Inevitabilty Begins To Doom the Hopes of Romney’s Rivals

Bookmark and Share    A recent Gallup poll would seem to indicate that a perceived sense of  inevitability concerning Mitt Romney’s winning the Republican presidential nomination  is beginning to cast a shadow over the rest of the Republican field of candidates.

The poll shows that Romney is finally breaking out of the mid twenty range of support that he has consistently been mired in, has broken the 30% range and in a field of four other major candidates, is now making a run for the 35% mark. 

Normally, I put little weight in national polls, when the winner is determined on a state by state basis.  However, in a larger sense, this poll would seem to be a sign that Republicans are beginning to resign themselves to a sense of inevitability surrounding the nomination of Mitt Romney.  It is a perception which became unavoidable after Romney won both Iowa and New Hampshire and was only boosted by reports of Romney’s increasing lead in the soon to be hed third nomination contest of South Carolina.

According to Galllup:

“Mitt Romney is now the only candidate that a majority of conservative and moderate/liberal Republicans nationwide see as an acceptable GOP nominee for president. Conservative Republicans are more likely to say this about Romney than about either Newt Gingrich or Rick Santorum.”
 
If that is accurate, it would be a pleasantly surprising sign that if Romney does become the nominee, establishing Party unity behind him may not be quite as difficult as once suspected. 
 
Gallup also finds that while Romney is consolidating support behind him for the nomination, with exception of Ron Paul, Romney’s remaining rivals are losing support.  The candidate trending down worst of al is Newt Gingrich.  Ron Paul is reamining staedy as he ne neither gains or loses support.
 
 
While this is a good sign, it should not be enough to make Mitt feel too comfortable.  There is still a fair chance that the increasing likelihood of a Romney nomination can finally inspire dissatisfied Republicans, fed up conservatives, and ticked off TEA movement activists to unite solidly behind one clear alternative to Mitt Romney in any number of the states leading up to Super Tuesday. 
 
But given the terrain between now and then, and the financial resources required to aggressively contest those states, Romney still holds a significant advantage with a strong and now growing base of support in most all the upcoming contests.  That schedule is as follows.

Saturday, January 21st: – South Carolina 50 25 delegates

Tuesday, January 31st; – Florida99 50 delegates

Saturday, February 4th – Nevada  23 delegates, Maine24 delegates

Tuesday, February 7th; – Colorado – 36 delegates, Minnesota – 40 delegates, Missouri -53 delegates

Tuesday, February 28th;  – Arizona 58 24 delegates, Michigan –  59 30 delegates

Saturday, March 3rd; – Washington – 43 delegates

Tuesday, March 6th;  (Super Tuesday)- Alaska – 27  delegates, Georgia – 75 delegates, Massachusetts – 41 delegates, North Dakota– 28 delegates, Idaho – 24 of 29 delegates, Oklahoma – 43 delegates, Tennessee – 58 delegates, Texas – 152 delegates, Virginia – 49 delegates, Vermont – 17  delegates, Wyoming29 delegates

While the race is certainly not over and Romney can’t take anything for granted, he must now also begin to lay the groundwork for the next stage of this election cycle.  That would incude  uniting the many factions of the Party and to inspire them all.  If this pol as a good indication of how things are realy going, it woiuld seem that Mitt needs to thank President for being the reason why Republicans are seemingy preapared to unite behind Mitt.  But that will still leave Romney with the need to inspire thise whoa re willing to support him over Barack Obama.  It now looks like that may be the toughest challenge ahead for Mitt.

Bookmark and Share

Who Would Be a Stronger Candidate Against President Obama? Romney or Gingrich?

Bookmark and Share    Whether people realize it or not, the Iowa Caucuses must be consider a pretty wide open contests.  Gingrich, Romney and Paul, may be looked at right now as the candidates with the best shot at taking first place in that contest.  But given the uniquness of Iowa and the complexities of caucus elections, it is not impossible for Rick Santorum or  Michele Bachmann to surprise the political world with a first place showing.

But even if such a placement in Iowa eludes ether of them, you can bet on them having a relatively strong showing that will certainly have an affect on who does win Iowa.  If they end up getting more support from social conservatives than currently expected, they could deny Gingrich and Ron Paul enough votes to beat Romney’s vote total and give him the Caucus win.

How it plays olut will be quite interesting, but for now, polls in multiple state’s aside from Iowa, present a picture that has the nomination contest coming down to two men, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich. So this week, White House 2012 is asking readers to tell us which of the two is the strongest one to run against President Obama.

Two weeks ago, White House 2012 asked readers which Republican presidential candidate they thought was most capable of beating President Obama in the presidential debates? In that poll,  an overwhelmingly number of respondents believed Newt Gingrich was the candidate with the best shot at outshining Obama in the debates.  Mitt Romney came in a distant second:

  • Newt Gingrich  48.19% 
  • Mitt Romney  16.06%  
  • None of them  7.23%  
  • Ron Paul  5.22%
  • Michele Bachmann  4.42%  
  • Herman Cain  11.24%  
  • Jon Huntsman  2.81%  
  • Rick Santorum  2.41% 
  • Rick Perry  1.2% 
  • Gary Johnson  1.2% 

But as the first voting in the nomination process gets closer, we would now like to know if  voters believe that the ability to outperform President Obama in a debate is enough to beat the President in the general election?.  So this week, we ask you, with all things considered, which of the two strongest debaters is the  candidate with the best overall chance of beating President Obama in the general election?

Click here to take the poll now!

Bookmark and Share

Who Won Thursday’s Fox News/Google Debate in Florida and Why?

Bookmark and Share  With nine candidates and many questions asked by American citizens through Youtube, who if anyone do you think won Thursday’s Fox News/Google Debate in Florida?

Click here to take the poll

Then leave your comments explaining what made candidates winners and losers in this most recent debate. Or join the debate about the debate on White House 2012’s Facebook discussion page.

Bookmark and Share

Should Republicans Continue To Question President Obama’s Birth Certificate and Citizenship?

Bookmark and Share With White House 2012s first national Republican presidential straw poll over (see results here), this week we presentyou with a poll question that deals with asn issue whicg strikes many Republican quite differently.

Those whodoubt the validity of President Obama’s birth certificateand question where he was born, are derogatorially identified as birthers . These so-called birthers want proof that President Obama has an authentic birth certificatewhichproves he was born a United States citizen. But there are many people, including many within the G.O.P., that believe any question about the Presidents citizenship and record of his birth have been settled long ago.

This week White House 2012 asks readers to let us know if they think it is wise for the G.O.P. to pursue the issue of the Presidents birth certificate and citizenship, or whether or not it should be avoided?

Let us know where you stand. The poll closes on Sunday, April 4th, 2011 at 10:00 pm EST. Click here to vote now!

Bookmark and Share

Vote In the White House 2012 National Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share We are currently in to the second week of White House 2012s First National Republican Presidential Straw Poll for the 2012 election. Responses are coming in fairly steadily with 28% coming from the Northeast followed by 21.5% from the Southeast, 18.3% in the Mid West, 17.2 from the Southwest and trailing in the back of the pack is the West who make up only 15.1% of the vote. As for how the votes are breaking among the 24 candidates in this straw poll, all that White House 2012 can tell you at this time is that the numbers are producing some surprises that run contrary to popular thinking.

The impetus behind this surprise could be due to the preponderance of conservatives who subscribe to and read White House 2012. Currently 68.8 of the respondents describe themselves as conservative, while 28% are self described moderates and a mere 3.2% of brave souls consider themselves to be liberal Republicans. Another factor could be the desire to see some outsiders who could get in and change politics from the inside. But enough said on that. If these results don’t hold, neither will that theory.

No matter what the breakdowns show now, the more voters who give us their opinions, the better chance we have of coming to a conclusion which accurately measures which candidates with whom the enthusiasm lies behind. On the balot are 24 possible contenders. Each name iseither running setting up an exploratory committee or has expressed their interest in possibly running. White House 2012 is taking people like Chris Christie, Bob McDonnell, Marco Rubio, Bobby Jindal and others who have said they are not running for Presiden. And so those names are not on the ballot. But of the 24 major names that still might be running, there are penty of choices to choose from.

They are:

  • Michele Bachmann
  • Haley Barbour
  • John Bolton
  • Herman Cain
  • Mitch Daniels
  • Newt Gingrich
  • Rudy Giuliani
  • Mike Huckabee
  • Jon Huntsman, Jr.
  • Gary Johnson
  • Fred Karger
  • Roy Moore
  • Sarah Palin
  • George Pataki
  • Rand Paul
  • Ron Paul
  • Tim Pawlenty
  • Gen. David Petraeus
  • Rick Perry
  • Bob Riley
  • Buddy Roemer
  • Mitt Romney
  • Rick Santorum
  • Donald Trump

Please take a moment to cast your vote in the poll and pass the link that is here http://wp.me/PVXi4-TS to your Repubican friends, and ask them to vote.

When done, the results will be broken down by region, by ideological leaning, and by who gains support if others fail to last very ong in the race. So hep us take this snapshot of the eeisting political landscape. Vote here in the National Republican Presidential Starw Poll

Bookmark and Share

Take the White House 2012 Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share Today President Obama has officially become a candidate for reelection and over the course of the next few weeks, many Republicans are likely to officially enter the race in hopes of becoming the Republican presidential nominee to challenge the President.

So it as at this point time that White House 2012 would like to invite you to participate in our first presidential straw poll. They tend to be educated and decisive voters with more than a passing knowledge of politics and the candidates who seek and hold office in the political process. White House 2012 readers also tend to be the grass root activists and leaders within the G.O.P., the people who will most help to shape who the Republican nominee for President is. For that reason White House seeks your opinion and the chance to gauge with whom the momentum and enthusiasm lies.

Please take a moment to vote in this straw poll. Register your support for the candidate of your choice and let them know how much support they have or dont have by clicking here.

In order to break down the results and to better establish any trends that may exist, the WH12 poll asks you four questions. First it asks what region you reside in. That is followed by your ideological preference and finally your first choice for the Republican presidential nomination and then your second choice for the nomination. We want to know who you would support in the event that your first choice does not run or doesnt stay in the race long enough for the primary or caucus that is held in your state.

And when you’re done voting, please pass the link to this poll, http://wp.me/PVXi4-TS to other Republicans that you know and ask them to vote too.

Bookmark and Share

71% Believe GOP Candidates Should Oppose U.S. Creation of the Libyan No-Fy Zone

Bookmark and Share As President Obama explains Americas actions in Libya and tries to avoid receiving the same type of criticism that he himself leveled against the previous President for involvement in the affairs of other nations, an overwhelming majority of White House 2012 readers say that the potential Republican presidential candidates would be wise to oppose American involvement in the enforcement of the No-fly Zone over parts of Libya

The White House 2012 poll asked;

Is it wise for any of the potential Republican presidential candidates to support American involvement in the enforcement of the No-fly Zone over parts of Libya?

21.67% of all respondents said Yes, it would be wise while 71.67% said it would not be wise. 6.67% believed that the best position for the Republican candidates for President to take is one which called for more action in Libya than President Obama has committed to.

The poll is mainly indicative of a Republican electorate weary of ongoing interventionist policies such as those we see in Iraq and Afghanistan. Many Republicans know that revisiting similar policies in another hard fought election, would probably hurt GOP chances of winning more than help. But the situation is much worse for President Obama than for any of the potentiaql Republican presidential contenders.

While Republicans may disagree with the America led creation of the Libyan No-fly zone, it is more than likely that they were never going to vote for President Obama regardless od what his on this issue was. However; many in the Presidents liberal base have expressed disappointment and anger in Obamas decision to militarily intervene in Libya. Many in that base are repulsed by what they see as a policy quite similar to that of former President George W. Bush, a position that is anathema among the left.

But regardless of President Obamas position on the issue, contrary to the advice that White House 2012 readers offer in this poll, most contenders in the Republican presidential field believe that not only should the United States should be involved in the creation of the No-fly Zone over Libya, they criticize President Obama for not having acted earlier and more decisively than he did. Indeed some like Mitt Romney attack President Obama for what he describes as the Presidents relinquishing our leadership roll in the world to the French, who were the first to take on Kaddafi and who were in the lead on creating the No-fly Zone. A similar opinion has been shared by many other potential contenders such as Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich. Haley Barbour is one of the few who articulated extreme reluctance for our involvement in Libya.

The issue is one that might play a significant roll in the GOP presidential nominating contest. It is one that could fuel the isolationist, Ron Paul, libertarian, element within the Party and help swing a .small but winning plurality over to candidates like Barbour who were not quick to pull the trigger on Libya.

While that issue will continue to play itself out, this week’s White House 2012 poll quickly changes topics and moves from the international political arena to domestic election politics and asks whether or not Fred Karger, the first candidate to make his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination official, should be allowed to participate in al the upcoming Republican presidential debates.

Karger is openly gay, the first openly gay person to run for President in either major Party. Yet some forums, such as a recent Iowa Faith and Family forum, refused to allow Karger to participate because he is gay. This week’s poll asks whether or notsuch future treatmentof Karger should continue as time goes by or if he should be allowed a place in the debates. Click here to take the poll

Bookmark and Share

Christie, Gingrich, Daniels and Romney Top New Jersey Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share At a gathering of Republican candidates, campaign managers, staffers and grass root activists, White House 2012 and Building the New Majority sponsored New Jerseys first Republican presidential straw poll for the 2012 election and the winner was their own Governor, Chris Christie.

Of the 196 voters who participated, 19.8% named Governor Christie their first choice for the Republican presidential nomination. Coming in second was former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich with 12.5%, followed by Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 9.4% each, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 7.3%, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush 6.3%, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty 5.2%, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul and former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin tied at 4.2%.

The Garden State Republican Presidential Straw Poll consisted of 25 of the most often mentioned names and likely contenders in the emerging Republican field. Due to the large size of the still developing field and the likelihood that some, if not many of those names on the ballot may not run, or may not make it to the New Jersey primary, unlike most traditional straw polls, the White House 2012/BTNM ballot also asked New Jersey Republicans who their second choice for President was. The big winner here was Mitt Romney who was the second choice of 20.8% of voters. This conclusion is quite important given the fact that Governor Christie has repeatedly denied any interest in running for President in 2012.

Following Romney in this second choice category was Sarah Palin, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, each with 8.3%, Mike Huckabee 6.3% and Mitch Daniels 5.2%.

Click here to read raw numbers

A third question on the ballot asked voters to describe their place on the ideological scale within the Republican Party. None of the respondents described themselves as liberal but 75%, or 144 of the participating voters called themselves conservative, and the remaining 48 (25%), described themselves of moderate.

Among self described conservatives, a majority of 15.3% named Chris Christie as their first choice for the presidential nomination and 23.6% of them named Mitt Romney as their second choice for the nomination. As for moderates 33.3% of them also declared Christie to be their first choice but their second choice for the nomination was Rudy Giuliani who took that position with 25% of the vote from moderates.

See complete results below this post

The poll was conducted by White House 2012 and Building the New Majority amongNew Jersey Republicans who participated ina recent seminar sponsored by Building the New Majority and the Family PolicyCouncil that took place in Parsippany, New Jersey.

While these results are by no means a sure sign of how the New Jersey Republican presidential primary will turnout less than a year from now, it does offer a good glimpse at where the energies and enthusiasm of the activist base of the states G.O.P. lie. These results demonstrate to me, that at this stage in the game, if Chris Christie is true to his word about not running for the nomination, Mitt Romney looks good in New Jersey. Romney worked the Republican base and Party activists pretty well in 2008, and while minds are by no means made up yet, his efforts of the last campaign for president are giving him a slight advantage in New Jersey in the coming election.

As indicated by the numbers, the results were influenced by a largely conservative vote, but a strong conservative influence is likely to dominate New Jersey’s actual presidential primary. How much has yet to be seen.

The Raw Numbers

Who is your FIRST CHOICE for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination?

Who is yourSECOND CHOICE for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination?

Do you consider yourself to be a liberal, a moderate, or conservative Republican?

  1. Conservative 144 75%
  2. Moderate 48 25%
  3. Liberal 0 0

Bookmark and Share

Rick Santorum Sends A Message To New Jersey Republican Straw Poll Voters

Bookmark and Share As White House 2012 and Building the New Majority conductsa presidential straw poll of New Jersey Republican grass root activivsts, candidates, campaign managers and staffers, former Pennsylvania Senator and likely presidential candidate Rick Santorum, has sent them a message which credited New Jerseyans with starting in 2009 what he called “the American Renaissance” Santorum writes:

“What New Jersey gave, the rest of America is taking. Each of us needs to step forward and stand tall for what we know to be true, that America is the most uniquley exceptional nation in the history of the world, not just b ecause of what we have accomplished, but for who we are as a people and all that we aspire to be.

The American renaissance started here [New Jersey] in 2009, and the rest of the country picked up the flag last year. But we must continue to fight by electing a new President in 2012 and electing a new Republican Senate majority”

You can click on the image below to read the complete message.

White House 2012 will is conducting a straw poll at a conference sponsored by Building the New Majority, a statewide organization that identifies, developes and empowers candidates byfocussing in onthe development of candidates for local, county and state offices through direct contributions and grassroots support in order to help rebuild the New Jersey Republican organization from the ground up. The White House 2012/ Building the New Majority Garden State Republican Presidential Straw Poll will be the first of its kind in New Jersey for the 2012 presidential election and should give a sense of where the Party’s base currently stands on the evolving Republican presidentiall nominating contest.

Results of the poll will be released on Saturday, March 26, 2011, the second day of the Building the New Majority conference.

Bookmark and Share

Click on the image below to read a larger version of Senator Santorum’s complete message

Should the G.O.P. Presidential Contenders Support Military Intervention in Libya?

Bookmark and Share As President Obama leads America into military action against Moamar Quadaffi, this week White House 2012 asks readers if it wise for any of the potential Republican presidential candidates to support American involvement in the enforcement of the No-fly Zone over parts of Libya?

With ongoing intervention in Iraq and war in Afghanistan that are both based on a policy of preemption, the question is an important one. In recent years, the ongoing efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan have given rise to bi-partisan yearning for a non-interventionist foreign policy, that would allow the United States to avoid being the worlds policeman. The issue is one which drives the loyal support of such potential candidate as Ron Paul, whose followers will play an important role in determining the Republican presidential nominee.

So in this particular situation, what would be the wisest and most beneficial position for a Republican presidential candidate to take on Libya?

Click here to take the poll.

Bookmark and Share

Can Mitt Romney Successfully Argue Against Obamacare with Romney-Care?

Bookmark and Share While Mitt Romney is in many regards, considered a frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination, he has come to carry, rightfully or wrongfully, some heavy baggage that prevents him from actually being the frontrunner for the nomination.

The most heavy is his creation of Massachusetts’ healthcare plan which he put together and pushed for the passage of through the state legislature. That healthcare plan is often considered a precursor to Obamcare, the Administrations signature government program which 62% of Americans want to repeal. Repealing Obamacare is even the number issue of any potential Republican candidate for President, including Mitt Romney.

So White House 2012 has asked readers if Mitt Romney can convincingly argue against Obamacare by claiming he would repeal it and that he would never usurp the constitutional power of states with a federal takeover like Obamacare?

Governor Romney argues that although he would change some parts of his state healthcare plan for Massachusetts, his plan was a good start. But Romney goes on to say that he would never pass a one size fits all law, that usurps the rights of the states. As a result, White House 2012 believes that Mitt Romney will run for the Republican presidential nomination with a campaign that emphasizes states rights. But with Romney-care hanging around his neck and with candidates from Haley Barbour to Rick Santorum and Tim Pawlenty, hammering Romney on this issue, can Mitt arguments overcome the negative connotations that stem from his state healthcare law?

According to White House 2012 readers, 61.63% believe that Romney cannot convincingly argue for states rights and against Obamacare. 22.09% believe that he can successfully overcome the arguments against his state healthcare law and another 16.28% believe that he might be able to do so.

These results indicate that not only is Romney-care the biggest hurdle for Mitt to have to overcome in 2012, a predominant number of Americans may not be willing to buy into any strong stand for states right that his potential campaign may try to make.

Stars01.gif picture by kempite

This week White House 2012 asks readers whether or not it wise for any of the potential Republican presidential candidates to support the decision to have the Unites States enforce a No-fly Zone over Libya?

Bookmark and Share

White House 2012 to Co-Sponsor New Jersey’s First 2012 Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and Share White House 2012 is proud to announce that it has arranged for the creation of New Jerseys first Republican presidential straw poll of the 2012 election cycle. Together with Building The New Majority , White House 2012 will co-sponsor this straw poll on Saturday, March 26th, 2011.

The poll will be taken on the second day of a two day Republican seminar/conference at the Hilton Hotel in Parsippany New Jersey. The event is sponsored by Building the New Majority and the New Jersey Family Policy Council. Its focus is on training candidates, campaign staff and grassroots Republican activists, how to run winning campaigns without comprising their values. Attending the event will be New Jersey Republicans who range from Party leaders, state committeemen and future candidates, to their staffs and grassroots activists within the GOP and even the TEA Party movement.

White House 2012 will be overseeing the straw poll and providing ballots that will rotate the order of the names of the Republican presidential contenders that will be on it.

While it is too early to declare a frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination, White House 2012 hopes to provide some insight as to not just who New Jersey Republicans are leaning towards but also the type of candidate they are favoring. Making the White House 2012 straw poll different from other similar ones, is the addition of a second choice among voters. This helps to better predict trends, especially in the case of a first choice, not entering or dropping out of the nomination contest by the time New Jerseys primary rolls around.

Bookmark and Share

Mitch Daniels’ Victories in the Pacific Northwest. Real or Imagined?

Bookmark and ShareOn Sunday, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels won a straw poll of Republican leaders and activists at an annual meeting of the Oregon G.O.P.. Back in January, at a similar gathering in Washington State, Mitch Daniels won their straw poll too. It has been reported that these victories were achieved without any campaigning by Governor Daniels or any known organized effort on his behalf. So the question is, why is the Governor from the Midwest, so popular with the Republican establishment of the Pacific Northwest?

Interestingly, in both Washington and Oregon, there seems to be a bit of a consensus that it is Governor Daniels prowess with his state’s budget, and even more responsible than that, it seems to be his successful efforts in curtailing the abuses of big unions.

In an interview with White House 2012, when asked what accounts for Daniels’ popularity among Republican activists in the Northwest, Oregon National Committeeman and founder of the Republican National Committee’s Conservative Caucus, Solomon Yue, Jr., stated;

“I believe Northwestern Republicans appreciate the fact that Governor Daniels had used his executive order to strip state employee unions of their collective-bargaining power and the ability to collect dues by payroll deduction six years ago. He has achieved what most Republican governors are still fighting for – curtailing the collective-bargaining power of public-sector unions.”

Mr. Yue recently wrote a Washinton Times op-ed on Daniels’ handling of unions.

Yue is not alone in his thinking. On the condition of anonymity several Republican County Chairman in both Washington and Oregon, independently confirm Yue’s opinion as to why Daniels is popular among Republicans in the Pacific Northwest. One conservative Washington County Republican chair who voted for Tim Pawlenty in the January 31st straw poll, says that those who voted in the Republican gathering in Washington State, “looked at his [Mitch Daniels] ability to bring a state that had as a big a budget mess as Indiana, and bring it into good fiscal circumstances, and liked what they saw and voted for him” They add that what Daniels did Indiana “was impressive”.

The same G.O.P. leader also credits Daniels popularity in the region to the fact that the wave that the nation saw in 2010, didn’t make it to Washington state. They add, “Washington and Oregon have a substantial moderate influence in them”. Another point made was that the Republican conference in Washington that made Daniels the winner of their straw poll “had a higher percentage of young people in attendance and they are more moderate of what is typical.”

But a former Republican operative and leader in Washington State’s Pacific County has a different opinion. They tell White House 2012 the following;

“Mitch Daniels is not that popular in Washington and Oregon. He is relatively unknown.. except among political wonks.”

That same figureadds that those in attendance at the Washington and Oregon conferences “were NOT the Republican Committees that voted in a straw poll. They claim that these events…….

“were attended by a wide variety of center-right political activists. They are not part of the Republican Party. They are organized and sponsored by conservative and Republican political operatives”

Theformer leader and stillGOP insider adds;

“The attendees consist of politically minded people who favor fiscal conservatives. The nature of the conferences tends not to focus on social conservative issues. Hence, the people who attend are somewhat like the candidate.”

This explanation tends to make a bit more sense. For while Washington and Oregon may have their own problems with public service unions, they are no worse off than other states which are seeing similar problems. Therefore, I can’t see why the way Mitch Daniels handled unions in his state, would stand out so much more among Republicans in the Pacific Northwest than it does, say in the South or states like Iowa.

But the opinions I have gathered confirm a few things. First, they do make it clear that Mitch Daniels has a solid reputation among Republican activists on fiscal issues, a still most important one as we move closer to the 2012 election. It also proves that Mitch Daniels still has some problems with social conservatives. This is in itself odd because while Mitch Daniels actually has one of the most socially conservative records of all the possible Republican presidential contenders, he is not known for his political stances on those issues which he once famously stated that Republicans should “call a truce” on. That remark has hurt him among social conservatives who now doubt Daniels’ commitment to the issues important to them. While this may not help Daniels with the far right base of the Party, it does help him in what one Republican county chairman from Oregon calls their “moderate” base.

The funny thing is that the far right might eventually come to see strength in Mitch’s, ‘actions speak louder than words’ approach to their social agenda. They might also come to understand that what Mitch meant by his call for a truce, is that we must prioritize and right now the priority is jobs, our fragile economy, and our crushing national debt.

The fact that such things are a priority for Mitch Daniels are the very same reasons why the more moderate “higher percentage of young people” who attended the recent Republican gathering in Oregon, tend to support Mitch. It may also eventually be realized that if Republicans are going to remain competitive as we move forward, they will need these younger, more moderate voters behind them, as they are with Mitch Daniels.

Either way, Mitch Daniels’ straw poll victories in the Pacific Northwest are not necessarily representative of the opinion on the street, but it does show that he has some committed activists who may be important in organizing at the grassroots level. And while the results of the Washington and Oregon straw polls may not be a true precursor of things to come, one thing is quite clear, Mitch Daniels’ reputation on economic matters, budgets and his handling of unions, precedes him and it helps him. It helps among Republican of all stripes.

In Oregon, another Republican County leader who did not attend the recent Dorchester event where the Republican straw poll was taken, said she was “surprised” by the results but added “the more I learn about Mitch Daniels, the more I am impressed by him”.

It remains to be seen if the Daniels’ winning streak in the Northwest corner of the nation can be maintained elsewhere. Other straw polls of similar Republican activists in places like Iowa, South Carolina and New Hampshire have not produced the same winning results. But that could change if Mitch Daniels becomes an actual presidential candidate. However; that decision may now lie in the hands of Democrats in the Indiana state legislature. Mitch Daniels has promised not to make a decision on a run for President till the end of the Indiana state legislative session which is suppose to be in April. But now, thanks to a confrontation between them and Daniels on the issue of unions, Democrats are holding the Daniels agenda hostage and risk extending the legislative session too long for him to enter the presidential race.

Bookmark and Share

Republicans Support Big Cuts in Spending Even If it Forces a Government Shutdown.

Bookmark and Share Last week White House 2012 asked readers if Republicans should hold out for significant spending cuts and risk the Presidents vetoing of a budget that would force a shutdown of the federal government. Had the House Republicans and Senate Democrats not brokered a deal last week that passed a continuing resolution which delayed the inevitable by two weeks, we could have easily seen a shut down already.

But the possibility for a government shutdown still exists and according to the White House 2012 poll conducted between Sunday, February 27th and Sunday March 6th, readers overwhelming support Republicans sticking to their guns and forcing Democrats to go along with significant budget cuts even if itforces a shutdown of the federal government.

82.46% of respondents believe that Republicans must hold their ground, while a mere 17.54% believe that they should do all they can to avoid a such a disruption of government.

The poll proves two things.

First, the majority of White House 2012 readers are conservatives, at least fiscally. (Thank goodness for that). That would account for the enormous lean towards cuts. But it also shows that there is unity within the G.O.P. on the issue of federal spending. Republicans clearly stand united in a small government model which believes in less government, less debt and more freedom.

This week White House 2012 asks readers if Mitt Romney can overcome his creation of a Massachusetts healthcare plan that was seen as a precursor to Obamacare, by using the argument that he would never usurp the rights of states by adopting a one-size-fits-all healthcare program for all the states.

The healthcare plan that Mitt Romney was instrumental in creating and passing when he was Governor of Massachusetts, is seen as the largest hurdle for him to overcome in his anticipated run for the Republican presidential nomination.

Bookmark and Share

Click here to take the poll.

Will the Union Protests Against Entitlement Cuts Hurt or Help Republicans in 2012?

Bookmark and Share It started in New Jersey where teacher unions tapped into unions all across the nation to protest Chris Christie in Trenton in the tens of thousands. Now the unions have marched on Madison where they are protesting Wisconsin Governor Scott walker in numbers even greater than those that raised their fists against Governor Christie.

Both repeated demonstrations are the result of decisive moves by responsible, fiscally conservative Republican leaders who have decided to touch the third rails of politics entitlement programs.

Entitlements programs including the lucrative benefit packages offered to state employees, are busting the budgets of states all across the nation. And with a rash of newly elected TEA Party supported, Republican governors now in office, many are beginning to tackle these problems as they try to get a handle on their state budgets. New Jersey, Wisconsin, Ohio, Florida, Texas and a dozen more states are finally addressing the problems of out of control deficits and the keeping of promises that pandering political leaders of the past made but that taxpayers cant afford.

As a result, union leaders have unleashed their flocks and ship protesters by the bus loads to state capitals through out the nation. The recent rush of these protesters into and around the Wisconsin state capital bordered on getting out of hand and is but a small sign of a more intense national environment that risks pitting taxpayers against those who provide taxpayers with their services.

With this in mind, in light of the rising and predominant concern of getting our fiscal house in order, White House 2012 asks you how you feel these demonstrations will play out in the 2012 election year. Do you think it will hurt Republican, help Republicans, have no effect at all or it is too early to tell? Let us know in these weeks poll which you can take by clicking here.

Bookmark and Share

Voters Don’t Believe Sarah Palin Will Run for President

Bookmark and ShareLast week White House 2012 poll readers were asked to offer their opinions on whether or not Sarah Palin will run for President.

By a large 12.30% margin, voters do not expect the former Governor and Vice Presidential nominee to run for President in 2012. While over 52% believe she will not run and nearly 41% think she will not, almost 6% of respondents see the little discussed chance of Sarah Palin running as a third Party candidate as the most likely scenario for her.

This week, White House 2012s poll focuses on the latest national phenomenon of mass massive union demonstrations against the attempts by republican Governors to get a handle on entitlements and state budgets. We ask whether or not you believe these demonstrations will help or hurt the chances of a 2012 White House victory for Republicans.

To take the poll, visit here. Bookmark and Share

Will Sarah Palin Run? Take the White House 2012 Poll

Bookmark and Share As the evolving Republican presidential field slowly begins to take shape, one of the most watched for decisions is that of Sarah Palins. The possibility of her entry in to the G.O.P. nomination contests has many wondering how she would or could impact on their own possible candidacies. One of the most critical aspects of Palins entry in the race is the attraction that the TEA Party movement has with her.

The TEA Party was a major decisive factor in the 2010 midterm elections and anyone hoping to win an election in 2012 is looking at doing so with the help that winning the TEA Party over to their side. But if Palin becomes a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, many of those voters may stay in her camp. If she doesnt run, whom those voters will flock to, or how many candidates will share support from the movement, is up the air.

Even if Palin doesnt run, she will be a factor in 2012. If she decided to back another candidate, that could be an incredible boost to them in the primaries and caucuses. But another school of thought is that Sarah Palin runs but not as a Republican. As explained in a recent White House 2012 post, the thinking is that Palin may wait until a likely Republican nominee begins to emerge and if it is not one that Palin can enthusiastically get behind, she may become a late entry in to the 2012 presidential election as a TEA Party backed independent candidate.

No matter what Palin does, it will impact on the 2012 election. So this week, White House 2012 asks you what you think Sarah Palin in 2012. Do you think she will run? Do you think she will sit out the race? Or do you think Sarah Palin runs, but as a third Party candidate?

Let us know. Take this weeks White House 2012 Poll.

Bookmark and Share
%d bloggers like this: