Michele Bachmann’s Ready To Announce Her Candidacy for President

Bookmark and Share White House 2012 had previously made clear that the month of May, would begin to set the Republican race for President in stone. Most potential candidates had indicated at the latest, a June deadline for their decisions. As such, any of them who were leaning towards announcing their candidacy, would more than likely have to make some preparation that would not go unnoticed by either the media, political insiders, or both. That is now the case with Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann.

The recent decisions by Donald Trump and most especially Mike Huckabee, seem to have taken her from giving a run some serious consideration, to being sure that she will run.

According to political reporter and analysts Chris Stirewalt, on Monday, on the heels of both Huckabees and Trumps decisions not to run for President, advisors to Congresswoman Bachmann let it be know that she is likely to jump in to the race and that she has begun searching for pollsters, consultants and all the other necessary staff components for a presidential campaign. According to Stirewalt, one D.C. based consultant close to Bachmanns camp said This is now beyond speculation. They are doing this.

I have been leery of Michele Bachmanns intentions to run for President in 2012. This is not based on any disapproval of the Congresswoman. To the contrary, it was based on a hope of for the longevity of her ability to be a maverick political forceon the inside of the system.

Beyond two of the first three nominating contests, I fear that the Congresswomans chances of winning enough primaries and caucuses were out of her reach. Bachmann can and probably will do quite well in the early contests of Iowa and South Carolina. These two states are uniquely ripe for her character and politics. And as is Bachmann, these two states are strongly influenced by evangelical principles and activism. In fact they are dominated by evangelical forces, especially in the case of Republican politics. But once the campaign moves beyond Iowa, and South Carolina, that influence which is a strong suit for the Congresswoman, will become more and more diluted. This is especially true in contests outside of the Southern Bible Belt.

Even New Hampshires primary, which falls in between the Iowa Caucus and the South Carolina Primary election, Bachmann is not likely to do very well. But a loss there would certainly derail her candidacy. New Hampshire id a state closely connected to Mitt Romney and he expected to be the winner there. Besides, if Bachmann could bookend a loss in New Hampshire with wins in Iowa and South Carolina, New Hampshire will be nothing more than a bump in the road.

After South Carolina, Bachmann will still have a fair shot at Florida, another state that has a highly active evangelical Republican structure. But here Bachmann will begin to struggle with a the more diverse electorates of the more heavily populated states in the nation. Ultimately, I believe that while Bachmann will start strong I do not believe that she will finish strong and in the end, not win the Republican presidential nomination. It is for that reason, that I have doubted Bachmanns willingness to run for a nomination that she is less likely to win than lose and give up her seat in the House of Representatives in the process.

Recent events though, shed some light on why Michele Bachmann might be inclined to not seek reelection in the House.

Bachmann knows that in 2012, with president Obama at the top of the ticket, Democrats are going to target her. The Congresswoman is a thorn in the lefts side and so in addition to wanting to try to take enough seats to recapture control of the House, they would love to do so by ridding themselves of Republican firebrands like her. But Bachmann has never shied away from a tough race and she has usually prevailed. This time though, in addition to being targeted by Democrats, Bachmann will be a victim of redistricting. How much her district will be redrawn is not yet established, but no matter how it is drawn, she will have to campaign for reelection among voters that are new to her and those voters will probably not be as conservative as they are in her district as it currently exists.

The combination of the knowledge that Bachmann will be damaged by redistricting and that she will be a top target by Democrats and President Obama himself, may account for Bachmanns willingness to choose a run for President over standing for reelection to Congress. Additionally; there is nothing to say that if the Congresswomans presidential campaign starts to wane early enough, she could always pull out of the race in time to file her papers for reelection to her current House seat.

So Bachmann may not have much to lose by running for President while at the same time, she could have much to gain. Her presidential candidacy will advance the issues that are important to her. It will also raise her visibility and national ID which in turn will elevate her level of influence in conservative circles.

If Bachmann does in fact run, while she may not have the best chance at winning the nomination, her candidacy will certainly have a large effect on who is or isnt the nominee. In many ways, Congresswoman Bachmann could play the same role in the 2012 nomination contest that Mike Huckabee played in the 2008 contests. She could be strong enough to attract enough votes from other candidates like Rick Santorum, Jon Huntsman, Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, and/or Mitch Daniels, to allow Mitt Romney to win.

That is the effect that Mike Huckabee had in 2008. He attracted enough votes away from Mitt Romney, to make it possible for John McCain to ultimately win the nomination. And like Mike Huckabee, now that he is out of the race, Congresswoman Bachmann could easily win the Iowa Caucuses. At the very least, this could all help delay the emergence of a clear frontrunner.

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Michele Bachmann; “I Am In for 2012”

Bookmark and Share Speaking this weekend at a meeting of NICHE, the Network of Iowa Christian Home Educators, Congresswoman Bachmann looked and sounded like a candidate for President as she spoke of broadly articulated themes of independence and American exceptionalism thatwere based on the free power of the people, not the sweeping authority of federal bureaucracy.

She addressed the home schooling audience as one of them, a home schooling parents. The Congresswoman essentially to tied her stump speech into the theme of the event by claiming that just as the sovereignty of parents is being encroached upon by the state, so is the sovereignty of our nation. For the speech in it’s entirety, see below.

Bachmann continues to try to endear herself to Iowans by accentuating her Iowa roots and calling herself an Iowegian, one of the many people in Iowa who are of Norwegian ancestry and have helped turn Iowa in to the breadbasket of the nation.

But it was in her closing statement that she really sounded like a the hopeful owner of a lottery ticket who knows you gotta’ be in it to win it, as she proclaimed;

“This is the indispensable nation. And so I ask you will you consider these words as you look forward to 2012. Whether you are willing to be in, and whether you are willing to lay it on the line. I believe you are. I know that I am. I am in for 2012 to make sure that that torch of liberty is not extinguished on our watch because Lincoln was right. We can’t trust the politicians. We can only trust the politicians.”

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Bachmann’s Speech In Iowa Sounded Like That of a Candidate for President

See the Video of Bachmann’s Entire Speech Below the Post

Bookmark and Share Michele Bachmanns recent high profile visit to Iowa to address a group called Iowans for Tax Relief, helped generate a slew of headlines suggesting that she was dipping her toes into the Republican presidential pool. Now in the wake of her Friday evening speech, it can be said that even though she assures reporters that her appearance in Iowa has nothing to do with personal ambitions” , it can also be said that she didnt sound like someone who wasnt running.

Bachmann claims that she is merely trying to insure that the right issues are addressed in 2012. As such, her impassioned speech to the fiscally conservative tax group did touch upon some of those issues. At one point, she warned the audience that the United States is like a ship steering itself directly in to the iceberg that we see ahead. She spoke of the need to get our fiscal house in order and to tackle specifics such as the repeal of Obamacare.

But the speech was one that was light on detail and heavy on imagery that was based on the story of Bachmanns Norwegian ancestors who risked it all to start a new life in America and helped build this nation up with nothing more than determination and a dream. Bachman declared they did not come here for the promise of a federal handout. They came here to live in this land of limitless opportunity.

She went on to say We are beneficiaries of their courage and I am determined to move the promise of America forward and warned the audience that it is her firm belief that America is under attack from a threat greater than ever before..a cloud of debt.

In what was a nearly 45 minute speech, the Congresswoman offered an historical foundation for what she called our self correcting country. She told those in attendance that they, are that self correcting country and that they, not the politicians are responsible our nations fate. The answer is not with our political figures, as Lincoln told us, it is with you. said Bachmann.

All of this boiled down to a point which called upon voters to focus on electing people who will help us reduce spending, pay off our debt, address the entitlement mentality and get our fiscal house in order by recapturing the spirit of our nations founders.

The address was compelling and spirited, laced with humor and a very personal touch that helped Bachmann connect with the voters in attendance. In the end, it was the type of speech that sounded very presidential. In fact, right out of the gate, Bachmanns introductory remarks sounded like those of a candidate. She started off by reinforcing her Iowa roots which were established in Waterloo where she was born and raised. At times her gushing praise of Iowans credited them with being the nicest, best looking and smartest people of all. She even went to lengths that practically belittled her current home state in front of the conservative Republican audience as she jokingly stated Weve produced a lot up in Minnesota. Hubert Humphrey, Eugene McCarthy, Walter Mondale, Paul Wellstone and even Al Franken. She continued But weve also given you Post-It Notes and Spam, so I guess it balances out.”

In the final analysis, whether her chances are realistic or not, Michele Bachmann’s foray into Iowa, left her foot in the door to a possible run in 2012 or maybe beyond. And from the reception that she received from those in attendance, it looked as though some Iowa Caucus goers would seriously consider caucusing for her if she did run.

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