has Cooties

Bookmark and Share

Running a Twitter search is like listening in on hundreds of conversations all at once. You get a snippet of what people are saying about current news stories. It isn’t empirical research. It isn’t representative of the population in any statistical way. It does however often let us see the extremes of public opinion and the level of interest quickly. After Haley Barbour was discussed on ‘Morning Joe’, I checked the Twitter feeds to see the reaction.

Ok, he is fat, but so what?

There were two main types of posts. One type spoke to Barbour’s success as Governor of Mississippi. The other type called him a fat racist. It isn’t exactly the height of political discourse, but it does highlight the current political climate. If politics had its own version of freshman orientation, it would have a presentation entitled: “Welcome to being a Republican candidate, here’s your racist label.”

Calling conservatives racists is the adult equivalent of grade schoolers chanting that Suzie has cooties. It comes from the same motivations. It has the same level of veracity. And frankly, it hurts. It hurts because we know what it means for someone to truly be racist. To think that anyone would actually think you hold those views is painful. At the same time, to minimize the reality of racism by throwing the accusation around randomly is also painful, especially to those who have suffered from it or worked hard to see it come to an end.

The liberal who cries racist is becoming synonymous with the boy who cried wolf. Right now, it still sends people running excitedly, but for how much longer? Several years ago, the accusation of racism would have resulted in the party throwing whoever was accused under the bus. Then it shifted to providing a detailed defense of the person highlighting all the work they did for minorities and trotting out minority people to speak on their behalf. Now, the accusations are just ignored by the right because they have become so frequent and are nearly always baseless. Even many on the left are turning a deaf ear to the accusations and treating them with as much attention as accusations of cooties.

The attacks on Haley Barbour are just the latest example of this problem. Unable to find substantive issues on which to criticize him, his detractors just drag out the racist label. Showing that even they don’t take the accusation seriously, they’ve paired it with calling him fat. Yep, it is just like grade school again. Fatty has cooties.

Is this really the debate we want to have in this country? Are you telling me that we can’t find a single real issue to debate? Has it come down to calling someone fat and thinking that is meaningful? Come on. Really?

Bookmark and Share

Sarah Palin; Leader or Cheerleader?

Bookmark and ShareSarah Palin can continue to be a rising star. Or she can plummet like a meteorite. I am one of those who sees the potential for her to be a star that continues to grow as bright as the sun. I believe she has a record and solid foundation in being the anti-establishment politician with the ability to tap into the prevailing sentiment of the day which is less government and more personal responsibility.

However; I have been disappointed in what is becoming an extremely commercial image. She is becoming more of a commodity than a leader. That is a dangerous position for Palin to put herself in. I believe that if she has any ambitions for national elected office, she must soon start looking more like the elder statesman than a cheerleader.

While she can continue to make lots of money and cheer on Conservatives to aid the cause, the truth is that while Sarah is energizing the Conservative base, that’s all she is doing. Let’s face it, given a good Republican candidate to vote for, most Republicans and Conservative will vote for that candidate. But to win countywide, citywide or statewide elections, you need Independent and some Democrat votes too. Sarah does not attract those votes to those whom she endorses. Many Democrats and too many Independents don’t take her serious, and if Sarah simply continues to act like a cheerleader, when the halftime show is over, the audience is just going to start paying attention to the rest of the game and leave Palin standing on the sidelines.

I have yet to see any sign of Palin broadening her base. I fail to see where she reaches out to those beyond the Conservative ranks and while her motivation of the Republican base is important, she needs to also expand the base and that Palin is just not doing. If she would just do something like present her own economic recovery plan and her own ideas for tax reform, maybe people would  begin to see Sarah as a much more substantive figure than some see her as today.

It is great that Sarah Palin’s stated mission is electing “good Conservatives “ to office but if you want to lead, you must be a leader. You must put forth the ideas, proposals and plans that can help give solid solutions for Conservatives, and others, to rally around.

Instead Sarah Palin is simply repeating anecdotal and philosophical platitudes that, while sounding good and inspirational, leave you hanging and after a moment of reflection, make you wonder……”but what’s the plan that will allow us to do all those things and achieve all those goals?”

As someone who joined with Adam Bricker, the creator of the original draft Sarah Palin for Vice President movement in 2008, I am confident that Sarah has the capacity to lay out those plans and lead, but she just isn’t doing that.

Sarah Palin has much to offer. She can and often does convey a necessary sense of being one of us, someone who genuinely understands our frustrations with an overreaching government and overbearing bureaucracy that at times seems too ridiculous to have any faith in. She takes strong stands and she does so unapologetically. On the issue of abortion she is uncompromising. On spending she is a deficit hawk and on national defense, she is polar bear——-strong and self sufficient when left to themselves but ominous and brutal when threatened. Her short record as Governor of Alaska was a solid one and her decision to resign was an example of politically uncharacteristic self-sacrifice. While some accuse her of giving up and being a quitter, unlike other political leaders such as Charlie Rangel, Palin made the decision she believed was best for her constituents, not her career. Instead of putting the people of Alaska through a relentless tabloid and legal circus based on frivolous lawsuits that would have distracted from the issues and forced the state to incur undue legal costs, she stepped down knowing full well that her Lt. Governor was more than capable of carrying forward the torch that she lit.

Few politicians would make such sacrifice. But that’s Sarah. She does what is best for the people, not politics and politicians.

But if Sarah really wants to do some good for the people, then she must start leading the people down the path of common sense conservatism, not just talk about it.

Give those “good conservative” candidates that she is trying to elect , something to get elected on. Lead them, don’t just cheer them on.

Until Sarah starts offering that leadership, she will fail to establish the statesman-like image, that she will need if she wants to be taken seriously as a presidential contender. Right now Sarah is in a very precarious position. She can be like the pet rock of the 70’s, a big hit that quickly faded into undistinguished and unremarkable history, or a Reaganesque figure that changes the course of history.

Bookmark and Share

Romney Raises Cash Fast & Spends It Wisley

Bookmark and Share    This week Mitt Romney launched a phone bank operation through his Free and Strong America PAC. It is for the sole purpose of asking known supporters to make a financial contribution to his PAC. 

It is an example of just how close Mitt has been holding his supporters to him since 2008.  The phone banks are being conducted by actual live callers who are well-trained volunteers and the pool of people they are calling come from lists that have been carefully culled through and compiled by all of his former 2008 state campaign chairs.  Since

Free & Strong America Membership Card (front)

 2008 these supporters have received 6 mailings.  One included their enrollment in the Free & Strong America PAC as a member, along with a credit card-like membership card.  

Every aspect of Free & Strong America PAC has been used to hold on to his supporters.  Even Mitt’s Free & Strong America website works well at this with such things as essay contests and other interactive events.

But beyond holding on to what he’s got, Romeny is using Free & Strong America to build on that base and he is doing it with style, smarts and efficiency.

Free & Strong America Membership Card (rear)

To date Free & Strong America has endorsed over a hundredand fifteen candidates in this 2010 election cycle and contributed over $350,000 to them since the beginning of the cycle. And more endorsement and contributions are to come. Just the other day, Mitt Romney’s Free & Strong America PAC endorsed five North Carolina candidates and boosted their war chests with a combined total of $15,000 in Romney campaign contributions.

The newly initiated phone bank operation that Romney is running is of course designed to replenish his Free & Strong America PAC, something which never stopped and never had a tough time doing since he  dropped out of the Republican presidential race in 2008.

July’s mandatory financial filings with the FEC show that in the second quarter of this year, Romney raised a total of $1,834,689.71. The combined first and second quarter fundraising total for Romney was $3,438,978.41. This is a significant amount of money for an off-year fundraising machine.

The nearest that any of Romney’s potential Republican presidential rivals have come with their PACs so far this year was Sarah Palin with SarahPAC which ended the same reporting period with more than $1 million on hand after receiving more than $865,800 in contributions during the second quarter of the year.

Both potential rivals donated a relatively similar percentage of their haul to fellow Conservative candidates who are running this November. But Palin’s $87,500 in contributions were split up between candidates throughout the nation, while Romney’s $350,000 in donations went mainly to a regional concentration of candidates in the South, along with a $30,000 contribution to New Hampshire‘s state Republican Party organization.

The spending habits between the Romney and Palin political action committees, demonstrate the difference between a campaign organization that is practicing shrewd political strategy and a potential campaign organization that is merely following traditional strategies.

All presidential contenders use the midterm elections to demonstrate their generosity by giving candidates some much-needed financial support in the hopes of having those same candidates swing their support and volunteers back to them when it comes time for the nominating primaries and caucuses.

Having the advantage of running in the primaries and caucuses before, Romney has established that he was weakest in the South where he failed to rake in any significant victories during the 2008 race. So now he is using his political action committee money to shore up his base in the South, a region that if he expects to be the Republican presidential nominee in 2012, he will need to draw a few victories from.

Palin on the other hand, is probably going to be reasonably competitive in the South, at least initially. So while she must not ignore it, she would  probably serve herself well by doing what Romney is doing but mainly in areas like the Northeast and Midwest. Instead, Palin’s less substantial financial donations are  much more spread out and in truth, will probably not bring her as much of a return on the dollar as Romney’s strategic donations will.

Romney is very wise to spend his money the way he has so far and he will have to be.

While his campaign will be able to continue to raise plenty of money and keep outpacing people like Palin, Pawlenty, Johnson, and others for the near future, there is a great risk that people like Haley Barbour will be able to dry up some of the resources that Romney is currently drawing from and find his fundraising strength eclipsed by Barbour, and if he runs, Newt Gingrich too.

Barbour’s fundraising prowess is probably better than any potential candidate in 2012. As the former Republican National Committee  Chairman and well-connected political guru who joined forces with Newt Gingrich in ‘94 to successfully orchestrate the Republican Revolution  that gave both houses of Congress back to the GOP for the first time in 40 year’s, Barbour is a master at raising money. During the past year that he has been chairing the Republican Governors Association, he has broken all of its previous fundraising records within that organization and when he starts focusing on raising money for his own PAC, Haley’s PAC, you can expect Barbour to be  just as successful with that effort as he has been with the RGA.

As for Newt, well he could end up really hurting Romney, especially if Barbour is also in the race. In just the second quarter filing alone, Newt raised over $3.2 million between his 527 called American Solutions for Winning the Future and a PAC that he started by the same name. The 527 acts as a school of politics that trains candidates and of the $3.2 million it raised, after holding several seminars throughout the nation, especially in New Hampshire and Iowa, it has $1 million in cash left on hand. His PAC however has only raised $61,000 since he started it which was only during the most recent quarter of this year. But you can expect Newt to start focusing his fundraising efforts on his PAC in the coming months and anticipate him pulling in amounts similar to the totals he raised for his 527.

So Romney’s financial edge may be short-lived and if he plans on collecting as much money as he can for the primaries and caucuses, now is probably his best chance to get as much of it as possible and as shrewd as Mitt is with money, he is certainly spending it wisely by investing most of his contributions in the South where he can not afford to receive another dismal delegate count in 2012.

Bookmark and Share

We’re Here and the Race Is On!!!!!

Bookmark and Share  Welcome to Whitehouse 2012. Here you will find an online resources for coverage of the 2012 presidential election.

The race for President in 2012 is already underway and Whitehouse 2012 will start covering it and delivering to you all the latest buzz, details, analysis and links you need to stay informed and making your own educated decision as to whom is the right man or waoman to replace President Barack Obama.

On the each page you will find links to the left and to the right. Each one is a clickable entrance into a a new world of prospective and information.

On the left you will find links to the existing websites associated with the Republican presidential contenders and other sites of interest as well as a link to the Republican Party’s platform, and the contributing staff of White House 2012.  Mike, Jsmashmouth, IkeFriday and Kempite are your hosts and in addition to their coverage of the candidates, in this section you will also find their personal White House 2012 page which is a mélange of their thoughts, concepts, opinions and an open window into the mind of today’s contemporary conservative.

On the right side of the page are  links to the White House 2012’s biographical pages of all the contenders. There you will find videos of each candidate, their political careers, access to their voting records and an initial analysis of each individual  potential candidate by Kempite.

At the top of each page are easily marked tabs that take you to the Home Page which offers the latest news and editorial editorial posts. You will also find tabs for a detailed description of White House 2012, information on the contributing staff , a central page  that lists all the contenders, and two special sections called “ The Other Side” and “Where They Stand

The Other Side” will offer a weekly perspective of the shaping race and events surrounding it, from a Democrat. And in the “Where They Stand” section you will be offered White House 2012 consensus of how the candidate would stand if the convention were held today.

I hope that White House 2012 can become  a must stop for those interested in making an informed decision during the republican primary process. It is a collection of data and opinions that could offer you some new insight into the 2012 race while also letting you know who’s doing what and who is making up the most ground in the race for President.

 Bookmark and Share

 

%d bloggers like this: