Who Would Be a Stronger Candidate Against President Obama? Romney or Gingrich?

Bookmark and Share    Whether people realize it or not, the Iowa Caucuses must be consider a pretty wide open contests.  Gingrich, Romney and Paul, may be looked at right now as the candidates with the best shot at taking first place in that contest.  But given the uniquness of Iowa and the complexities of caucus elections, it is not impossible for Rick Santorum or  Michele Bachmann to surprise the political world with a first place showing.

But even if such a placement in Iowa eludes ether of them, you can bet on them having a relatively strong showing that will certainly have an affect on who does win Iowa.  If they end up getting more support from social conservatives than currently expected, they could deny Gingrich and Ron Paul enough votes to beat Romney’s vote total and give him the Caucus win.

How it plays olut will be quite interesting, but for now, polls in multiple state’s aside from Iowa, present a picture that has the nomination contest coming down to two men, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich. So this week, White House 2012 is asking readers to tell us which of the two is the strongest one to run against President Obama.

Two weeks ago, White House 2012 asked readers which Republican presidential candidate they thought was most capable of beating President Obama in the presidential debates? In that poll,  an overwhelmingly number of respondents believed Newt Gingrich was the candidate with the best shot at outshining Obama in the debates.  Mitt Romney came in a distant second:

  • Newt Gingrich  48.19% 
  • Mitt Romney  16.06%  
  • None of them  7.23%  
  • Ron Paul  5.22%
  • Michele Bachmann  4.42%  
  • Herman Cain  11.24%  
  • Jon Huntsman  2.81%  
  • Rick Santorum  2.41% 
  • Rick Perry  1.2% 
  • Gary Johnson  1.2% 

But as the first voting in the nomination process gets closer, we would now like to know if  voters believe that the ability to outperform President Obama in a debate is enough to beat the President in the general election?.  So this week, we ask you, with all things considered, which of the two strongest debaters is the  candidate with the best overall chance of beating President Obama in the general election?

Click here to take the poll now!

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Who Won Thursday’s Fox News/Google Debate in Florida and Why?

Bookmark and Share  With nine candidates and many questions asked by American citizens through Youtube, who if anyone do you think won Thursday’s Fox News/Google Debate in Florida?

Click here to take the poll

Then leave your comments explaining what made candidates winners and losers in this most recent debate. Or join the debate about the debate on White House 2012’s Facebook discussion page.

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CNN Poll Finds That Republicans Choose Victory Over Ideology in 2012

Bookmark and Share Newly released results from a CNN/Opinion Research Poll has Republicans placing Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney at the top of their list of preferred candidates to run against President Obama. The poll has Huckabee the choice of 21 percent of those surveyed, while Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney are preferred by 19 and 18 percent, respectively.

Of course it is looking more and more like Mike Huckabee will not be running and the chances of Sarah Palin getting in to the race are at still best 50/50. On top of that, other names will in fact be running and many of them have the ability to put forth campaigns thatwill will havea surprising capacity tocapture the imagination and hopes of Republican voters who are seeking to defeat President Obama, and find a hero who can help advance the cause of conservatism in a way similar to that of Ronald Reagan.

But aside from who this unreliable early polls suggests the Republican presidential nominee will be, the CNN/Opinion Research poll apparently shows that while 29% of G.O.P. voters believe ideology is important, a whopping 70% find simply defeating President Obama as the most important factor in selecting the Partys nominee. Hey, didn’t Mitch McConnell say that? According to CNN About 70 percent say they would prefer someone with a good chance of victory to someone they agree with on most important issues.

Those finding contradict the findings of a recent White House 2012 poll which asked what Republicans felt was the most important characteristic or ability they wanted in the nominee. As noted in when announcing the results of that poll:

It is interesting to see the apparent desire of Republicans to be more concerned with beating President Obama with someone who they believe can properly deal with the issues most important to them, rather than just beating him for the sake of winning. In this poll, Republicans put little importance on the appeal of a candidate in regards to winning over independent voters or being considered an articulate orator as President Obama was considered.

Of course the question askedin the White House 2012 and CNN/Opinion Research Poll were phrased quite differently and the differing way the question is asked makes all the difference. But it is my belief that in 2012, Republicans, with the help of TEA movement activists, will be much more principled than CNN suggests. The White House 2012 poll found that the most important thing they are looking for in choosing a nominee is their being fiscally conservative. And behind that was the desire for the nominee to be a strict constitutionalist. Together, those two priorities accounted for the opinion of more than half of the respondents, or 53%. At the same time, only 14% of respondents chose as their priority, qualities or abilities that would account strictly for the purposeof electability alone.

While I am sure that Republicans do not want to see President Obama elected to a second term and will therefore not allow themselves to nominate a dud like John McCain, I am also pretty sure that ideology will play a large part in who the nominee will ultimately be. In fact, I believe that in the end, the G.O.P. will nominate one of its most conservative presidential candidates since Barry Goldwater in 1964.

The only real question is whether it will be a conservative who can broaden the appeal of conservatism as Ronald Reagan did in his 1980 and ’84 campaigns, or preach to the choir as Barry Goldwater did in his campaign.

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White House 2012 Weekly Poll: Who will win this week’s CPAC Straw Poll?

Bookmark and ShareThis week, White House 2012 is preparing to cover the 2011 Conservative Political Action Conference. That being the case, we thought we would try to find out just how in tune our readers are with the base of the Republican Party. In an attempt to do so, we have initiated a poll that asks our readers to tell us who they believe will be the winner of the closely watched CPAC Straw Poll.

So we ask you to click here to vote, or follow the link provided at the beginning of this post.

Remember, this poll is not asking who you want to win the poll. It is asking who you think the winner of the CPAC Starw Poll will be. CPAC is scheduled to announce their poll results at 5:15 PM on Saturday, February 15th.Our poll will close the evening before, atmidnight. So take the White House 2012 poll and tell us……. “Of the elected officials speaking at this weekend’s Conservative Political Action Conference, who do you expect to be the winner of the CPAC Straw Poll?”

For a complete schedule of events and speakers at this years CPAC convention visit here

The event has become a rite of passage for Republicans who are trying to make their way down the path to the White House and is seen as an agenda setting gathering of the G.O.P.s political base.

This year, speakers include:

Andrew Breitbart, Ann Coulter, Wayne LaPierre, David Horowitz, Donald Rumsfeld, Phyllis Schlaffly, Congressmen Paul Ryan, Connie Mack,and Allen West, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Colorado Senator Mike Lee and Florida Governor Rick Scott.

But in addition to those speakers, the following list ofpotential Republican presidential candidates will also be addressing the lively crowd:

  • THURSDAY, February 10:
    10:00 AM: Michele Bachmann
    1:00 PM: Newt Gingrich book signing.
    2:00 PM: Rick Santorum
    4:30 PM: Paul Ryan
    6:15 PM: A reception co-sponsored by SarahPAC.
  • FRIDAY, February 11:
    10:30 AM: Mitt Romney
    1:30 PM: John Thune
    3:00 PM: Tim Pawlenty
    3:30 PM: Ron Paul
    4:00 PM: Rick Perry
    4:30 PM: Herman Cain
    7:30 PM: Mitch Daniels
  • SATURDAY, February 12
    9:30 AM: Haley Barbour

But remember, before the CPAC votes are counted, be sure to show just how astute and in touch White House 2012 voters are. Cast you ballot in our poll first.

What Do Republicans Find Most Important in Choosing A Presidential Nominee?

White House 2012 Poll Results

Bookmark and ShareIn its first weekly poll, White House 2012 asked Republicans what the most important quality or ability they are looking for in the Republican presidential nominee is?

Respondents were given a list of 14 issue relatedqualities or abilities to choose from. Of all them, an overwhelming majority of 39% declared that they want the next Republicans to be a fiscal conservative. Following far behind with 14% was the desire for the Republican nominee to be first and foremost, a strict constitutionalist.

Tying for third place with 6% each, was a mix of priorities that ranged from positions on specific issues and general ideology, to placing a priority on characteristics that specifically addressed electability. Two choices, foreign affairs experience and being a political outsider received no votes at all.

See complete results below:

Based upon the demographic which follow this blog and participated in the poll, this loosely controlled survey strongly hints that most Republicans understand that America needs to get its financial house in order and they want a leader who will focus on that issue and have a plan to control taxing and spending that is based on sound economic principles and fiscal restraint. By finding the phrase fiscal conservative to be the most desired aspect of a candidate and their campaign, it is safe to say that at this point in time, G.O.P. voters view the economy and our national debt as a top priority and the most integral part of the Republican nominees campaign.

Furthermore, the numbers interestingly suggest that fiscal responsibility is an issue which so many Republicans agree to be the immediate priority, that it even dwarfs the usual priorities that the Republican base wants to see their nominee devote much of their attention to advance, such as abortion and even their activism on social issues in general such as gay marriage, school prayer and other related specific issues. This does not mean that the G.O.P. will suddenly ignore those issues but it does insinuate that people like Mitch Daniels could play quite well within the Party electorate.

Daniels is a leading fiscal conservative both by record and intention.But he received a great deal of criticism for suggesting that Republicans call a truce on social issues. This quickly drew the ire of social conservatives. Yet Mitch Daniels simply implied that the priority must be on the economy, jobs and spending. This poll agrees with that sentiment. But at the same time, as Governor of Indiana, Mitch Daniels has a solid record on social issues and the right-to-life. In fact he probably has one of the strongest pro-life records of most Governors. So while his record should please social conservatives, Daniels remarks are in sync with what most Republicans think are the top priorities.

Other important interpretations of this poll include the noticeably low percentage of the Party which consider a nominees expertise and prioritization on national security and in foreign affairs should be. Nearly ten years after 9/11, national security has been dwarfed by a desire to focus on other issues. This would confirm the opinion of former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton who threatens to run for President in order to elevate the issue of national security to the forefront of the discussion. Bolton maintains that we are at risk from outside forces far more than most believe and that the Obama Administration is not properly dealing with those threats.

But while Bolton may be right, at the moment it is clear from this poll, that running on the issue of national security would not win him the nomination at this time.

At 6%, even the hot button issue of illegal immigration and border security take a distant back seat to the emphasis that Republicans want to see on fiscal conservatism and a focus on strictly adhering to the U.S. Constitution. Republicans who took the survey lump illegal immigration and border security in third place with opposition to abortion, being a proven leader, having business experience, their ability to work with Democrats and the electability issue of being able to attract independent voters to their campaign.

That last one is another important note.It is interesting tosee the apparent desire of Republicans to be more concerned with beating President Obama with someone who they believes can properly deal with the issue most important to them, rather than just beating him for the sake of winning. In this poll, Republicans put little importance on the appeal of a candidate in regards to winning over independent voters or being considered an articulate orator as President Obama was considered. This is however, a question Republicans must concern themselves with at some point. Will they risk nominating a dull and uninspiringcandidate who they agree with on their most important issues but lacks but lacks the political aestheticstooutperformPresident Obama?

While a focus on fiscal responsibility receives more than twice the support than thatof a focus on strict constitutionalism, bothareas are the only ones to receive double-digitsupport. That too is an important result relative to these poll answers. Together fiscal responsibility and a focus on constitutional adherence, constitute 53% of the total vote……..more than half. Part of their combined massive combined plurality is largely due to the influence of the TEA Party movement.

These two issues are at the core of the TEA Partys being. They are the issues that strongly influenced the historic midterm election results that gave Republicans some of their biggest majorities in history. If the results of this first White House 2012 are accurate, right now, the influence of the TEA Party movement remains strong within the G.O.P..

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